CPMS Novices' Champion Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Ayr

13:50

Date 2024-04-20

Distance 3m20y

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £25,720

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Sharjah Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	168	t	114349	147	152	128	37d	—	—	+18	31.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Downgraded from Grade 1s but stamina an issue on this belated first run beyond 2m4f
7	Deeper Blue Chestnut J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	153	p	6-2822	132	157	137	29d	—	—	+11	24.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Looks strong form for the grade when second at Newbury; up 3lb and now in cheekpieces
12	Maclaine Chestnut J:Harry Bannister T:Richard J Bandey	J:Harry Bannister T:Richard J Bandey	145	—	2-4251	124	149	128	29d	—	—	+15	24.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
First run beyond 2m4f when impressing over 2m6f at Newbury; 8lb higher but respected
9	Montgomery Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	148	—	4-4111	127	152	112	28d	—	—	+13	21.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Got there in the end at Bangor to bring up the hat-trick but it wasn't impressive
2	Marble Sands Grey J:Nick Slatter(5) T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:Nick Slatter(5) T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	168	—	6-14P1	147	151	122	—	—	—	+18	26.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Often highly tried hurdling and chasing; impressed in a Musselburgh handicap
10	Hitching Jacking Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	146	p	25-533	125	149	136	35d	—	—	+13	21.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Stamina to prove but trainer is persevering over this far and he's well handicapped
11	Ballycoose Chestnut J:J J Slevin T:S R B Crawford	J:J J Slevin T:S R B Crawford	145	t	/42124	124	151	128	42d	—	—	+23	30.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has a good record here but today's race demands his best form yet; new tongue-tie
3	Inch House Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	157	t	-31124	136	153	133	70d	—	—	+28	35.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Sharp improver this season over fences before running no race last time; capable
8	Abuffalosoldier Brown J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	149	p	752613	128	155	141	29d	—	—	+26	32.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Again ran well last time but was behind Deeper Blue and he looks high in the weights
13	Donny Boy Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	144	p	5-2243	123	154	143	32d	—	—	+14	20	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Probably no more than place claims even if the cheekpieces trigger something
5	Mofasa Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	154	t	0-2155	133	151	126	29d	—	—	+17	22.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Behind Deeper Blue and Abuffalosoldier last time at Newbury; has to get back on track
4	Young Buster Bay J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	156	p	4-1113	135	150	126	84d	—	—	+17	22.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won his first three over fences and a late mistake scuppered him last time at Doncaster
6	Special Rate Bay J:Thomas Dowson T:Philip Kirby	J:Thomas Dowson T:Philip Kirby	153	t	114113	132	152	130	49d	—	—	+35	38.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Can make mistakes (as was the case last time) but there's no knocking his strike-rate

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sharjah	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	9/2
Deeper Blue	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	11/2
Maclaine	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Montgomery	8/1	17/2	8/1	17/2	8/1
Marble Sands	9/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	8/1
Hitching Jacking	9/1	8/1	17/2	17/2	8/1
Ballycoose	10/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Inch House	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Abuffalosoldier	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Donny Boy	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Mofasa	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Young Buster	20/1	16/1	16/1	12/1	16/1
Special Rate	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Special Rate

38.4

OR: 20.5 Form: 17 Odds: 0.9

25/1

2nd

Inch House

35.7

OR: 21.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.1

10/1

3rd

Abuffalosoldier

32.7

OR: 19.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Sharjah

31.8

OR: 24.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

6/1

Ballycoose

30.6

OR: 18.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Marble Sands

26.8

OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Maclaine

24.9

OR: 18.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Deeper Blue

24.1

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Young Buster

22.9

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Mofasa

22.4

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Montgomery

21.8

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Hitching Jacking

21.1

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Donny Boy

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sharjah	147	152	128
Marble Sands	147	151	122
Inch House	136	153	133
Young Buster	135	150	126
Mofasa	133	151	126
Deeper Blue	132	157	137
Special Rate	132	152	130
Abuffalosoldier	128	155	141
Montgomery	127	152	112
Hitching Jacking	125	149	136
Maclaine	124	149	128
Ballycoose	124	151	128
Donny Boy	123	154	143

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Montgomery	28d ago	Fit
Deeper Blue	29d ago	Fit
Maclaine	29d ago	Fit
Abuffalosoldier	29d ago	Fit
Mofasa	29d ago	Fit
Donny Boy	32d ago	Fit
Hitching Jacking	35d ago	Fit
Sharjah	37d ago	Fit
Ballycoose	42d ago	Fit
Special Rate	49d ago	Fresh
Inch House	70d ago	Fresh
Young Buster	84d ago	Fresh
Marble Sands	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Young Buster	Prominent
Marble Sands	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 13 runners classified.