Ire-Incentive It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes (No More Than One Run) (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Beverley

14:15

Date 2024-05-14

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,926

Winning Time 1m 2.12s (slow by 2.12s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Moving Force (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	5/2	Won
2nd	Nad Alshiba Snow (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	28/1	1
3rd	Rajeteriat (GB) Jack Mitchell · Tom Clover	9/2	0.3
4th	Assertively (IRE) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	6/4F	2.5
5th	Symbol Of Strength (IRE) David Nolan · Adrian Paul Keatley	10/1	0.05
6th	East Tyrone (IRE) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	13/2	1.5
7th	Barmyblade (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby	50/1	2
8th	Nellie Scobie (GB) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	150/1	6.5

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (8)	Assertively Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	137	—	1	-	88	77	17d	—	—	-10	18.9	0.44/1	7/4 36%
7lb penalty for winning on soft ground at Ripon, but the stiffer track should suit; player
4 (7)	Moving Force Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Enough in his pedigree to make him well worth monitoring in the market on debut
5 (2)	Rajeteriat Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	130	—	3	-	80	-	15d	—	—	-7	7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Third of six on his Southwell debut; probably needed to improve if he is to take this
3 (5)	East Tyrone Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	2	-	82	62	12d	—	—	-4	8.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Second of four on Doncaster debut; more needed but the stiffer track should suit
6 (6)	Symbol Of Strength Bay J:David Nolan T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:David Nolan T:Adrian Paul Keatley	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	1W/1P 1 run	-6	2.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Stable does have winning 2yo newcomers (including this month) so he's worth a market check
7 (1)	Nad Alshiba Snow Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Stable had a winning 2yo newcomer last month, but normally they are better for a run
2 (4)	Barmyblade Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	130	—	4	-	68	53	17d	—	—	-1	0.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Around 8l behind Assertively on Ripon debut; 7lb better off but a stiff task
8 (3)	Nellie Scobie Chestnut J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Winning newcomers from stable are very rare; best watched unless market suggests otherwise

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Assertively	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Moving Force	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Rajeteriat	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
East Tyrone	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Symbol Of Strength	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Nad Alshiba Snow	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Barmyblade	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Nellie Scobie	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Assertively

18.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

7/4

2nd

East Tyrone

8.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

5/1

3rd

Rajeteriat

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4

9/2

Moving Force

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Symbol Of Strength

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Nad Alshiba Snow

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Barmyblade

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Nellie Scobie

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Assertively	—	88	77
Moving Force	—	—	—
Rajeteriat	—	80	—
East Tyrone	—	82	62
Symbol Of Strength	—	—	—
Nad Alshiba Snow	—	—	—
Barmyblade	—	68	53
Nellie Scobie	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
East Tyrone	12d ago	Quick return
Rajeteriat	15d ago	Fit
Assertively	17d ago	Fit
Barmyblade	17d ago	Fit
Moving Force	—	—
Symbol Of Strength	—	—
Nad Alshiba Snow	—	—
Nellie Scobie	—	—