weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap Hurdle – Bangor-on-Dee

Bangor-on-Dee

16:00

weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-04-20

Distance 2m3f123y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (15)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10	Far Sight Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	159	t	13763-	101	111	87	410d	—	—	-1	27.5	9/4 31%
Not seen since promising handicap debut in March 2023 but has joined burgeoning stable
12	Elle Est Beau Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Dan Skelton	J:Kielan Woods T:Dan Skelton	158	—	8033F6	100	109	94	24d	—	—	-2	20.5	4/1 20%
Flopped when upped to 3m last time but was in front before last-flight fall two starts ago
1	Yealand Bay J:Luke Scott(5) T:Jennie Candlish	J:Luke Scott(5) T:Jennie Candlish	170	—	541251	112	113	89	31d	—	—	+19	36	9/2 18%
2-4 since switched to handicaps; latest 6lb rise offset by Luke Scott's useful 5lb claim
3	Galunggung Grey J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	169	—	1/2-1	111	108	75	29d	—	—	+28	36.1	17/2 11%
Very lightly raced 8yo; won a novice last month; should have more to offer in handicaps
15	Iron Heart Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	150	v	-25P84	92	108	92	25d	—	—	+6	12.7	16/1 6%
Belied 80-1 odds when fourth last month but others have much more convincing profiles
13	Kapamazov Bay J:Ben Poste T:James Evans	J:Ben Poste T:James Evans	156	—	44-064	98	108	86	24d	—	—	+7	13.7	14/1 7%
0-6 over hurdles; both runs this year were very respectable but more is needed today
2	Thank You Ma'am Chestnut J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Miss Olive Nicholls(7) T:Georgina Nicholls	170	—	032220	112	110	86	42d	—	—	+19	25.2	14/1 7%
Close second on handicap debut two starts ago and faced a tough assignment last time
9	Thankyourluckystar Bay J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Alastair Ralph	160	—	13-P42	102	110	79	41d	—	—	+8	14.7	16/1 6%
Won off this mark last March but is yet to strike form this season
8	Malpas Bay J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	163	t	66-372	105	109	-	52d	—	—	+10	15.1	22/1 4%
Not as good as he was but ran game race in defeat over fences here in February
6	Lily Glitters Bay J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	163	—	54-2P7	105	107	-	126d	—	—	+12	14.5	33/1 3%
Ended 2023 with two heavy defeats over fences and would appeal more over 3m+
14	Konfusion Chestnut J:Nick Scholfield T:Sue Smith	J:Nick Scholfield T:Sue Smith	154	—	33-98	96	100	53	83d	—	—	+10	12.2	33/1 3%
Returned from long absence with two underwhelming runs in January; handicap debut today
NR	Blazing Soldier Chestnut J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	167	—	U3-713	109	100	74	61d	—	—	—	14.8	—
Finished tired on heavy ground last time but won on his rules debut and remains unexposed
NR	Queshi Bridge Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	165	—	22-23U	107	106	56	6d	—	—	—	14.3	—
Didn't get far at Hereford on Sunday but started off for this stable with two good efforts
NR	Tregele Bay J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	163	—	4-335P	105	110	89	20d	—	—	—	13.8	—
Needs to prove wellbeing after dropping out quickly last month but remains lightly raced
NR	Finn Lough Bay J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	159	t	1-545	101	109	63	101d	—	—	—	19.8	—
Irish point winner; shaped with promise in three 2m hurdles; up in trip for handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Far Sight	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1	15/8
Elle Est Beau	7/2	4/1	4/1	11/4	7/2
Yealand	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Galunggung	8/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1
Iron Heart	16/1	11/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Kapamazov	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Thank You Ma'am	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Thankyourluckystar	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1	12/1
Malpas	18/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Lily Glitters	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Konfusion	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Galunggung

36.1

OR: 15.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

2nd

Yealand

OR: 15.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Far Sight

27.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 8.9

9/4

Thank You Ma'am

25.2

OR: 15.5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Elle Est Beau

20.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 1.4 Odds: 6.7

4/1

Finn Lough

19.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Malpas

15.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Blazing Soldier

14.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Thankyourluckystar

14.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Lily Glitters

14.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Queshi Bridge

14.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Tregele

13.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Kapamazov

13.7

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Iron Heart

12.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 0.3 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Konfusion

12.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Yealand	112	113	89
Thank You Ma'am	112	110	86
Galunggung	111	108	75
Blazing Soldier	109	100	74
Queshi Bridge	107	106	56
Malpas	105	109	—
Lily Glitters	105	107	—
Tregele	105	110	89
Thankyourluckystar	102	110	79
Far Sight	101	111	87
Finn Lough	101	109	63
Elle Est Beau	100	109	94
Kapamazov	98	108	86
Konfusion	96	100	53
Iron Heart	92	108	92

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Queshi Bridge	6d ago	Quick return
Tregele	20d ago	Fit
Elle Est Beau	24d ago	Fit
Kapamazov	24d ago	Fit
Iron Heart	25d ago	Fit
Galunggung	29d ago	Fit
Yealand	31d ago	Fit
Thankyourluckystar	41d ago	Fit
Thank You Ma'am	42d ago	Fit
Malpas	52d ago	Fresh
Blazing Soldier	61d ago	Fresh
Konfusion	83d ago	Fresh
Finn Lough	101d ago	Long break
Lily Glitters	126d ago	Long break
Far Sight	410d ago	Long break