Ascot Shop Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Ascot

3:55

Date 2024-03-24

Distance 2m7f118y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,393

Runners (15)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8	Nickelforce b J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	159	—	5-4241	101	110	96	62d	—	—	+1	17.8	4/1 20%
Upped from Class 5 after 2m4f win in January; may improve again over this new trip
2	Face D'Music b J:Gavin Sheehan T:Katy Price	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Katy Price	166	t	322	108	108	96	116d	—	—	+15	28.1	6/1 14%
Placed twice over 2m3f at Hereford in November; makes handicap debut after a break
3	Much Too Dear ch J:Charlie Price(3) T:Laura Horsfall	J:Charlie Price(3) T:Laura Horsfall	165	—	36-2B4	107	114	98	132d	—	—	+4	18.3	6/1 14%
Fair fourth in 2m5f Kempton novice in the autumn and open to improvement in handicaps
5	Redbridge Rambler b J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	161	p	662002	103	113	103	30d	—	—	+11	23.4	11/2 15%
Back in form with close second over 2m4f last month; worth another crack at this trip
6	Rebel Intentions b J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Emma Lavelle	J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Emma Lavelle	160	t	12136P	102	116	110	59d	—	—	+10	19.7	8/1 11%
Major player if judged on course form from November but last two runs were lacklustre
11	The Bold Thady b J:Thomasina Eyston(7) T:Neil Mulholland	J:Thomasina Eyston(7) T:Neil Mulholland	158	p	243-23	100	115	93	36d	—	—	+6	15.2	17/2 11%
More exposed than most but current mark ought to be workable; not ruled out
9	Strackan b J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	159	—	4-43P	101	106	93	89d	—	—	+8	14.7	12/1 8%
Struggled on handicap debut (2m3f, soft); tries different trip-and-ground combination here
10	Perculator b J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	158	p	64-614	100	109	95	34d	—	—	+8	14.2	14/1 7%
Drew nicely clear with progressive rival when winning at Wetherby two runs ago; a possible
4	Johnny B b J:James Davies T:Chris Down	J:James Davies T:Chris Down	164	—	3P-1PP	106	114	89	36d	—	—	+10	15.4	18/1 5%
Pulled up twice since shock win in December; not an easy one to predict
7	Touch Of Thunder b J:James Best T:Camilla Poulton	J:James Best T:Camilla Poulton	160	—	-57665	102	108	97	56d	—	—	+10	14.2	28/1 3%
Beaten about 33l when fifth on handicap debut at Fontwell (2m5f) in January
14	Totowolfe b J:David Noonan T:Nigel Hawke	J:David Noonan T:Nigel Hawke	154	t	P1-568	96	102	79	42d	—	—	+8	12.9	20/1 5%
Made reasonably encouraging rules debut but has struggled twice since; handicap debut
13	Outside Adesa b J:Sean Houlihan T:Mitchell Hunt	J:Sean Houlihan T:Mitchell Hunt	155	—	2-P659	97	106	68	13d	—	—	+11	17	25/1 4%
Shaped with promise in 2m3f novice in January but safely held in 3m handicap since
12	Vengeance b J:Bryony Frost T:William de Best-Turner	J:Bryony Frost T:William de Best-Turner	157	—	2305-0	99	107	81	58d	—	—	+10	13	40/1 2%
Well down the field over 2m4f on stable debut; moves up in trip with a lot to prove
NR	A Definite Getaway b J:NON-RUNNER T:Peter Bowen	J:NON-RUNNER T:Peter Bowen	170	—	22-22P	112	107	-	2d	—	—	—	15.5	—
Second in four maidens last year; pulled up on stable/handicap debut at Newbury on Friday
NR	Mac's Legacy b J:Ben Jones T:Rebecca Curtis	J:Ben Jones T:Rebecca Curtis	151	p	-76726	93	115	93	28d	—	—	—	14.3	—
Not at best on soft ground last time but his Hereford second in January makes him a player

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Nickelforce	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Face D'Music	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2
Much Too Dear	11/2	11/2	6/1	6/1	9/2
Redbridge Rambler	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Rebel Intentions	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2	15/2
The Bold Thady	8/1	15/2	17/2	17/2	15/2
Strackan	12/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Perculator	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Johnny B	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Touch Of Thunder	28/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Totowolfe	20/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Outside Adesa	25/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Vengeance	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Face D'Music

28.1

OR: 14.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Redbridge Rambler

23.4

OR: 13.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Rebel Intentions

19.7

OR: 13 Form: 4 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Much Too Dear

18.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Nickelforce

17.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Outside Adesa

OR: 11.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

25/1

A Definite Getaway

15.5

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Johnny B

15.4

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

The Bold Thady

15.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Strackan

14.7

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Mac's Legacy

14.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Perculator

14.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Touch Of Thunder

14.2

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Vengeance

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Totowolfe

12.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
A Definite Getaway Top Rated	112	107	—
Face D'Music	108	108	96
Much Too Dear	107	114	98
Johnny B	106	114	89
Redbridge Rambler	103	113	103
Rebel Intentions	102	116	110
Touch Of Thunder	102	108	97
Nickelforce	101	110	96
Strackan	101	106	93
The Bold Thady	100	115	93
Perculator	100	109	95
Vengeance	99	107	81
Outside Adesa	97	106	68
Totowolfe	96	102	79
Mac's Legacy	93	115	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
A Definite Getaway	2d ago	Quick return
Outside Adesa	13d ago	Quick return
Mac's Legacy	28d ago	Fit
Redbridge Rambler	30d ago	Fit
Perculator	34d ago	Fit
The Bold Thady	36d ago	Fit
Johnny B	36d ago	Fit
Totowolfe	42d ago	Fit
Touch Of Thunder	56d ago	Fresh
Vengeance	58d ago	Fresh
Rebel Intentions	59d ago	Fresh
Nickelforce	62d ago	Fresh
Strackan	89d ago	Fresh
Face D'Music	116d ago	Long break
Much Too Dear	132d ago	Long break