Bet On The Grand National @planetsportbet Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:30

Bet On The Grand National @planetsportbet Handicap

Date 2024-04-09

Distance 2m102y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 3m 42.93s (slow by 9.43s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Socialist Agenda (GB) Rossa Ryan · L J Morgan	13/8F	Won
2nd	Easy Equation (FR) Kieran Shoemark · Charlie Fellowes	7/4	3
3rd	Foinix (GB) Jim Crowley · Jim & Suzi Best	5/1	3.25
4th	Quiet Thunder (IRE) Joe Leavy · Sarah Hollinshead	28/1	1.75
5th	Thelastwinterarrow (GB) Rhys Clutterbuck · Dylan Cunha	22/1	2.25
6th	Balranald (FR) David Nolan · Alison Hamilton	28/1	21
7th	Toscan Genius (FR) Harry Russell · Brian Ellison	8/1	22

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Socialist Agenda Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:L J Morgan	J:Rossa Ryan T:L J Morgan	128	v	-63337	48	67	58	5d	—	—	-14	12.5	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Third in three consecutive starts here earlier this year; claims on that form
1 (7)	Easy Equation Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	137	p	832-32	57	66	29	37d	—	—	-18	10.4	0.45/1	9/5 36%
Record over C&D reads 1415332 and he looks the one to beat dropped slightly in grade
4 (6)	Foinix Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Jim Crowley T:Jim & Suzi Best	129	v	7-2233	51	67	44	47d	—	—	-11	4.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
1-20 though placed in all four starts this year; shortlisted in an uncompetitive race
3 (3)	Toscan Genius Bay J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	J:Harry Russell T:Brian Ellison	130	—	1783-0	50	68	59	9d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Well held on recent return here (1m3f) and needs to step up; still has stamina to prove
8 (2)	Thelastwinterarrow Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	124	—	5-9750	46	66	43	29d	—	—	-3	1.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Out of the frame in five starts; big step up in trip needs to make a dramatic difference
7 (1)	Quiet Thunder Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Sarah Hollinshead	126	b	0/608-	46	65	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
1-23 under rules; ran poorly in all three starts on the AW last year; others preferred
2 (8)	Balranald Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Alison Hamilton	J:David Nolan T:Alison Hamilton	132	v	/5/775	52	57	34	28d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-1	1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
3-44 under rules; up in trip but hard to recommend; visor on
NR (5)	Three Dons Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tony Carroll	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tony Carroll	126	—	040244	46	64	57	5d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
0-30 but unexposed as a stayer and has run with credit the last twice; could go well again

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Socialist Agenda	2/1	2/1	2/1
Easy Equation	9/5	9/5	9/5
Foinix	4/1	4/1	4/1
Toscan Genius	13/2	13/2	13/2
Thelastwinterarrow	18/1	18/1	18/1
Quiet Thunder	28/1	28/1	28/1
Balranald	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Socialist Agenda

12.5

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 8

2/1

2nd

Easy Equation

10.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.7

9/5

3rd

Foinix

4.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Toscan Genius

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Three Dons

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0

—

Thelastwinterarrow

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Balranald

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Quiet Thunder

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Easy Equation	57	66	29
Balranald	52	57	34
Foinix	51	67	44
Toscan Genius	50	68	59
Socialist Agenda	48	67	58
Thelastwinterarrow	46	66	43
Quiet Thunder	46	65	—
Three Dons	46	64	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Socialist Agenda	5d ago	Quick return
Three Dons	5d ago	Quick return
Toscan Genius	9d ago	Quick return
Balranald	28d ago	Fit
Thelastwinterarrow	29d ago	Fit
Easy Equation	37d ago	Fit
Foinix	47d ago	Fresh
Quiet Thunder	—	—