Betfred 'Play Fred's £5 Million'' Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Haydock

16:40

Date 2024-06-06

Distance 6f212y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,400

Winning Time 1m 27.97s (slow by 3.17s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Forever Blue (GB) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	5/2F	Won
2nd	Upscale (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	17/2	1.25
3rd	Not Real (IRE) James Doyle · Roger Varian	7/2	0.3
4th	Tareefa (IRE) Tom Marquand · William Haggas	7/1	.75
5th	Dazitoo (IRE) Callum Hutchinson · Ed Walker	80/1	2
6th	Haute Couture (GB) Hollie Doyle · John & Thady Gosden	11/1	0.3
7th	Eranthis (IRE) Sam James · K R Burke	25/1	3.5
8th	Arctic Sunrise (FR) Pierre-Louis Jamin · K R Burke	40/1	1.75
9th	Mystical Maria (GB) Connor Murtagh · Richard Fahey	66/1	.75
10th	Winning Point (GB) Richard Kingscote · Sir Michael Stoute	4/1	3.25
11th	Al Thariyaat (GB) Jim Crowley · Harry Eustace	16/1	5.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (9)	Forever Blue Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	15-	95	95	74	285d	—	—	0	26.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Considerable promise on heavy/soft on both 2yo starts (won here); leading form claims
1 (6)	Not Real Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	135	—	21	-	86	60	35d	—	—	+1	18.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Easy win at Redcar on second start; this is tougher but she may well be up to the task
8 (1)	Haute Couture Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Hollie Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Half-sister to Group 1 winner Decorated Knight; one to be interested in on debut
10 (5)	Tareefa Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Closely related to Group 1 winner Nezwaah, among others; could be live contender on debut
12 (3)	Winning Point Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
320,000gns yearling; represents highly respected yard and brings potential to debut
11 (4)	Upscale Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	h	2-0	-	91	49	41d	—	—	-7	7.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Promise on sole 2yo start; excuses on return in April; 1st-time hood could help her settle
3 (7)	Al Thariyaat Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Harry Eustace	J:Jim Crowley T:Harry Eustace	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Dubawi filly; bred to be useful and it will be no surprise to see a big run on debut
7 (12)	Eranthis Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	128	—	35-	-	93	83	254d	—	—	-2	3.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Promising debut here last September; disappointing next time but she retains potential
9 (2)	Mystical Maria Grey J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	128	—	35	-	78	46	20d	—	—	-2	3.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Has shown ability and can win races but others have more substance to their claims
4 (8)	Arctic Sunrise Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	128	—	4-	-	60	46	254d	—	—	-4	1.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well-beaten fourth on sole 2yo start but could be entirely different proposition today
6 (10)	Dazitoo Chestnut J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Ed Walker	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	37.50/1	150/1 1%
16-1 when withdrawn from last month's intended debut; others are more compelling
5 (11)	Bear Rock Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Mullineaux	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Mullineaux	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	125.00/1	500/1 0%
First foal; unraced dam out of 6f 2yo winner; probably best watched in warm race on debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Forever Blue	5/2	9/4	9/4	85/40	5/2
Not Real	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Haute Couture	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	8/1
Tareefa	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Winning Point	9/2	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1
Upscale	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Al Thariyaat	10/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	12/1
Eranthis	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Mystical Maria	22/1	18/1	20/1	16/1	25/1
Arctic Sunrise	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Dazitoo	150/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	100/1
Bear Rock	500/1	150/1	200/1	150/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Forever Blue

26.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 7 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Not Real

18.7

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Upscale

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

12/1

Winning Point

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Eranthis

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Mystical Maria

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Tareefa

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Haute Couture

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Al Thariyaat

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Arctic Sunrise

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

33/1

Dazitoo

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

150/1

Bear Rock

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Forever Blue	95	95	74
Not Real	—	86	60
Haute Couture	—	—	—
Tareefa	—	—	—
Winning Point	—	—	—
Upscale	—	91	49
Al Thariyaat	—	—	—
Eranthis	—	93	83
Mystical Maria	—	78	46
Arctic Sunrise	—	60	46
Dazitoo	—	—	—
Bear Rock	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mystical Maria	20d ago	Fit
Not Real	35d ago	Fit
Upscale	41d ago	Fit
Eranthis	254d ago	Long break
Arctic Sunrise	254d ago	Long break
Forever Blue	285d ago	Long break
Haute Couture	—	—
Tareefa	—	—
Winning Point	—	—
Al Thariyaat	—	—
Dazitoo	—	—
Bear Rock	—	—