Nightingale House Hospice 'Junior' National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Bangor-on-Dee

4:35

Date 2024-04-20

Distance 2m145y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo

Prize £3,697

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Doctor Kildare ch J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nicky Henderson	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nicky Henderson	154	—	4	-	103	69	88d	—	—	-20	8.9	2/1 33%
Only fourth when warm favourite for Newbury debut but that was still a promising run
12	Walk With Charisma b J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	7/2 22%
Has a good pedigree and represents stable with healthy strike-rate in bumpers
6	Moon Over Clyro b J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	7/1 13%
Half-brother to useful hurdler Nightboattoclyro; stable does very well in bumpers
7	Mythical Moon b J:Brian Hughes T:Alan King	J:Brian Hughes T:Alan King	154	—	7	-	93	57	56d	—	—	-6	2.5	10/1 9%
Made underwhelming debut when seventh of nine at Kempton in November
9	Saffin Storm b J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	12/1 8%
29,000euros 3yo; first foal; unraced dam half-sister to useful hurdler Western Honour
11	Walden b J:Lewis Stones(3) T:Tom Weston	J:Lewis Stones(3) T:Tom Weston	154	—	5	-	101	70	25d	—	—	-4	1.4	18/1 5%
Shaped with significant promise when fifth of 12 at Taunton last month
1	Aceofadiamond b J:Nick Scholfield T:Ella Pickard	J:Nick Scholfield T:Ella Pickard	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	20/1 5%
Half-brother to useful Irish bumper/hurdle winners Mumbo Jumbo and Mumbo Bay; a possible
5	Full Of Secrets b J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	25/1 4%
Out of a well-connected triple bumper winner; with that pedigree, he can't be ignored
14	Alexandra Larose b J:Sean Bowen T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Sean Bowen T:Georgina Nicholls	147	—	4	-	93	72	40d	—	—	-3	1.1	28/1 3%
From good jumping family and shaped with promise on heavy ground at Stratford last month
2	Bongo Man b J:Richie McLernon T:Paul Webber	J:Richie McLernon T:Paul Webber	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	28/1 3%
Dam was a useful hurdle/chase; stable has very modest bumper strike-rate
8	Romeo Foxtrot b J:Kielan Woods T:Jo Davis	J:Kielan Woods T:Jo Davis	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	33/1 3%
Brother to a bumper winner but stable 0-17 in these races during last five seasons
13	Willow Caught ch J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Chris Down	J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Chris Down	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	22/1 4%
Brother to smart jumper Black Op but stable not known for bumper success
NR	Captain Trigger b J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—
Half-brother to very useful staying chaser Captain Cattistock; market may guide
NR	Shady Wadey ch J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—
Half-brother to useful jumper Sarasota Star and a bumper winner; yard does well in bumpers

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Doctor Kildare	2/1	15/8	2/1	15/8	15/8
Walk With Charisma	7/2	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4
Moon Over Clyro	6/1	11/2	7/1	11/2	11/2
Mythical Moon	8/1	10/1	8/1	9/1	8/1
Saffin Storm	12/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Walden	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Aceofadiamond	16/1	16/1	20/1	16/1	18/1
Full Of Secrets	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Alexandra Larose	28/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Bongo Man	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Romeo Foxtrot	33/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Willow Caught	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Doctor Kildare

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Walk With Charisma

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

7/2

3rd

Moon Over Clyro

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Mythical Moon

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Saffin Storm

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Aceofadiamond

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Walden

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Alexandra Larose

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Willow Caught

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Full Of Secrets

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Bongo Man

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Romeo Foxtrot

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Captain Trigger

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Shady Wadey

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Doctor Kildare	—	103	69
Walk With Charisma	—	—	—
Moon Over Clyro	—	—	—
Mythical Moon	—	93	57
Saffin Storm	—	—	—
Walden	—	101	70
Aceofadiamond	—	—	—
Full Of Secrets	—	—	—
Alexandra Larose	—	93	72
Bongo Man	—	—	—
Romeo Foxtrot	—	—	—
Willow Caught	—	—	—
Captain Trigger	—	—	—
Shady Wadey	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Walden	25d ago	Fit
Alexandra Larose	40d ago	Fit
Mythical Moon	56d ago	Fresh
Doctor Kildare	88d ago	Fresh
Walk With Charisma	—	—
Moon Over Clyro	—	—
Saffin Storm	—	—
Aceofadiamond	—	—
Full Of Secrets	—	—
Bongo Man	—	—
Romeo Foxtrot	—	—
Willow Caught	—	—
Captain Trigger	—	—
Shady Wadey	—	—