Sporting Family Change Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Bath

14:20

Date 2024-06-15

Distance 5f10y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,211

Winning Time 1m 4.27s (slow by 4.97s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Violet Love (GB) Pat Cosgrave · George Boughey	4/5F	Won
2nd	Miss Show Down (GB) John Fahy · Clive Cox	10/1	1
3rd	Havana Dance (GB) Trevor Whelan · Jonathan Portman	7/2	1
4th	Kodibeat (GB) Georgia Dobie · Paul & Oliver Cole	11/1	.75
5th	Loudan (IRE) Jason Watson · Andrew Balding	7/1	.75
6th	Bermuda Princess (GB) Adam Farragher · William Haggas	16/1	1.25
7th	Fregola (GB) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	25/1	2.75
8th	Miss Campanella (GB) Millie Wonnacott · Derek Shaw	300/1	23

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (9)	Violet Love br/gr J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	132	—	221	-	85	68	7d	—	—	-13	30.2	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Won easily at Chepstow last weekend; about sets the standard under a small penalty
6 (7)	Havana Dance Chestnut J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	128	—	4	-	84	65	21d	—	—	-13	5.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Shaped well at a big price on her Goodwood debut three weeks ago; holds leading claims
9 (12)	Loudan Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Half-sister to six winners (one on 2yo debut) who's drawn widest; watch the market
11 (4)	Miss Show Down Bay J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	128	—	6	-	52	17	36d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Trainer has won two of the last four runnings of this; should be capable of better
1 (11)	Kodibeat Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	135	—	15	-	75	46	38d	—	—	+1	9.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Will need to find more if she's to give weight all round from a wide stall
3 (2)	Bermuda Princess Bay J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	128	—	9	-	51	30	10d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well beaten on her debut; improvement can be expected but she'll need a big step forward
5 (1)	Fregola Chestnut J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	128	—	87	-	64	48	11d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
No significant improvement on her second run; may find life easier in nurseries
10 (3)	Miss Campanella Bay J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Derek Shaw	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Derek Shaw	128	—	—	-	-	-	11d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Started 250-1 when a remote last on her Tapeta debut 11 days ago; expect similar
NR (10)	Blue Point Express Bay J:J F Egan T:Charlie Johnston	J:J F Egan T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	5	-	68	51	10d	—	—	—	0	—	—
£68,000 breeze-up purchase who shaped fairly on debut; needs a deal more though
NR (6)	Kalahari Blue Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Ollie Sangster	J:Liam Keniry T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
150,000euros half-sister to two first-time-out winners; interesting debutante
NR (8)	Lift Lady Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	60	-	-	-	15d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Again ducked right at the start when beaten miles at Epsom a fortnight ago (eased late)
NR (5)	Skellig Isle Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Tom Ward	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Tom Ward	128	—	—	-	-	-	1d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Never figured at Sandown yesterday, looking far from straightforward

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Violet Love	11/10	6/5	11/10	5/4	11/10
Havana Dance	4/1	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Loudan	13/2	5/1	11/2	5/1	11/2
Miss Show Down	9/1	10/1	10/1	8/1	9/1
Kodibeat	10/1	10/1	9/1	17/2	10/1
Bermuda Princess	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Fregola	18/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	16/1
Miss Campanella	250/1	300/1	200/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Violet Love

30.2

OR: 0 Form: 16 Odds: 14.2

5/4

2nd

Kodibeat

9.2

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

10/1

3rd

Havana Dance

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

9/2

Loudan

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Miss Show Down

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Bermuda Princess

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Fregola

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Miss Campanella

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Blue Point Express

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Kalahari Blue

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lift Lady

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Skellig Isle

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Violet Love	—	85	68
Havana Dance	—	84	65
Loudan	—	—	—
Miss Show Down	—	52	17
Kodibeat	—	75	46
Bermuda Princess	—	51	30
Fregola	—	64	48
Miss Campanella	—	—	—
Blue Point Express	—	68	51
Kalahari Blue	—	—	—
Lift Lady	—	—	—
Skellig Isle	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Skellig Isle	1d ago	Quick return
Violet Love	7d ago	Quick return
Bermuda Princess	10d ago	Quick return
Blue Point Express	10d ago	Quick return
Fregola	11d ago	Quick return
Miss Campanella	11d ago	Quick return
Lift Lady	15d ago	Fit
Havana Dance	21d ago	Fit
Miss Show Down	36d ago	Fit
Kodibeat	38d ago	Fit
Loudan	—	—
Kalahari Blue	—	—