Belvedere House & Gardens Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Kilbeggan

17:45

Date 2024-06-17

Distance 3m100y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Winning Time 6m 6.90s (slow by 27.50s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Safran Et Bleu (IRE) Charlie O'Dwyer · P M J Doyle	13/2	Won
2nd	Moyvilla Lass (IRE) G B Noonan · Eoin Christopher McCarthy	12/1	.5
3rd	Navy Waves (IRE) Evan Dwan · Mrs Julie Cashin	13/2	0.2
4th	Tuff Days (IRE) Aidan Kelly · Michael Barry	4/1	4.5
5th	Dun Ar Aill (IRE) Alex Harvey · Alexander Ott	22/1	2.5
6th	Oscar Tonic (IRE) Conor Stone-Walsh · Eamonn Francis Gallagher	22/1	2.75
7th	Tramps Like Us (IRE) John Shinnick · David Harry Kelly	11/2	.5
8th	The Lucky Lobster (GB) Liam Quinlan · Declan Queally	3/1F	7.5
9th	Father Jed (IRE) Philip Donovan · John Patrick Ryan	9/1	2.25
10th	Nomadic Star (IRE) James Smith · L Young	33/1	8.5
11th	Qatar Spirit (FR) Niall Prendergast · Timothy Cleary	22/1	4.5
12th	Carslake (GB) Cian Cullinan · Aengus King	66/1	2.75
13th	Robin Elite (IRE) Philip Byrnes · Eugene M O'Sullivan	50/1	8.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	No Risk No Story (IRE) Jake Coen · Miss J M Lee	80/1
U.R.	Temptation Time (IRE) Alan King · Mark Michael McNiff	33/1

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	The Lucky Lobster Bay J:Liam Quinlan T:Declan Queally	J:Liam Quinlan T:Declan Queally	165	ht	906-82	92	92	27	15d	—	—	-6	17.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Almost nothing to choose between him and Navy Waves on recent C&D evidence, obvious chance
5	Tuff Days Chestnut J:Aidan Kelly(2) T:Michael Barry	J:Aidan Kelly(2) T:Michael Barry	162	p	8-3594	89	104	-	2d	—	—	-3	15	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Point-to-point winner with placed form over hurdles, fourth over fences on Saturday
1	Tramps Like Us b/br J:John Shinnick(4) T:David Harry Kelly	J:John Shinnick(4) T:David Harry Kelly	168	tb	456-93	95	95	82	19d	—	—	+1	15.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Best form has been on soft or heavy ground, including last month's third at Wexford
12	Navy Waves Bay J:Evan Dwan(4) T:Mrs Julie Cashin	J:Evan Dwan(4) T:Mrs Julie Cashin	155	p	840-43	82	95	28	15d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+1	10.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Recent C&D third confirmed return to form, very closely matched with The Lucky Lobster
4	Safran Et Bleu b/br J:Charlie O'Dwyer(2) T:P M J Doyle	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(2) T:P M J Doyle	162	p	599-54	89	86	-	16d	—	—	+2	12.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Can build on a satisfactory fourth on handicap debut at Listowel, trip should suit
8	Moyvilla Lass Bay J:G B Noonan(2) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:G B Noonan(2) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	158	tp	4744-8	85	102	90	32d	—	—	+3	10.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
May show the benefit of last month's Clonmel run but has a bit to find with Navy Waves
13	Father Jed Bay J:Philip Donovan(2) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Philip Donovan(2) T:John Patrick Ryan	154	—	P5-922	81	100	32	10d	—	—	+3	9.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Veteran nine-time winner has suddenly found a new lease of life on his last two starts
16	Oscar Tonic Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(2) T:Eamonn Francis Gallagher	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(2) T:Eamonn Francis Gallagher	153	—	000-40	80	91	72	17d	—	—	+5	8.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won twice in points in 2021/22 campaign, hurdles form offers little or no encouragement
7	Dun Ar Aill Bay J:Alex Harvey(4) T:Alexander Ott	J:Alex Harvey(4) T:Alexander Ott	158	—	435-22	85	62	23	—	—	—	+6	9.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Twice second in late-season points, possible he has improved since his last hurdles run
15	Nomadic Star Bay J:James Smith(4) T:L Young	J:James Smith(4) T:L Young	153	p	/3967-	80	98	54	294d	—	—	+6	9.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
18-race maiden, failed to build on a third placing in a Punchestown handicap 13 months ago
2	Qatar Spirit Bay J:Niall Prendergast(4) T:Timothy Cleary	J:Niall Prendergast(4) T:Timothy Cleary	167	p	35568-	94	102	67	67d	—	—	+9	12.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Dual Flat winner, has run well in defeat over hurdles, below best since a winter break
6	Carslake Bay J:Cian Cullinan(4) T:Aengus King	J:Cian Cullinan(4) T:Aengus King	161	p	079P0-	88	89	48	—	—	—	+8	10.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Dual-purpose maiden, poor form on last three hurdle starts, last of 16 on Flat last week
9	Robin Elite Bay J:Philip Byrnes T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	J:Philip Byrnes T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	157	tp	039P-0	84	101	79	32d	—	—	+6	9.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Bellewstown third last August was quite promising, otherwise nothing to recommend
10	Temptation Time Grey J:Alan King(4) T:Mark Michael McNiff	J:Alan King(4) T:Mark Michael McNiff	157	t	790-00	84	79	-	20d	—	—	+7	9.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Big price for all three handicap attempts, well held by Father Jed on Ballinrobe run
11	No Risk No Story Bay J:Jake Coen T:Miss J M Lee	J:Jake Coen T:Miss J M Lee	156	—	/9P6-4	83	83	49	—	—	—	+7	8.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Fit from a couple of point-to-point runs but makes little appeal on hurdles form
NR	Mosaaheb Chestnut J:Paddy Hanlon(4) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Paddy Hanlon(4) T:John Joseph Hanlon	154	p	6P07U-	81	99	53	52d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
50-1 for a Downpatrick handicap in April, never a factor before exiting two out
NR	Jimli's Cave Bay J:Daire McConville(4) T:R K Watson	J:Daire McConville(4) T:R K Watson	156	—	/0000-	83	83	32	52d	—	—	—	8.3	—	—
First reserve, weak maiden hurdle form, in rear in handicaps at Navan and Downpatrick
NR	Ranger Billy Bay J:TBC T:Eoin Doyle	J: T:Eoin Doyle	161	—	524P-P	88	102	64	30d	—	—	—	9.5	—	—
Second reserve, won this race during a spell of good form last year, pulled up last twice
NR	Roscomroe Bay J:Dillon Maxwell(4) T:J P Broderick	J:Dillon Maxwell(4) T:J P Broderick	154	tp	P59-2F	81	98	17	20d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Third reserve, faller at Ballinrobe on latest, good effort when second at the same venue

