Tote Never Beaten By SP Handicap – Curragh

Curragh

17:05

Tote Never Beaten By SP Handicap

Date 2024-04-20

Distance 6f

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (23)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (20)	Merisi Diamond Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Martin Brassil	J:Ronan Whelan T:Martin Brassil	129	t	S51-12	74	93	70	10d	—	—	-10	12.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Dual course winner on heavy; second over 7f at Leopardstown last time; has more to offer
16 (16)	Secret Magician Bay J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Martin Hassett	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Martin Hassett	126	b	0453-4	71	98	79	21d	—	—	-1	7.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Both wins have come over C&D and he handles heavy; shaped well at Cork three weeks ago
3 (7)	Tough Talk Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	141	t	2/784-	86	92	82	282d	—	—	+6	15.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Smart 2yo and lightly raced since; potentially on a good mark with perhaps more to give
10 (21)	Ramiro Chestnut J:J M Sheridan T:Miss Hilary McLoughlin	J:J M Sheridan T:Miss Hilary McLoughlin	130	h	224-27	75	93	75	21d	—	—	0	8.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Good second over 7f at Naas last month; didn't see out his race when favourite at Cork
8 (22)	Polar Bear Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Mrs John Harrington	135	p	2460-5	80	96	83	33d	—	—	+2	9.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has won over 6f and handles heavy; should have come on for fair return at Cork
18 (17)	Mercurial Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:John J Nallen	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:John J Nallen	124	p	2262-9	69	95	74	33d	—	—	+1	6.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Runner-up three times last term including over C&D on similar ground in October
4 (6)	Dagoda Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	137	—	81173-	82	92	70	172d	—	—	+15	20.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Dual course winner and third of 19 after missing the break in a C&D handicap in October
21 (15)	Super Over Chestnut J:David Egan T:D P Coakley	J:David Egan T:D P Coakley	123	v	8-4317	68	94	47	13d	—	—	-1	6.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Four wins on AW (7f/1m); yet to win on turf and faded over 1m on heavy ground last time
1 (13)	Heavenly Power Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Edward Lynam	J:James Ryan(5) T:Edward Lynam	144	—	20813-	89	93	77	189d	—	—	+17	22.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Dual course winner but probably needs his best form yet to defy current mark
19 (8)	Hokusai Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Noel Meade	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Noel Meade	123	b	2466-8	68	89	76	33d	—	—	0	6.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Yet to shine over this trip but could go well under last season's champion apprentice
15 (12)	Run The Jewels b/br J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Daniel McLoughlin	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Daniel McLoughlin	126	—	01-805	71	91	63	15d	—	—	+2	6.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
First try over 6f at Dundalk was encouraging but he's probably better around a bend
13 (10)	Saturn Seven Chestnut J:Declan McDonogh T:Edward Lynam	J:Declan McDonogh T:Edward Lynam	128	t	19461-	73	95	83	191d	—	—	+15	18.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
5f winner here on testing ground when last seen in October; visor worn then left off
6 (18)	Brave Troop Brown J:Luke McAteer T:Barry J Fitzgerald	J:Luke McAteer T:Barry J Fitzgerald	135	—	14003-	80	96	79	—	—	—	+10	13.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Beaten fractions off this mark over 7f at Listowel in September; long lay-off to overcome
12 (3)	Rathbranchurch Chestnut J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	128	—	21328-	73	92	83	167d	—	—	+12	16	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Consistent handicapper throughout last season and ran well first time out; goes on heavy
20 (4)	Midnight Fire Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Leigh Roche T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	123	t	30600-	68	97	84	172d	—	—	+1	6.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Three of his four wins have come over C&D including first-time out last term on heavy
7 (2)	Gustavus Weston Brown J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	135	—	427-00	80	97	44	21d	—	—	+5	8.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Second over 5f here in the autumn but no encouragement from his two starts this term
5 (9)	Rough Diamond Bay J:Ben Coen T:Edward Lynam	J:Ben Coen T:Edward Lynam	136	t	00-866	81	88	58	57d	—	—	+5	9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Four-time winner handles soft; not in great form on AW over the winter; tongue-tie
22 (1)	Tai Sing Yeh Bay J:Killian Leonard T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Killian Leonard T:Denis Gerard Hogan	123	tb	4-0333	68	95	-	15d	—	—	+2	5.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Only beaten 2l in AW handicap latest but this company looks bit too hot for him
2 (19)	Never Shout Never Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	141	—	120-06	86	94	66	21d	—	—	+6	10	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Second over C&D last term for Fozzy Stack; weak in market when beaten around 5l at Cork
17 (14)	Distillate Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Chris Hayes T:Adrian McGuinness	125	—	025-05	70	94	85	80d	—	—	+3	5.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Three-time winner handles heavy but off since January and opposable in this grade
23 (11)	Livingston Range Chestnut J:Danny Sheehy T:R Donohoe	J:Danny Sheehy T:R Donohoe	120	t	039000	65	97	-	15d	—	—	+3	4.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Soundly beaten in three starts since switching yards last month and hard to fancy
NR (5)	Coumshingaun Bay J:TBC T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J: T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	131	—	5829-6	76	95	82	21d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Dual C&D winner should be better for seasonal debut over 7f at Cork and is fairly treated
NR (23)	Run Forrest Run Bay J:TBC T:Michael Patrick Fenton	J: T:Michael Patrick Fenton	126	p	7140-7	71	94	75	21d	—	—	—	5.3	—	—
Hold-up sprinter won twice over 6f last term, here and at Cork; needs luck in running

