Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:30

Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap

Date 2024-05-03

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 26.85s (slow by 3.05s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Marcello Si (GB) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	7/2J	Won
2nd	Odd Socks Havana (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Rebecca Menzies	4/1	0.2
3rd	Darker (GB) Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	9/2	4
4th	Brother Dave (GB) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	7/2J	1.25
5th	Jems Bond (GB) Rowan Scott · Alan Brown	12/1	2.5
6th	Anif (IRE) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	7/1	0.3
7th	Billian (IRE) Alex Jary · Philip Kirby	33/1	1
8th	Broxi (IRE) Elle-May Croot · Ivan Furtado	11/1	0.05
9th	Grand Style (FR) Tyler Heard · Philip Kirby	80/1	4.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (10)	Marcello Si Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	127	—	141624	50	70	53	33d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-6	11.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Won twice here in January, but has a bit to find with Brother Dave on recent meetings
2 (7)	Odd Socks Havana Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Rebecca Menzies	135	tp	623411	58	66	39	7d	—	—	+8	26.3	0.80/1	16/5 24%
Five wins here and 5lb higher in hat-trick bid; still a player in his current form
3 (1)	Brother Dave Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	131	—	223116	54	72	63	17d	—	—	+4	19.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Well behind Angel Of Antrim in his hat-trick bid last time; this may be run more to suit
9 (5)	Darker Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	123	b	50-636	46	70	44	10d	—	—	-8	3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-19 so the switch to blinkers will need to make a difference
4 (3)	Anif Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	130	p	076655	53	67	45	7d	—	—	-7	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Five wins here and 20lb below last winning mark, but opposable on balance
6 (2)	Jems Bond Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	128	p	364307	51	71	59	17d	—	—	-3	3.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Last five wins have come here, but losing run now 14 and was behind two of these last time
7 (8)	Broxi Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	128	b	040719	51	70	59	50d	—	—	+3	9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
C&D winner last month but last at Southwell a week later; not sure what to expect
10 (9)	Billian Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Philip Kirby	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Philip Kirby	123	v	90-770	46	68	55	10d	—	—	-2	0.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
3-42 and recent efforts don't suggest his strike-rate is about to improve
5 (6)	Grand Style Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Philip Kirby	128	—	5977-0	51	57	-	90d	—	—	-1	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Beaten one rival in four starts since arriving from France; best watched on stable debut
NR (4)	Angel Of Antrim Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	136	p	414313	59	67	58	7d	—	—	—	15.8	—	—
Won over C&D on penultimate start, his only outing over this trip since last summer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Marcello Si	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Odd Socks Havana	16/5	16/5	16/5	16/5	16/5
Brother Dave	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Darker	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Anif	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Jems Bond	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Broxi	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Billian	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Grand Style	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Odd Socks Havana

26.3

OR: 2 Form: 18.9 Odds: 5.4

16/5

2nd

Brother Dave

19.3

OR: 1 Form: 13.9 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Angel Of Antrim

15.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0

—

Marcello Si

11.7

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Broxi

OR: 0.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Anif

3.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Jems Bond

3.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Darker

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3

13/2

Billian

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Grand Style

0.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Angel Of Antrim	59	67	58
Odd Socks Havana	58	66	39
Brother Dave	54	72	63
Anif	53	67	45
Jems Bond	51	71	59
Broxi	51	70	59
Grand Style	51	57	—
Marcello Si	50	70	53
Darker	46	70	44
Billian	46	68	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Odd Socks Havana	7d ago	Quick return
Anif	7d ago	Quick return
Angel Of Antrim	7d ago	Quick return
Darker	10d ago	Quick return
Billian	10d ago	Quick return
Brother Dave	17d ago	Fit
Jems Bond	17d ago	Fit
Marcello Si	33d ago	Fit
Broxi	50d ago	Fresh
Grand Style	90d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.