Liz And Izzy's Hoap Podcast Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:40

Liz And Izzy's Hoap Podcast Handicap

Date 2024-04-11

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 2m 28.11s (slow by 9.21s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Attila The Honey (FR) Archie Young · Charlie Johnston	11/1	Won
2nd	Path To Dubai (GB) Neil Callan · James Tate	11/4	1
3rd	Road To Wembley (GB) Finley Marsh · Richard Hughes	4/6F	1.5
4th	Timetobenice (GB) Harry Davies · Marco Botti	6/1	.5
5th	Trafalgar Square (IRE) Harry Russell · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	50/1	4.25

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (5)	Road To Wembley Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	130	—	79-011	72	91	72	7d	—	—	-28	23.4	0.20/1	4/5 56%
On hat-trick after wins at Wolverhampton and Lingfield (by 7l); hard to oppose under a pen
3 (6)	Path To Dubai Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	135	—	12	77	86	47	52d	—	—	+3	25.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Landed maiden here before good Wolver second; not ruled out now his stamina is drawn out
1 (7)	Timetobenice Bay J:Harry Davies T:Marco Botti	J:Harry Davies T:Marco Botti	135	—	712-	77	85	70	120d	—	—	+10	22.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Very good second at Kempton latest; enter calculations now going handicapping
5 (8)	Attila The Honey Grey J:Archie Young(7) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(7) T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	0-531	75	82	59	11d	—	—	+2	8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Progressive sort who scored on h'cap debut here; very much one to consider under 6lb pen
4 (1)	Trafalgar Square Bay J:Harry Russell T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Harry Russell T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	134	t	4683-	76	84	70	164d	—	—	+7	10.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Very good third at Newcastle on final run for Andrew Balding; possibilities for new yard
NR (3)	Galactic Charm Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Bell	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Bell	135	—	322-2	77	83	54	31d	—	—	—	11.8	—	—
Off seven months/gelded before good Wolver second; a much respected handicap debutant
NR (2)	Billiegee Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:James Ferguson	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Ferguson	131	—	214-23	73	84	52	1d	—	—	—	5.8	—	—
Improved Wolver second latest; she can go well again with longer trip promising to suit
NR (4)	Monsieur Melee Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jedd O'Keeffe	129	—	6534-	71	84	-	207d	—	—	—	7.4	—	—
Fair juvenile maiden; off six months off/gelded and no forlorn hope upped in trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Road To Wembley	8/11	4/6	4/5	4/6	4/6
Path To Dubai	11/4	3/1	5/2	3/1	11/4
Timetobenice	5/1	11/2	5/1	11/2	5/1
Attila The Honey	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Trafalgar Square	50/1	33/1	22/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Path To Dubai

25.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 12 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Road To Wembley

23.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 17.9

4/5

3rd

Timetobenice

22.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 12 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Galactic Charm

11.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Trafalgar Square

10.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

50/1

Attila The Honey

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Monsieur Melee

7.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Billiegee

5.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Path To Dubai	77	86	47
Timetobenice	77	85	70
Galactic Charm	77	83	54
Trafalgar Square	76	84	70
Attila The Honey	75	82	59
Billiegee	73	84	52
Road To Wembley	72	91	72
Monsieur Melee	71	84	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Billiegee	1d ago	Quick return
Road To Wembley	7d ago	Quick return
Attila The Honey	11d ago	Quick return
Galactic Charm	31d ago	Fit
Path To Dubai	52d ago	Fresh
Timetobenice	120d ago	Long break
Trafalgar Square	164d ago	Long break
Monsieur Melee	207d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.