York

14:10

Reg Bond 'Always And Forever' EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Qualifier) (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Date 2024-05-25
Distance 6f
Class Class 3
Going Good To Soft
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 2yo
Prize £10,800

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
13 (8)
Simmering
Bay
J:Kevin Stott
T:Ollie Sangster
J:Kevin Stott
T:Ollie Sangster
128
-
-
-
-16
6.9
0.75/1
3/1
25%
Makes paper appeal for a yard which has a quite useful 2yo filly to compare her to
1 (5)
Arabie
Chestnut
J:Jim Crowley
T:K R Burke
J:Jim Crowley
T:K R Burke
133 2
-
81
76
46d -6
9.4
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Promising second on 5f Thirsk debut but the form isn't anything out of the ordinary
11 (2)
Ardeur
Brown
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Ralph Beckett
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Ralph Beckett
128
-
-
-
-12
5
1.25/1
5/1
17%
Out of a mare who was Group-placed at 2 and hails from a top yard; plenty to like on paper
2 (12)
Dark Cloud Rising
Bay
J:David Nolan
T:David O'Meara
J:David Nolan
T:David O'Meara
133
-
-
-
-8
3.3
1.50/1
6/1
14%
From a good stable but not one which is a regular supplier of first-time-out 2yo winners
12 (7)
Blue Empress
Bay
J:Laura Coughlan(3)
T:Archie Watson
J:Laura Coughlan(3)
T:Archie Watson
128
-
-
-
-6
2.5
2.25/1
9/1
10%
Interesting newcomer for yard which won this with a good one in 2022
8 (14)
Harry Palmer
Bay
J:Cieren Fallon
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Cieren Fallon
T:Kevin Ryan
129
-
-
-
-4
1.6
5.00/1
20/1
5%
One of two newcomers from a good stable; the betting should help to separate them
4 (6)
Sanbona
Bay
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
J:Connor Beasley
T:Michael Dods
131
-
-
-
-4
1.6
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Bred to have a future but might be best watched this time
6 (1)
Stratusnine
Bay
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Hugo Palmer
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Hugo Palmer
131
-
-
-
-3
1.2
4.50/1
18/1
5%
Related to some useful sorts and needs a market check
5 (13)
Shazani
Bay
J:Jason Hart
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Jason Hart
T:Charlie Johnston
131
-
-
-
-3
1.1
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Debutant from a leading yard; the betting should help guide to expectations
3 (3)
Epicurian Lad
Chestnut
J:Harry Russell
T:Richard Fahey
J:Harry Russell
T:Richard Fahey
131
-
-
-
-2
0.8
10.00/1
40/1
2%
One of two newcomers from a powerful local yard which won this with a debutant last year
7 (4)
Atomic Mass
Brown
J:Joanna Mason
T:Michael & David Easterby
J:Joanna Mason
T:Michael & David Easterby
129
-
-
-
-2
0.7
10.00/1
40/1
2%
Stable had a 2yo newcomer run very well at recent Dante meeting; betting informative
9 (10)
Lesley's Boy
Bay
J:Connor Murtagh
T:Richard Fahey
J:Connor Murtagh
T:Richard Fahey
129
-
-
-
-3
1
8.25/1
33/1
3%
One of two newcomers from last year's winning yard
10 (9)
Territorial Knight
Chestnut
J:Shane Gray
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Shane Gray
T:Kevin Ryan
129
-
-
-
-3
1.2
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Stablemate of Harry Palmer; the betting should guide
14 (11)
Baylando
Bay
J:Sorcha Woods(7)
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
J:Sorcha Woods(7)
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
127
-
-
-
-1
0.3
20.00/1
80/1
1%
Yard not known for 2yo success; best watched
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Simmering
5/2 3/1 11/4 11/4 11/4
Arabie
9/2 9/2 9/2 4/1 9/2
Ardeur
5/1 9/2 4/1 4/1 4/1
Dark Cloud Rising
6/1 6/1 6/1 11/2 11/2
Blue Empress
8/1 9/1 15/2 17/2 8/1
Harry Palmer
16/1 14/1 20/1 14/1 14/1
Sanbona
14/1 14/1 16/1 14/1 12/1
Stratusnine
18/1 18/1 16/1 16/1 16/1
Shazani
20/1 20/1 22/1 18/1 20/1
Epicurian Lad
25/1 33/1 40/1 33/1 28/1
Atomic Mass
40/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 28/1
Lesley's Boy
25/1 22/1 33/1 22/1 22/1
Territorial Knight
16/1 28/1 28/1 25/1 25/1
Baylando
80/1 80/1 66/1 66/1 66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Arabie
9.4
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4
9/2
2nd Simmering
6.9
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.9
3/1
3rd Ardeur
5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5
5/1
4 Dark Cloud Rising
3.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
6/1
5 Blue Empress
2.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5
9/1
6 Harry Palmer
1.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
20/1
7 Sanbona
1.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
16/1
8 Stratusnine
1.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
18/1
9 Territorial Knight
1.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
28/1
10 Shazani
1.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
22/1
11 Lesley's Boy
1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1
33/1
12 Epicurian Lad
0.8
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
40/1
13 Atomic Mass
0.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
40/1
14 Baylando
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
80/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Simmering
Arabie
81
76
Ardeur
Dark Cloud Rising
Blue Empress
Harry Palmer
Sanbona
Stratusnine
Shazani
Epicurian Lad
Atomic Mass
Lesley's Boy
Territorial Knight
Baylando

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Arabie 46d ago Fresh
Simmering
Ardeur
Dark Cloud Rising
Blue Empress
Harry Palmer
Sanbona
Stratusnine
Shazani
Epicurian Lad
Atomic Mass
Lesley's Boy
Territorial Knight
Baylando