Ambitious Dragon Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf)

Sha Tin

10:05

Date 2024-03-24

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £104,789

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
R15 (15)	Oriental Smoke Bay J:TBC T:David A Hayes	J: T:David A Hayes	124	tb	005610	64	86	-	8d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
Narrow 6f Class 4 winner this month but safely held in this higher grade since
R16 (16)	City Thunder Chestnut J:TBC T:W Y So	J: T:W Y So	124	t	2-0	64	63	-	21d	—	—	—	7	—	—
Always towards rear over C&D on recent Hong Kong debut
1 (14)	Amazing Victory Bay J:Hugh Bowman T:W Y So	J:Hugh Bowman T:W Y So	135	t	48-453	75	95	-	28d	—	0W/0P 1 run	—	6.3	—	—
Knocking on the door this year and can be dangerous if all goes to plan from stall 14
2 (9)	Green N White Brown J:Zac Purton T:P F Yiu	J:Zac Purton T:P F Yiu	135	t	12-612	75	89	-	28d	—	—	—	6.3	—	—
Triple C&D winner from first nine starts; second here last month; likely contender again
3 (10)	Fun Together Chestnut J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	J:Jerry Chau(2) T:T P Yung	130	tp	11-194	70	88	-	28d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Won three in a row over C&D in October-January; latest fourth was respectable; in the mix
4 (2)	Sinba b/br J:James McDonald T:A S Cruz	J:James McDonald T:A S Cruz	129	tb	680-48	69	97	-	41d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
Started off for Tony Cruz with two promising C&D runs; well worth a second look
5 (11)	Magnificent Nine Bay J:Brenton Avdulla T:J Size	J:Brenton Avdulla T:J Size	125	—	17-242	65	88	-	21d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
Has made a good start to his Hong Kong career and went very close over C&D last month
6 (1)	Sunstrider Bay J:Blake Shinn T:D J Hall	J:Blake Shinn T:D J Hall	125	p	3141-6	65	84	-	28d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
2-4 in Australia last year and made encouraging HK debut when sixth over C&D last month
7 (12)	Smiling Time Bay J:L J Ferraris T:Jimmy Ting	J:L J Ferraris T:Jimmy Ting	124	tv	32163-	64	88	-	333d	—	—	—	13.6	—	—
Consistent 6yo; absent for 11 months, though, and better suited by 1m+
8 (3)	Patch Of Theta Chestnut J:Karis Teetan T:K W Lui	J:Karis Teetan T:K W Lui	123	h	3-3221	63	86	-	14d	—	—	—	5.4	—	—
Won comfortably over C&D when upped in trip last month and could easily have more to offer
9 (6)	Big Red Chestnut J:L Hewitson T:C W Chang	J:L Hewitson T:C W Chang	121	—	23449-	61	92	-	116d	—	—	—	4.7	—	—
Consistent in early part of season but absent since below-par run in November
10 (4)	Good Luck Win Bay J:Alexis Badel T:Mark Newnham	J:Alexis Badel T:Mark Newnham	121	tb	341-08	61	69	-	18d	—	—	—	2.8	—	—
Did not emerge from the rear division on first two Hong Kong starts (both 6f)
11 (5)	Kyeema Bay J:Ben E Thompson T:Mark Newnham	J:Ben E Thompson T:Mark Newnham	121	—	29-008	61	96	-	14d	—	—	—	2.8	—	—
Useful when trained in Britain but has made a quiet start to his Hong Kong career
12 (8)	Righteous Arion Chestnut J:Matthew Chadwick T:A S Cruz	J:Matthew Chadwick T:A S Cruz	121	ht	5-4345	61	91	-	21d	—	—	—	2.8	—	—
Yet to run a bad race this season but has done his winning in Class 4
13 (13)	Sakewin Bay J:Matthew Poon(2) T:F C Lor	J:Matthew Poon(2) T:F C Lor	121	—	000-09	61	94	-	21d	—	—	—	2.8	—	—
Seems badly to have lost his way since 6f course win at start of 2023
14 (7)	Aeroinvincible Brown J:Andrea Atzeni T:P C Ng	J:Andrea Atzeni T:P C Ng	120	—	21	60	87	-	14d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	—	16	—	—
Scored over C&D this month and remains unexposed after only starts

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aeroinvincible

OR: 2.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Smiling Time

13.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Oriental Smoke

10.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

City Thunder

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Amazing Victory

6.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Green N White

6.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Patch Of Theta

5.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Fun Together

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sinba

4.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Big Red

4.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 0

—

Magnificent Nine

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sunstrider

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Good Luck Win

2.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Kyeema

2.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Righteous Arion

2.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sakewin

2.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Amazing Victory	75	95	—
Green N White	75	89	—
Fun Together	70	88	—
Sinba	69	97	—
Magnificent Nine	65	88	—
Sunstrider	65	84	—
Oriental Smoke	64	86	—
City Thunder	64	63	—
Smiling Time	64	88	—
Patch Of Theta	63	86	—
Big Red	61	92	—
Good Luck Win	61	69	—
Kyeema	61	96	—
Righteous Arion	61	91	—
Sakewin	61	94	—
Aeroinvincible	60	87	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Oriental Smoke	8d ago	Quick return
Patch Of Theta	14d ago	Fit
Kyeema	14d ago	Fit
Aeroinvincible	14d ago	Fit
Good Luck Win	18d ago	Fit
City Thunder	21d ago	Fit
Magnificent Nine	21d ago	Fit
Righteous Arion	21d ago	Fit
Sakewin	21d ago	Fit
Amazing Victory	28d ago	Fit
Green N White	28d ago	Fit
Fun Together	28d ago	Fit
Sunstrider	28d ago	Fit
Sinba	41d ago	Fit
Big Red	116d ago	Long break
Smiling Time	333d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Kyeema	Mid-Pack
City Thunder	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 16 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Sha Tin over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Based on 14 draws with historical results at this course and distance.