Fitzdares British EBF Rothesay Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares)

Ayr

15:20

Date 2024-05-22

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £26,654

Winning Time 2m 7.50s (slow by 2.50s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Madame Ambassador (GB) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	13/2	Won
2nd	Red Danielle (GB) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	7/2	.75
3rd	Snowcapped (IRE) Jim Crowley · Mrs John Harrington	9/1	.5
4th	Verbier (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	11/2	.5
5th	Mistral Star (GB) Jason Hart · Hughie Morrison	9/4F	0.3
6th	Alanya (FR) Oisin Orr · Thomas Gibney	10/1	.5
7th	Heartache Tonight (FR) Paul Mulrennan · David Menuisier	9/1	2.25
8th	Zarabanda (IRE) Mark Winn · David O'Meara	50/1	2

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Verbier Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	h	1324-	95	108	-	143d	—	—	+8	23.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Listed fourth when last seen; something to find today but unexposed and in good hands
5 (5)	Red Danielle Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	128	—	26212-	92	114	85	205d	—	—	+11	32.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Listed runner-up when last seen and this lightly raced 4yo could play a leading role
3 (6)	Madame Ambassador Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	128	p	2114-5	96	112	84	18d	—	—	+3	14.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two handicap wins at Newmarket last autumn; could improve for recent return; not ruled out
4 (3)	Mistral Star Bay J:Jason Hart T:Hughie Morrison	J:Jason Hart T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	31412-	100	114	79	250d	—	—	+15	33.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Listed runner-up in France last September and form has worked out well; one to consider
2 (1)	Heartache Tonight Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:David Menuisier	J:Paul Mulrennan T:David Menuisier	128	—	3466-4	105	118	84	17d	—	—	+6	16.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Best form on soft-heavy; last season's Group-race form in France gives her a leading shout
1 (4)	Alanya Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Thomas Gibney	J:Oisin Orr T:Thomas Gibney	128	—	1930-5	97	107	87	59d	—	—	+6	13.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Irish challenger; Listed third at the Curragh last August but others possess stronger form
6 (7)	Snowcapped b/br J:Jim Crowley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Jim Crowley T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	3340-5	99	115	86	14d	—	—	+6	14.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Could tap back into last summer's considerable promise when back on better ground
8 (2)	Zarabanda Chestnut J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	128	—	17088-	90	109	87	143d	—	—	+11	12.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won three soft-ground handicaps last July-October; struggled towards end of last year

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Verbier	9/2	4/1	4/1
Red Danielle	3/1	3/1	3/1
Madame Ambassador	13/2	6/1	6/1
Mistral Star	7/2	10/3	10/3
Heartache Tonight	8/1	15/2	15/2
Alanya	9/1	11/1	11/1
Snowcapped	8/1	15/2	15/2
Zarabanda	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mistral Star

33.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 15.6 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Red Danielle

32.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 6.2

3/1

3rd

Verbier

23.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 8 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Heartache Tonight

16.6

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Madame Ambassador

14.8

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Snowcapped

14.8

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Alanya

13.9

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Zarabanda

12.5

OR: 10 Form: 2 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Heartache Tonight	105	118	84
Mistral Star	100	114	79
Snowcapped	99	115	86
Alanya	97	107	87
Madame Ambassador	96	112	84
Verbier	95	108	—
Red Danielle	92	114	85
Zarabanda	90	109	87

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Snowcapped	14d ago	Fit
Heartache Tonight	17d ago	Fit
Madame Ambassador	18d ago	Fit
Alanya	59d ago	Fresh
Verbier	143d ago	Long break
Zarabanda	143d ago	Long break
Red Danielle	205d ago	Long break
Mistral Star	250d ago	Long break