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
The Lucky Lobster	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Tuff Days	4/1	7/2	7/2	10/3	4/1
Tramps Like Us	11/2	6/1	6/1	7/1	5/1
Navy Waves	15/2	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Safran Et Bleu	15/2	7/1	13/2	13/2	8/1
Moyvilla Lass	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	11/1
Father Jed	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1	12/1
Oscar Tonic	25/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	22/1
Dun Ar Aill	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1
Nomadic Star	25/1	25/1	25/1	18/1	28/1
Qatar Spirit	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Carslake	50/1	40/1	40/1	28/1	40/1
Robin Elite	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	33/1
Temptation Time	40/1	40/1	40/1	28/1	40/1
No Risk No Story	66/1	66/1	66/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Lucky Lobster

17.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Tramps Like Us

15.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

7/1

3rd

Tuff Days

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Safran Et Bleu

12.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Qatar Spirit

12.4

OR: 11 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Navy Waves

10.9

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Moyvilla Lass

10.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Carslake

10.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Dun Ar Aill

9.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Father Jed

9.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Nomadic Star

9.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Ranger Billy

9.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Robin Elite

9.3

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Temptation Time

9.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

No Risk No Story

8.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Oscar Tonic

8.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Jimli's Cave

8.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mosaaheb

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Roscomroe

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tramps Like Us	95	95	82
Qatar Spirit	94	102	67
The Lucky Lobster	92	92	27
Tuff Days	89	104	—
Safran Et Bleu	89	86	—
Carslake	88	89	48
Ranger Billy	88	102	64
Moyvilla Lass	85	102	90
Dun Ar Aill	85	62	23
Robin Elite	84	101	79
Temptation Time	84	79	—
No Risk No Story	83	83	49
Jimli's Cave	83	83	32
Navy Waves	82	95	28
Father Jed	81	100	32
Mosaaheb	81	99	53
Roscomroe	81	98	17
Oscar Tonic	80	91	72
Nomadic Star	80	98	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tuff Days	2d ago	Quick return
Father Jed	10d ago	Quick return
The Lucky Lobster	15d ago	Fit
Navy Waves	15d ago	Fit
Safran Et Bleu	16d ago	Fit
Oscar Tonic	17d ago	Fit
Tramps Like Us	19d ago	Fit
Temptation Time	20d ago	Fit
Roscomroe	20d ago	Fit
Ranger Billy	30d ago	Fit
Moyvilla Lass	32d ago	Fit
Robin Elite	32d ago	Fit
Mosaaheb	52d ago	Fresh
Jimli's Cave	52d ago	Fresh
Qatar Spirit	67d ago	Fresh
Nomadic Star	294d ago	Long break
Dun Ar Aill	—	—
Carslake	—	—
No Risk No Story	—	—