Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Newton Abbot

5:13

Date 2024-05-20

Distance 2m167y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £3,697

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7	Realta Liath gr J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	156	—	136-	-	107	63	93d	—	—	-15	17.1	15/8 35%
Not beaten far when sixth at Ascot in February and will find this race much easier
6	Railway Bell ch J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	156	t	32-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	13.3	3/1 25%
Placed in two Irish points in autumn; new stable does well in bumpers; must be considered
3	Hurley Girly b J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	156	—	3-	-	103	83	36d	—	—	-6	6.6	8/1 11%
Prominent throughout and belied 50-1 odds when third on debut at Plumpton; shortlisted
12	Springtime Legend b J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	150	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	8/1 11%
Out of a point winner; stable has more obvious chance with Hurley Girly
8	Arctic Angel b J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	150	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	11/1 8%
Half-sister to bumper winner/fairly useful hurdler The Doyen Chief; market may guide
2	Damekap b J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	156	—	2-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	7.2	12/1 8%
Bought for £30,000 after finishing second in heavy-ground point on debut in March
5	O'Malley b J:Gavin Sheehan T:Keiran Burke	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Keiran Burke	156	—	B-	-	-	-	55d	—	—	-4	1.4	16/1 6%
Struggling in rear when hampered and brought down on home turn at Taunton in March
10	Flyover ch J:Sean Houlihan T:Mitchell Hunt	J:Sean Houlihan T:Mitchell Hunt	150	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	50/1 2%
£2,000 3yo; second foal; dam well beaten bumpers/2m4f hurdles; not the obvious answer
4	Lady Showtime b J:David Noonan T:Nigel Hawke	J:David Noonan T:Nigel Hawke	156	—	7-	-	82	52	40d	—	—	-2	0.6	50/1 2%
Did not look straightforward when a well-beaten 40-1 shot at Market Rasen last month
11	Little Storm b J:TBC T:Ryan Potter	J: T:Ryan Potter	150	—	9-	-	30	-	156d	—	—	-2	0.8	28/1 3%
Tailed off after racing too freely at Hereford in December
9	Diamond Dusty gr J:Bryan Carver T:Linda Blackford	J:Bryan Carver T:Linda Blackford	150	—	8-	-	-	-	31d	—	—	-1	0.3	100/1 1%
Struggled when 50-1 for debut at Exeter (good) last month
NR	Blacksambelle br J:Nick Scholfield T:John O'Shea	J:Nick Scholfield T:John O'Shea	156	—	9-	-	82	34	26d	—	—	—	0	—
Well beaten (albeit on soft ground) when 25-1 for recent debut at Uttoxeter

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Realta Liath	13/8	7/4	6/4	15/8	6/4
Railway Bell	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Hurley Girly	5/1	7/1	13/2	8/1	13/2
Springtime Legend	8/1	8/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Arctic Angel	11/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Damekap	10/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
O'Malley	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Flyover	50/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Lady Showtime	50/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Little Storm	25/1	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1
Diamond Dusty	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Realta Liath

17.1

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 10

15/8

2nd

Railway Bell

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 6.2

3/1

3rd

Damekap

7.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Hurley Girly

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Springtime Legend

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Arctic Angel

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

O'Malley

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Little Storm

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Flyover

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Lady Showtime

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Diamond Dusty

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Blacksambelle

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Realta Liath	—	107	63
Railway Bell	—	—	—
Hurley Girly	—	103	83
Springtime Legend	—	—	—
Arctic Angel	—	—	—
Damekap	—	—	—
O'Malley	—	—	—
Flyover	—	—	—
Lady Showtime	—	82	52
Little Storm	—	30	—
Diamond Dusty	—	—	—
Blacksambelle	—	82	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blacksambelle	26d ago	Fit
Diamond Dusty	31d ago	Fit
Hurley Girly	36d ago	Fit
Lady Showtime	40d ago	Fit
O'Malley	55d ago	Fresh
Realta Liath	93d ago	Long break
Little Storm	156d ago	Long break
Railway Bell	—	—
Springtime Legend	—	—
Arctic Angel	—	—
Damekap	—	—
Flyover	—	—