Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

21:00

Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap

Date 2024-05-03

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 13.25s (slow by 2.85s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Fircombe Hall (GB) Connor Beasley · Philip Kirby	9/2	Won
2nd	Magic Gem (GB) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	12/1	.75
3rd	Flavius Titus (GB) Andrew Mullen · Danny Brooke	28/1	1.5
4th	Noble Captain (GB) Joanna Mason · Katie Scott	9/2	0.1
5th	Protest Rally (IRE) Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	40/1	0.3
6th	Higher Law (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · Kevin Frost	8/1	.75
7th	Dandys Gold (IRE) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	13/2	1.5
8th	West End Lass (GB) Ryan Sexton · Kevin Frost	66/1	0.3
9th	Absolute Dream (IRE) Jack Garritty · Richard Fahey	9/1	.5
10th	Captain Vallo (IRE) Rowan Scott · Phillip Makin	7/1	.5
11th	Tillybob (IRE) Kevin Stott · Stella Barclay	4/1F	0.3
12th	Kaidu (IRE) Harry Russell · Susan Corbett	33/1	8

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (7)	Fircombe Hall Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Philip Kirby	J:Connor Beasley T:Philip Kirby	130	p	921337	50	70	53	7d	—	—	-3	12	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Placed in two handicaps since C&D classified win in March; probably in the mix again
2 (8)	Tillybob Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Stella Barclay	J:Kevin Stott T:Stella Barclay	136	—	48/0-5	56	64	43	42d	—	—	-10	5.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Unexposed filly who made very encouraging stable debut over C&D in March; interesting
8 (13)	Noble Captain Chestnut J:Joanna Mason T:Katie Scott	J:Joanna Mason T:Katie Scott	132	t	537146	52	68	58	39d	—	—	-4	10.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Dual C&D winner this year; not quite at best lately but current mark probably workable
12 (10)	Dandys Gold Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	130	—	342481	50	68	49	7d	—	—	+4	14.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Kept on well for C&D win a week ago; effectively only 3lb higher under penalty
4 (6)	Captain Vallo Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	J:Rowan Scott T:Phillip Makin	135	v	-49560	55	68	50	25d	—	—	-6	3.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Not seen to best effect over 7f last month; reverts to optimum trip on good mark
13 (11)	Higher Law Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Kevin Frost	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Kevin Frost	128	tp	462042	48	71	60	10d	—	—	0	8.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
0-24 now but pretty consistent this year, and went close at Wolverhampton recently
5 (3)	Absolute Dream Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	135	p	038125	55	69	55	17d	—	—	+5	12.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Didn't really fire here last month but has claims if judged on his two March runs
9 (2)	Magic Gem Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	132	—	1/183-	52	68	60	235d	—	—	+3	9.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Close third over C&D in September; makes stable debut after 235-day absence
10 (9)	Flavius Titus Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Danny Brooke	J:Andrew Mullen T:Danny Brooke	130	p	42575-	50	68	57	185d	—	—	0	2.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Ran okay here in October but not seen since and best known as a turf performer
1 (5)	Protest Rally Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	137	p	2650-8	57	65	24	25d	—	—	0	2.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Safely held on all three stable starts; cheekpieces added today
6 (1)	Kaidu Bay J:Harry Russell T:Susan Corbett	J:Harry Russell T:Susan Corbett	134	h	200-30	54	67	53	13d	—	—	0	1.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Struggled (albeit on soft turf) on recent stable debut and now 0-10
7 (12)	West End Lass Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Kevin Frost	J:Ryan Sexton T:Kevin Frost	133	—	6650	53	66	36	10d	—	—	0	1.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Weakened into tenth when 66-1 for recent handicap debut at Wolverhampton
NR (4)	Global Effort Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Phil McEntee	J:NON-RUNNER T:Phil McEntee	136	—	505-45	56	-	-	4d	—	—	—	1.5	—	—
Non-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Fircombe Hall	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Tillybob	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Noble Captain	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Dandys Gold	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Captain Vallo	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Higher Law	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Absolute Dream	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Magic Gem	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Flavius Titus	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Protest Rally	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Kaidu	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
West End Lass	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dandys Gold

14.6

OR: 0 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.1

6/1

2nd

Absolute Dream

12.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.9

10/1

3rd

Fircombe Hall

OR: 0 Form: 7.6 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Noble Captain

10.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4

9/2

Magic Gem

9.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Higher Law

8.9

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Tillybob

5.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Captain Vallo

3.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Protest Rally

2.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Flavius Titus

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Kaidu

1.5

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Global Effort

1.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

West End Lass

1.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Protest Rally	57	65	24
Tillybob	56	64	43
Global Effort	56	—	—
Captain Vallo	55	68	50
Absolute Dream	55	69	55
Kaidu	54	67	53
West End Lass	53	66	36
Noble Captain	52	68	58
Magic Gem	52	68	60
Fircombe Hall	50	70	53
Dandys Gold	50	68	49
Flavius Titus	50	68	57
Higher Law	48	71	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Global Effort	4d ago	Quick return
Fircombe Hall	7d ago	Quick return
Dandys Gold	7d ago	Quick return
Higher Law	10d ago	Quick return
West End Lass	10d ago	Quick return
Kaidu	13d ago	Quick return
Absolute Dream	17d ago	Fit
Captain Vallo	25d ago	Fit
Protest Rally	25d ago	Fit
Noble Captain	39d ago	Fit
Tillybob	42d ago	Fit
Flavius Titus	185d ago	Long break
Magic Gem	235d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.