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Windsor

19:40

Date 2024-05-20

Distance 1m3f99y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,653

Runners (15)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (1)	Incremental Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Bell	J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Bell	134	—	421-53	77	90	52	18d	—	—	-6	12	10/3 23%
Beaten at short odds in two handicaps this spring; faster ground can help; not yet exposed
2 (13)	Enthused Bay J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:James Owen	136	p	0/3037	79	89	73	9d	—	—	-3	11.3	9/2 18%
Multiple hurdle winner last year; running creditably on Flat this year; down in grade
11 (10)	Lexington Knight Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	133	t	-67333	76	90	51	30d	—	—	+5	16.4	11/2 15%
Second in this race last year; placed on last three starts; more appealing than most
1 (7)	Miller Spirit Bay J:Shane Kelly T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Shane Kelly T:Gary & Josh Moore	136	—	51540-	79	89	72	152d	—	—	+5	12.2	10/1 9%
Ended 2023 with a heavy defeat; no headgear for his reappearance; risk attached
4 (2)	Good Too Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Brett Johnson	J:Laura Pearson T:Brett Johnson	135	—	-67836	78	88	55	35d	—	—	+4	11	10/1 9%
Ran well over 1m3f last month; outpaced over 1m here latest; unexposed at middle distances
8 (5)	Oj Lifestyle Bay J:Jason Watson T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Jason Watson T:Gary & Josh Moore	134	t	4943-0	77	90	53	30d	—	—	+3	8.4	12/1 8%
Struggled with the handicapper last year; unsighted on return; new trip; yard run three
3 (8)	Croeso Cymraeg Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:James Evans	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:James Evans	136	—	2257-5	79	91	82	28d	—	—	+3	8.9	12/1 8%
On a winning mark and conditions no problem; e-w shout if building on last month's return
6 (9)	Saligo Bay Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary & Josh Moore	135	—	/4150-	78	87	72	—	—	—	+8	13.6	12/1 8%
Won corresponding race off 2lb lower last year; mixed bag over hurdles since last Flat run
5 (4)	Rockit Tommy Chestnut J:David Probert T:Sir Mark Todd	J:David Probert T:Sir Mark Todd	135	t	11-8	78	90	66	28d	—	—	+3	8.4	14/1 7%
2-2 in novices at 3; looked rusty after a year off over C&D last month; now tongue tied
10 (15)	Just An Hour Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	134	—	00-964	77	86	53	28d	—	—	+3	8.1	14/1 7%
Best run for new yard when 4th over C&D latest; that form not franked but unexposed at 12f
14 (6)	Carp Kid Bay J:William Cox T:John & Rhys Flint	J:William Cox T:John & Rhys Flint	124	p	1156-2	67	90	64	14d	—	—	+7	10.2	20/1 5%
Conditions to suit and made a pleasing return two weeks ago; can take a step forward
12 (3)	Carbis Bay Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Chris Gordon	J:Charles Bishop T:Chris Gordon	130	—	52-454	73	88	71	109d	—	—	+4	6.5	25/1 4%
Consistent maiden for M Botti; sold 20,000gns in March; needs more but it's possible
9 (14)	Motazzen Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Henrietta C Knight	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Henrietta C Knight	134	b	4410-6	77	88	80	10d	—	—	+6	7.1	50/1 2%
Yet to shine, Flat or hurdles, for new yard; blinkers now given a go
NR (11)	Warhol Bay J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	129	—	36529-	72	91	84	199d	—	—	—	9.6	—
C&D winner; ran well first time out last spring; betting revealing on his return
NR (12)	Lawn Ranger Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Michael Attwater	120	—	1385-5	63	89	77	19d	—	—	—	3.3	—
Multiple course winner but probably wants slower ground nowadays

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Incremental	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Enthused	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Lexington Knight	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Miller Spirit	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Good Too	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Oj Lifestyle	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Croeso Cymraeg	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Saligo Bay	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Rockit Tommy	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Just An Hour	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Carp Kid	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Carbis Bay	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Motazzen	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lexington Knight

16.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 3.3

11/2

2nd

Saligo Bay

13.6

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

3rd

Miller Spirit

12.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Incremental

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Enthused

11.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Good Too

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Carp Kid

10.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1

20/1

Warhol

9.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 0

—

Croeso Cymraeg

8.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Oj Lifestyle

8.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Rockit Tommy

8.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Just An Hour

8.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Motazzen

7.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Carbis Bay

6.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Lawn Ranger

3.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Enthused	79	89	73
Miller Spirit	79	89	72
Croeso Cymraeg	79	91	82
Good Too	78	88	55
Saligo Bay	78	87	72
Rockit Tommy	78	90	66
Incremental	77	90	52
Oj Lifestyle	77	90	53
Just An Hour	77	86	53
Motazzen	77	88	80
Lexington Knight	76	90	51
Carbis Bay	73	88	71
Warhol	72	91	84
Carp Kid	67	90	64
Lawn Ranger	63	89	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Enthused	9d ago	Quick return
Motazzen	10d ago	Quick return
Carp Kid	14d ago	Fit
Incremental	18d ago	Fit
Lawn Ranger	19d ago	Fit
Croeso Cymraeg	28d ago	Fit
Rockit Tommy	28d ago	Fit
Just An Hour	28d ago	Fit
Lexington Knight	30d ago	Fit
Oj Lifestyle	30d ago	Fit
Good Too	35d ago	Fit
Carbis Bay	109d ago	Long break
Miller Spirit	152d ago	Long break
Warhol	199d ago	Long break
Saligo Bay	—	—