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Merisi Diamond	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Secret Magician	10/1	17/2	9/1	17/2	9/1
Tough Talk	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	7/1
Ramiro	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Polar Bear	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Mercurial	20/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Dagoda	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Super Over	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Heavenly Power	14/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Hokusai	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Run The Jewels	14/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Saturn Seven	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Brave Troop	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Rathbranchurch	16/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
Midnight Fire	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	14/1
Gustavus Weston	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Rough Diamond	20/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	16/1
Tai Sing Yeh	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	20/1
Never Shout Never	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Distillate	50/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Livingston Range	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Heavenly Power

22.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 11 Odds: 1.4

18/1

2nd

Dagoda

20.6

OR: 8 Form: 11 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Saturn Seven

18.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 12 Odds: 1

22/1

Rathbranchurch

OR: 5.8 Form: 9 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Tough Talk

15.2

OR: 9 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Brave Troop

13.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Merisi Diamond

12.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Never Shout Never

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Polar Bear

9.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Rough Diamond

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ramiro

8.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Gustavus Weston

8.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Secret Magician

7.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Run The Jewels

6.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Midnight Fire

6.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Coumshingaun

6.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mercurial

6.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Super Over

6.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Hokusai

6.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Distillate

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Tai Sing Yeh

5.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Run Forrest Run

5.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Livingston Range

4.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Heavenly Power	89	93	77
Tough Talk	86	92	82
Never Shout Never	86	94	66
Dagoda	82	92	70
Rough Diamond	81	88	58
Polar Bear	80	96	83
Brave Troop	80	96	79
Gustavus Weston	80	97	44
Coumshingaun	76	95	82
Ramiro	75	93	75
Merisi Diamond	74	93	70
Saturn Seven	73	95	83
Rathbranchurch	73	92	83
Secret Magician	71	98	79
Run The Jewels	71	91	63
Run Forrest Run	71	94	75
Distillate	70	94	85
Mercurial	69	95	74
Super Over	68	94	47
Hokusai	68	89	76
Midnight Fire	68	97	84
Tai Sing Yeh	68	95	—
Livingston Range	65	97	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Merisi Diamond	10d ago	Quick return
Super Over	13d ago	Quick return
Run The Jewels	15d ago	Fit
Tai Sing Yeh	15d ago	Fit
Livingston Range	15d ago	Fit
Secret Magician	21d ago	Fit
Ramiro	21d ago	Fit
Gustavus Weston	21d ago	Fit
Never Shout Never	21d ago	Fit
Coumshingaun	21d ago	Fit
Run Forrest Run	21d ago	Fit
Polar Bear	33d ago	Fit
Mercurial	33d ago	Fit
Hokusai	33d ago	Fit
Rough Diamond	57d ago	Fresh
Distillate	80d ago	Fresh
Rathbranchurch	167d ago	Long break
Dagoda	172d ago	Long break
Midnight Fire	172d ago	Long break
Heavenly Power	189d ago	Long break
Saturn Seven	191d ago	Long break
Tough Talk	282d ago	Long break
Brave Troop	—	—