Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:07

Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap

Date 2024-05-12

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £10,468

Winning Time 1m 11.75s (slow by 1.35s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Cross The Tracks (GB) Oisin Murphy · Richard Spencer	5/4F	Won
2nd	Wren Officer (GB) David Allan · Gay Kelleway	12/1	2
3rd	Mr Wonderful (GB) David Egan · Kevin Philippart De Foy	9/2	0.3
4th	Bulmer Bank (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	8/1	1.5
5th	Swordplay (FR) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	18/1	0.05
6th	She's A Gambler (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	20/1	0.2
7th	Infinity Blue (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	18/1	2.5
8th	Tierney (IRE) Jason Hart · Hugo Palmer	8/1	.75
9th	Oakland Princess (IRE) Sam James · K R Burke	12/1	3.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Cross The Tracks Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Spencer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Spencer	135	b	-45612	80	91	78	44d	—	—	-3	29.5	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Good progress the last twice, picked off only late in better C&D race latest; good claims
2 (6)	Mr Wonderful Bay J:David Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:David Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	132	—	937-	77	84	-	276d	—	—	+1	11.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Looks well treated on his Newbury third last summer; gelded prior to stable/h'cap debut
9 (2)	Bulmer Bank Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	121	h	56047-	66	89	60	183d	—	—	-2	6.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Prominent in the market for two nursery runs in the autumn; unexposed; hooded for return
3 (4)	Tierney Bay J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	131	—	15245-	76	87	71	229d	—	—	+6	13.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
6f nursery winner last summer but didn't kick on afterwards; vulnerable to improvers
10 (1)	Oakland Princess Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	120	—	44-06	65	85	60	9d	—	—	-1	5.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Had no luck on her recent handicap debut (C&D); open to further progress
6 (10)	Buzz Box Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	128	—	06-12	73	90	78	89d	—	—	+1	7.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two good runs here for new yard; could do with settling better but still has potential
8 (9)	Wren Officer Bay J:David Allan T:Gay Kelleway	J:David Allan T:Gay Kelleway	125	v	465413	70	90	72	9d	—	—	+11	16.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two Class 6 wins over C&D this year; solid 3rd latest; up in weights/class; vulnerable
5 (5)	She's A Gambler Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	128	—	11-6	73	86	28	14d	—	—	+2	7.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
2-2 on turf as a 2yo; 22-1 and well beaten on last month's h'cap debut; still early days
7 (3)	Infinity Blue Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	128	—	83436-	73	88	-	209d	—	—	+6	10	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Didn't progress for A Balding as a 2yo; sold 37,000gns and gelded; needs a personal best
4 (8)	Swordplay Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	30527-	76	86	-	227d	—	—	+8	11.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Hamilton win as a 2yo but not obviously ahead of her mark now switched to AW

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cross The Tracks	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Mr Wonderful	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Bulmer Bank	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Tierney	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Oakland Princess	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Buzz Box	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Wren Officer	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
She's A Gambler	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Infinity Blue	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Swordplay	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cross The Tracks

29.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 12 Odds: 10

6/4

2nd

Wren Officer

16.6

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

12/1

3rd

Tierney

13.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Mr Wonderful

11.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Swordplay

11.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Infinity Blue

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Buzz Box

7.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

She's A Gambler

7.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Bulmer Bank

6.2

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Oakland Princess

5.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cross The Tracks	80	91	78
Mr Wonderful	77	84	—
Tierney	76	87	71
Swordplay	76	86	—
Buzz Box	73	90	78
She's A Gambler	73	86	28
Infinity Blue	73	88	—
Wren Officer	70	90	72
Bulmer Bank	66	89	60
Oakland Princess	65	85	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Oakland Princess	9d ago	Quick return
Wren Officer	9d ago	Quick return
She's A Gambler	14d ago	Fit
Cross The Tracks	44d ago	Fit
Buzz Box	89d ago	Fresh
Bulmer Bank	183d ago	Long break
Infinity Blue	209d ago	Long break
Swordplay	227d ago	Long break
Tierney	229d ago	Long break
Mr Wonderful	276d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Bulmer Bank	Prominent
Infinity Blue	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 10 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.