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Kempton (AW)

19:30

Date 2024-03-27

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £6,281

Winning Time 1m 40.12s (slow by 2.72s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Break The Bank (GB) Joshua Bryan · Andrew Balding	13/8F	Won
2nd	Beauty Generation (IRE) Neil Callan · Marco Botti	5/1	1.5
3rd	Cocktail Dress (GB) Oisin Murphy · George Boughey	6/1	2
4th	Rey De La Batalla (GB) Luke Morris · Simon Dow	7/1	1.25
5th	Sonmarg (IRE) Robert Havlin · S Woods	7/1	.75
6th	Burdett (IRE) Charles Bishop · Jack Channon	11/2	2.5
7th	Sovereign Nation (GB) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	22/1	0.3

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Break The Bank Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Andrew Balding	J:Joshua Bryan T:Andrew Balding	132	—	673-	75	82	-	186d	—	—	-13	19.3	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Improvement needed to defy this mark now handicapping but that would seem quite likely
1 (7)	Cocktail Dress Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:George Boughey	J:Oisin Murphy T:George Boughey	137	—	4-214	80	83	49	12d	—	—	-4	11.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
1m novice winner last month; dropped away on recent handicap debut; career best required
6 (5)	Beauty Generation Bay J:Neil Callan T:Marco Botti	J:Neil Callan T:Marco Botti	130	—	8156-2	73	86	65	25d	—	—	-1	15.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Career best when 2nd to Rey De La Batalla over C&D 25 days ago; needs more up 3lb
3 (3)	Burdett Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	134	—	512-	77	84	-	179d	—	—	+10	22.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Progressive as a 2yo on slow ground; gelded prior to return; still has potential at 1m+
5 (1)	Rey De La Batalla Bay J:Luke Morris T:Simon Dow	J:Luke Morris T:Simon Dow	131	—	49-011	74	86	65	25d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-2	9.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won his last two, latterly over C&D this month; up 4lb but he's going the right way
2 (4)	Sonmarg Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	135	—	7130-	78	85	-	154d	—	—	+7	17	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Flopped on soft when last seen but fair ability beforehand; should do better this year
7 (6)	Sovereign Nation Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	127	—	53-5	70	83	40	34d	—	—	+2	6.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
A shade disappointing on his return but up in trip for handicap debut & still low mileage

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Break The Bank	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Cocktail Dress	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2
Beauty Generation	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1
Burdett	6/1	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2
Rey De La Batalla	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Sonmarg	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Sovereign Nation	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Burdett

22.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 12 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Break The Bank

19.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 10

7/4

3rd

Sonmarg

OR: 7 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Beauty Generation

15.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5

5/1

Cocktail Dress

11.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Rey De La Batalla

9.3

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Sovereign Nation

6.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cocktail Dress	80	83	49
Sonmarg	78	85	—
Burdett	77	84	—
Break The Bank	75	82	—
Rey De La Batalla	74	86	65
Beauty Generation	73	86	65
Sovereign Nation	70	83	40

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cocktail Dress	12d ago	Quick return
Beauty Generation	25d ago	Fit
Rey De La Batalla	25d ago	Fit
Sovereign Nation	34d ago	Fit
Sonmarg	154d ago	Long break
Burdett	179d ago	Long break
Break The Bank	186d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.