Ivy Crown Gardening Handicap – Windsor

Windsor

17:50

Ivy Crown Gardening Handicap

Date 2024-04-15

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,397

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (10)	Hakuna Babe Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	135	—	43231-	75	87	82	175d	—	—	+2	30.6	7/4 36%
Won over C&D on final start for William Jarvis; may improve further
2 (2)	Tarbaan Chestnut J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Amy Murphy	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Amy Murphy	136	tb	159-50	76	90	82	26d	—	—	-2	9.8	11/2 15%
Recorded a clearcut win off just 2lb lower on last turf appearance
1 (9)	Fast Steps Bay J:Jack Gilligan T:Rod Millman	J:Jack Gilligan T:Rod Millman	137	—	6463-5	77	91	71	14d	—	—	0	9.3	15/2 12%
Defied a 3lb higher mark over C&D last May; interesting back here
12 (8)	Celebrating Ethel Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	128	—	7789-6	68	89	76	87d	—	—	-1	6.4	10/1 9%
Irish win came off this mark; possibilities on debut for new stable
6 (11)	Jack Sparowe Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:John Butler	J:Paddy Bradley T:John Butler	134	h	15135-	74	86	51	161d	—	—	+11	16.8	11/1 8%
Took a good hold on last appearance; refitting of hood may suit
7 (1)	Premiere Ligne Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Hughie Morrison	J:George Bass(3) T:Hughie Morrison	133	t	82486-	73	88	63	214d	—	—	+3	9	11/1 8%
May improve for a tweak (had wind surgery since last run)
3 (7)	Simpson's Paradox Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	135	—	22751-	75	90	78	198d	—	—	+15	20.4	12/1 8%
Belatedly off the mark on final Irish start; handicap/stable debut
9 (4)	Kotari Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Gary Moore	J:Rob Hornby T:Gary Moore	133	—	722/6-	73	82	43	—	—	—	+2	7.1	14/1 7%
This is only his second Flat attempt for current yard; may improve
14 (12)	Rival Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:John & Rhys Flint	120	p	45790-	60	88	83	175d	—	—	-1	3.7	16/1 6%
Doesn't appear to be crying out for this step back up in trip
13 (6)	Fascinating Lips Bay J:Anna Gibson(7) T:Gary Moore	J:Anna Gibson(7) T:Gary Moore	123	—	/7854-	63	85	65	199d	—	—	+1	4.2	20/1 5%
Not solid on 2023 form but starts this campaign on a handy mark
5 (5)	Mildyjama Bay J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	134	—	51415-	74	85	72	229d	—	—	+14	16.7	28/1 3%
Disappointing on final run for Ralph Beckett; debut for new yard
11 (14)	Vecchio Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	129	—	/47-87	69	84	79	41d	—	—	+3	5.3	33/1 3%
Maiden; has stamina to prove over this new trip
8 (3)	Cresta Cat Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Andy Irvine	J:Richard Kingscote T:Andy Irvine	133	—	933-20	73	86	36	51d	—	—	+5	6	80/1 1%
Something to prove back on turf; clear best efforts on AW
10 (13)	Looksee Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Patrick Chamings	J:Charles Bishop T:Patrick Chamings	130	—	4379-	70	83	42	194d	—	—	+6	6.7	80/1 1%
Maiden; far from solid on form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Hakuna Babe	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Tarbaan	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Fast Steps	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Celebrating Ethel	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Jack Sparowe	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Premiere Ligne	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Simpson's Paradox	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Kotari	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Rival	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Fascinating Lips	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Mildyjama	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Vecchio	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Cresta Cat	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Looksee	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hakuna Babe

30.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 15.5 Odds: 8.9

7/4

2nd

Simpson's Paradox

20.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

3rd

Jack Sparowe

16.8

OR: 6 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Mildyjama

16.7

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Tarbaan

9.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Fast Steps

9.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Premiere Ligne

OR: 5.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Kotari

7.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Looksee

6.7

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Celebrating Ethel

6.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Cresta Cat

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Vecchio

5.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Fascinating Lips

4.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Rival

3.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fast Steps	77	91	71
Tarbaan	76	90	82
Hakuna Babe	75	87	82
Simpson's Paradox	75	90	78
Jack Sparowe	74	86	51
Mildyjama	74	85	72
Premiere Ligne	73	88	63
Kotari	73	82	43
Cresta Cat	73	86	36
Looksee	70	83	42
Vecchio	69	84	79
Celebrating Ethel	68	89	76
Fascinating Lips	63	85	65
Rival	60	88	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fast Steps	14d ago	Fit
Tarbaan	26d ago	Fit
Vecchio	41d ago	Fit
Cresta Cat	51d ago	Fresh
Celebrating Ethel	87d ago	Fresh
Jack Sparowe	161d ago	Long break
Hakuna Babe	175d ago	Long break
Rival	175d ago	Long break
Looksee	194d ago	Long break
Simpson's Paradox	198d ago	Long break
Fascinating Lips	199d ago	Long break
Premiere Ligne	214d ago	Long break
Mildyjama	229d ago	Long break
Kotari	—	—