AK Bets Best Price Every Runner Handicap Hurdle

Perth

13:30

Date 2024-04-26

Distance 2m47y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,922

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Mack The Man Bay J:Mr Kit Alexander(5) T:N W Alexander	J:Mr Kit Alexander(5) T:N W Alexander	158	v	-67821	109	122	108	21d	—	—	+17	32.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Had dropped to a good mark and he's got back on track in the visor; thereabouts
8	Rascal Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Tom George	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Tom George	157	—	6-3192	108	121	115	25d	—	—	+4	18.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Clear of the third when second to an improver at Huntingdon; enters the reckoning
9	Old Gregorian Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	156	t	52-1P3	107	120	106	81d	—	—	+4	18.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Unexposed novice who should have more to offer in handicaps; had wind op
1	Lively Citizen Bay J:Cian Chester(10) T:D J Jeffreys	J:Cian Chester(10) T:D J Jeffreys	168	—	4F2714	119	121	112	14d	—	—	+18	28.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Arrives here on the back of an excellent run two weeks ago at Aintree
5	Cuban Cigar Bay J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Lucinda Russell	163	tb	419334	114	120	108	21d	—	—	+15	24	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Fairly consistent 6yo but it's never going to be easy off his current mark
12	Polisud Grey J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Micky Hammond	151	t	P56312	102	119	116	31d	—	—	+22	28.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
In form but drying ground might not be ideal for him and this is a rise in class
7	Scots Poet Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	158	t	242S10	109	121	113	21d	—	—	+19	25	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Never gave his running last time but won nicely the time before and usually consistent
2	Well Planted Bay J:Ben Smith(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Ben Smith(7) T:R Mike Smith	168	—	432126	119	120	107	—	—	—	+24	29.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Generally runs this track very well but he would prefer drier ground
11	Can't Stop Now Chestnut J:Conor O'Farrell T:Iain Jardine	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Iain Jardine	155	h	410-62	106	119	112	—	—	—	+11	15	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Had wind surgery since his last run and could go well off this mark if back in good order
3	Jason The Militant Bay J:Joe Williamson(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Joe Williamson(3) T:Philip Kirby	167	tb	-0955P	118	117	97	42d	—	—	+15	17.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has struggled for a while and his good days for Henry De Bromhead are a fading memory
4	Forcing Bull Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	166	t	8110-P	117	118	106	153d	—	—	+15	17.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
They were minor Sedgefield races that he won and unconvinced he's well handicapped
NR	Dominic's Fault Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	156	t	F-13	107	121	98	73d	—	—	—	14.3	—	—
Novice winner; goes handicapping with very low mileage and a tongue-tie is added

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mack The Man	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Rascal	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Old Gregorian	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Lively Citizen	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Cuban Cigar	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Polisud	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Scots Poet	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Well Planted	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Can't Stop Now	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Jason The Militant	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Forcing Bull	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mack The Man

32.7

OR: 14.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

Well Planted

29.2

OR: 17.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.4

14/1

3rd

Lively Citizen

28.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 8.2 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Polisud

28.2

OR: 13 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Scots Poet

OR: 14.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Cuban Cigar

OR: 16 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Rascal

18.9

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Old Gregorian

18.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Jason The Militant

17.9

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Forcing Bull

17.2

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Can't Stop Now

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Dominic's Fault

14.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lively Citizen	119	121	112
Well Planted	119	120	107
Jason The Militant	118	117	97
Forcing Bull	117	118	106
Cuban Cigar	114	120	108
Mack The Man	109	122	108
Scots Poet	109	121	113
Rascal	108	121	115
Old Gregorian	107	120	106
Dominic's Fault	107	121	98
Can't Stop Now	106	119	112
Polisud	102	119	116

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lively Citizen	14d ago	Fit
Mack The Man	21d ago	Fit
Cuban Cigar	21d ago	Fit
Scots Poet	21d ago	Fit
Rascal	25d ago	Fit
Polisud	31d ago	Fit
Jason The Militant	42d ago	Fit
Dominic's Fault	73d ago	Fresh
Old Gregorian	81d ago	Fresh
Forcing Bull	153d ago	Long break
Well Planted	—	—
Can't Stop Now	—	—