Troytown Bar Handicap (Div II) – Navan

Navan

16:50

Troytown Bar Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-05-18

Distance 1m5f

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Glyde Ranger Chestnut J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	140	v	43-302	63	67	51	13d	—	—	-7	7.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Outbattled at Sligo latest; visor back on now and should go well
3 (4)	Gracesolution Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Shane Foley T:Ross O'Sullivan	140	—	735-33	63	75	64	85d	—	—	-8	7.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent in the last year without winning on both turf and AW; needs to settle better
9 (13)	Dubai Clover Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	J:Gary Carroll T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	133	—	49300-	56	71	58	—	—	—	-5	6.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Third here last autumn off 2lb higher gives her claims of sorts; respected yard
14 (5)	Gudrun Genberg Brown J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Aidan Anthony Howard	124	—	90600-	47	69	50	201d	—	—	-12	4.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Rated a meagre 40 on the turf so has it to do from 7lb out of handicap here
12 (10)	Sand Castle Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Adrian Murray	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Adrian Murray	129	tp	39-004	52	73	-	13d	—	—	-9	4.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Bit to find with Glyde Ranger on Sligo run but better ground to suit
8 (14)	Mephisto Grey J:Colin Keane T:Gerard Keane	J:Colin Keane T:Gerard Keane	134	v	056-05	57	76	10	78d	—	—	-7	5.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Better AW performer but respected off 4lb lower turf mark
10 (16)	Say You're Sorry Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:Eamonn O'Connell	J:Chris Hayes T:Eamonn O'Connell	132	ht	0870-4	55	72	-	36d	—	—	-8	4.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Shaped quite nicely on last month's Dundalk return; more needed however
13 (15)	Final Endeavour Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:H Rogers	J:Gavin Ryan T:H Rogers	126	—	07000-	49	72	43	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Career-low Flat mark so can't be ruled out but others hold more appeal
4 (9)	Nomenclature Bay J:Joseph Harnett(10) T:John S O'Donoghue	J:Joseph Harnett(10) T:John S O'Donoghue	140	—	54080-	63	74	-	171d	—	—	-1	5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Handicap efforts so far disappointing; remains on a high enough mark
16 (2)	You Make Me Smile Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:P A Fahy	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:P A Fahy	124	—	0050-8	47	71	45	13d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Recent Flat return was just okay; 3lb wrong and others preferred
6 (11)	Construct Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	135	t	38-000	58	75	32	11d	—	—	-3	3.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Versatile 9yo likes decent ground; recent runs here moderate and hard to fancy
15 (12)	Sceptred Isle Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:G A Kingston	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:G A Kingston	124	—	780/9-	47	68	31	—	—	—	-2	0.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
23-race maiden, hard to fancy from 3lb out of handicap
7 (6)	El C Wells Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Paul Mulligan	J:Robbie Colgan T:Paul Mulligan	135	—	001D6D/9	58	75	-	78d	—	—	-1	3.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
No show at Dundalk in March for new yard and has since switched yards again
11 (7)	Xquise Grey J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	131	—	798/00	54	35	-	19d	—	—	-1	1.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Beaten long way on both runs last month for new yard; dropped 6lb but of limited appeal
NR (1)	Rain Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:James M Barcoe	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:James M Barcoe	141	—	5036-4	64	70	50	21d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
C&D comeback run last month augurs well
NR (8)	Paradise Lost Bay J:W J Lee T:Charles O'Brien	J:W J Lee T:Charles O'Brien	139	—	7558-5	62	68	53	9d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Encouraging Gowran comeback run and entitled to come on for it

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Glyde Ranger	9/2	5/1	11/2	9/2	9/2
Gracesolution	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1
Dubai Clover	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Gudrun Genberg	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	9/2
Sand Castle	13/2	7/1	13/2	7/1	7/1
Mephisto	15/2	15/2	13/2	8/1	15/2
Say You're Sorry	9/1	9/1	15/2	9/1	9/1
Final Endeavour	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Nomenclature	20/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
You Make Me Smile	25/1	20/1	25/1	22/1	18/1
Construct	25/1	12/1	10/1	14/1	12/1
Sceptred Isle	25/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
El C Wells	22/1	25/1	40/1	22/1	28/1
Xquise	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gracesolution

7.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

2nd

Glyde Ranger

7.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Dubai Clover

6.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Mephisto

5.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Nomenclature

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

20/1

Gudrun Genberg

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.9

13/2

Say You're Sorry

4.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

9/1

Sand Castle

4.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Construct

3.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

25/1

Rain

3.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

El C Wells

3.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

40/1

Paradise Lost

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Xquise

1.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Final Endeavour

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

You Make Me Smile

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Sceptred Isle

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rain	64	70	50
Glyde Ranger	63	67	51
Gracesolution	63	75	64
Nomenclature	63	74	—
Paradise Lost	62	68	53
Construct	58	75	32
El C Wells	58	75	—
Mephisto	57	76	10
Dubai Clover	56	71	58
Say You're Sorry	55	72	—
Xquise	54	35	—
Sand Castle	52	73	—
Final Endeavour	49	72	43
Gudrun Genberg	47	69	50
You Make Me Smile	47	71	45
Sceptred Isle	47	68	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Paradise Lost	9d ago	Quick return
Construct	11d ago	Quick return
Glyde Ranger	13d ago	Quick return
Sand Castle	13d ago	Quick return
You Make Me Smile	13d ago	Quick return
Xquise	19d ago	Fit
Rain	21d ago	Fit
Say You're Sorry	36d ago	Fit
Mephisto	78d ago	Fresh
El C Wells	78d ago	Fresh
Gracesolution	85d ago	Fresh
Nomenclature	171d ago	Long break
Gudrun Genberg	201d ago	Long break
Dubai Clover	—	—
Final Endeavour	—	—
Sceptred Isle	—	—