Jenningsbet In Delves Hoppings Fillies' Stakes (Group 3) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

Jenningsbet In Delves Hoppings Fillies' Stakes (Group 3)

Date 2024-06-28

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 1

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £36,862

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (2)	Chic Colombine Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	121	—	14-102	103	113	-	27d	—	—	-1	19	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Has won here (7f) and looked unlucky not to win last time; 1m2f no problem on breeding
9 (4)	Tiffany Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	1121-1	109	118	-	29d	—	—	+13	29.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won three times last year including a win over C&D; has won two German Listed races since
6 (14)	Sapphire Seas Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Appleby	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Appleby	133	h	11-249	103	115	-	20d	—	—	+1	18.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Won four in a row last year, but 9l behind Madame Ambassador at Haydock last time; hood on
5 (8)	Red Danielle Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	133	—	6212-2	96	109	-	37d	—	—	+10	18.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Less than a length behind Madame Ambassador at Ayr last month; could find a bit more
10 (10)	Darnation Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	126	—	115-01	109	111	-	33d	—	—	+8	17.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won twice at Group level last year and won the German 1000 Guineas last time; bred to stay
14 (13)	La Pasionaria Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	121	—	18-4	98	107	-	44d	—	—	+7	13.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Fair fourth in the Musidora last time, but needs to find a bit more to be competitive
2 (9)	Imperial Quarter Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	133	h	514-	92	99	-	273d	—	—	+13	19.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Yard has won three of the last eight runnings, but this a stiff task after nine months off
13 (11)	Glimpsed Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ralph Beckett	121	—	16-56	97	104	-	27d	—	—	+7	13.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Finished behind Chic Colombine at Epsom last time; needs to improve to reverse placings
4 (5)	Miss Cantik Black J:Callum Rodriguez T:Amy Murphy	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Amy Murphy	133	h	620-13	101	114	-	36d	—	—	+10	13.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ran well in Sandown Group 3 last time; half-sister to two winners with AW RPRs of 110/106
8 (12)	Shining Jewel Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	411-55	96	109	-	126d	—	—	+9	12.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won twice on Polytrack/turf last year; not easy to assess back from a four-month absence
3 (1)	Madame Ambassador Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	133	p	14-515	98	110	-	20d	—	—	+10	12.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Has won three of her last six starts, but may be vulnerable to a less-exposed type
7 (7)	Sea Of Roses Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	133	—	50-435	96	108	64	35d	—	—	+9	12.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Placed three times in Group/Listed company but is looking exposed now
1 (3)	Empress Wu Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	133	h	2364-6	93	107	81	35d	—	—	+10	11.1	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Ran poorly on her Goodwood return five weeks ago and will need to leave that well behind
12 (6)	Flying Finn Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Rowan Scott T:Adrian Paul Keatley	121	—	211736	95	97	-	19d	—	—	+18	18.7	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Has won two 1m handicaps on turf, but needs more to make an impact at this level

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Chic Colombine	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3
Tiffany	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	9/2
Sapphire Seas	9/2	9/2	5/1	7/2	9/2
Red Danielle	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
Darnation	17/2	17/2	9/1	15/2	17/2
La Pasionaria	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Imperial Quarter	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Glimpsed	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	14/1
Miss Cantik	25/1	25/1	22/1	20/1	25/1
Shining Jewel	25/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Madame Ambassador	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Sea Of Roses	28/1	28/1	25/1	20/1	28/1
Empress Wu	80/1	80/1	50/1	50/1	80/1
Flying Finn	100/1	100/1	66/1	66/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tiffany

29.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Imperial Quarter

19.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

14/1

3rd

Chic Colombine

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Red Danielle

18.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Flying Finn

18.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Sapphire Seas

18.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Darnation

17.3

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

La Pasionaria

13.9

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Miss Cantik

13.7

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Glimpsed

13.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Madame Ambassador

12.8

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Shining Jewel

12.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Sea Of Roses

12.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Empress Wu

11.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tiffany	109	118	—
Darnation	109	111	—
Chic Colombine	103	113	—
Sapphire Seas	103	115	—
Miss Cantik	101	114	—
La Pasionaria	98	107	—
Madame Ambassador	98	110	—
Glimpsed	97	104	—
Red Danielle	96	109	—
Shining Jewel	96	109	—
Sea Of Roses	96	108	64
Flying Finn	95	97	—
Empress Wu	93	107	81
Imperial Quarter	92	99	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Flying Finn	19d ago	Fit
Sapphire Seas	20d ago	Fit
Madame Ambassador	20d ago	Fit
Chic Colombine	27d ago	Fit
Glimpsed	27d ago	Fit
Tiffany	29d ago	Fit
Darnation	33d ago	Fit
Sea Of Roses	35d ago	Fit
Empress Wu	35d ago	Fit
Miss Cantik	36d ago	Fit
Red Danielle	37d ago	Fit
La Pasionaria	44d ago	Fit
Shining Jewel	126d ago	Long break
Imperial Quarter	273d ago	Long break