Flat Season Pass Available Now Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

21:00

Flat Season Pass Available Now Handicap

Date 2024-05-20

Distance 7f173y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (6)	Jesmond Dawn Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	134	—	3-584	59	67	54	26d	—	—	-9	10.1	3/1 25%
Ran encouragingly at Catterick (handicap debut; well supported) last month
10 (1)	Northern Cracksman Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	128	b	-34322	53	71	48	23d	—	—	-2	17.1	3/1 25%
In-form maiden whose record over 1m is 3322; has an ordinary race in him
8 (9)	Oceanic Wonder Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	128	—	870-74	53	70	22	10d	—	—	-8	4.1	11/2 15%
Ran well (close fourth) upped to 1m at Ripon ten days ago; possibilities
3 (4)	Blufferonthebus Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	135	—	46-416	60	70	60	10d	—	—	-4	4.9	8/1 11%
Pontefract win came over 6f on soft ground; only midfield over 1m since
4 (7)	Azure Stage Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Ed Dunlop	J:Oisin Orr T:Ed Dunlop	134	b	80-9	59	62	36	45d	—	—	-3	4.4	9/1 10%
Newmarket raider who is open to improvement on handicap debut; interesting
2 (8)	Due Consideration Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	136	—	12-206	61	67	40	23d	—	—	-2	4.6	11/1 8%
Very consistent in handicaps until form dipped markedly the last twice
5 (3)	Hardman Grey J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	134	b	9-66	59	61	37	77d	—	—	-3	4.2	10/1 9%
May do better now handicapping and upped in distance; one to consider
1 (10)	Love Yours Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Gemma Tutty	J:Billy Garritty T:Gemma Tutty	137	—	-37244	62	64	35	84d	—	—	+2	7.7	12/1 8%
Best effort when going close off this mark at Newcastle three outings ago
9 (5)	Rishi Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Tristan Davidson	J:Andrew Mullen T:Tristan Davidson	128	—	68-365	53	69	-	34d	—	—	-2	1.6	22/1 4%
Raced only on AW; best effort at 5f; enough to prove on turf debut
7 (2)	Jez Bomb Bay J:Shane Gray T:Sam England	J:Shane Gray T:Sam England	132	—	040-	57	60	25	188d	—	—	0	2.5	28/1 3%
Handicap debutant who is not solid on 2yo novice form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Jesmond Dawn	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Northern Cracksman	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Oceanic Wonder	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Blufferonthebus	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Azure Stage	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Due Consideration	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Hardman	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Love Yours	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Rishi	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Jez Bomb	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Northern Cracksman

17.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 5.7

3/1

2nd

Jesmond Dawn

10.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

3/1

3rd

Love Yours

7.7

OR: 3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Blufferonthebus

4.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Due Consideration

4.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.8

11/1

Azure Stage

4.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Hardman

4.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Oceanic Wonder

4.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Jez Bomb

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Rishi

1.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Love Yours	62	64	35
Due Consideration	61	67	40
Blufferonthebus	60	70	60
Jesmond Dawn	59	67	54
Azure Stage	59	62	36
Hardman	59	61	37
Jez Bomb	57	60	25
Northern Cracksman	53	71	48
Oceanic Wonder	53	70	22
Rishi	53	69	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Oceanic Wonder	10d ago	Quick return
Blufferonthebus	10d ago	Quick return
Northern Cracksman	23d ago	Fit
Due Consideration	23d ago	Fit
Jesmond Dawn	26d ago	Fit
Rishi	34d ago	Fit
Azure Stage	45d ago	Fit
Hardman	77d ago	Fresh
Love Yours	84d ago	Fresh
Jez Bomb	188d ago	Long break