Jenningsbet In Shiremoor Gosforth Park Cup Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:25

Jenningsbet In Shiremoor Gosforth Park Cup Handicap

Date 2024-06-28

Distance 5f

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £25,770

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Prince Of Zenda Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Hugo Palmer	129	v	-11024	91	111	97	34d	—	—	+4	24.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Has won over 6f here, but this is a tough race in which to have his first go at 5f
7 (11)	Bergerac Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	126	b	555698	88	109	91	12d	—	—	-2	13.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
C&D winner now 2lb below his last winning mark; respected back here
3 (12)	Thunder Moor Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	129	tb	-11743	91	110	-	18d	—	—	+10	21.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
1-1 on the AW, winning at Southwell last autumn; close behind Navello at Windsor last time
12 (8)	Monsieur Kodi Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Richard Fahey	J:Joe Fanning T:Richard Fahey	118	—	9-5854	80	113	87	13d	—	—	+1	9.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
3lb below last winning mark and ran with credit last time, but 6f may suit him better
11 (3)	Ziggy's Missile Bay J:Luke Morris T:Robert Cowell	J:Luke Morris T:Robert Cowell	120	p	112100	88	109	79	27d	—	—	+12	20.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Record on Tapeta reads 1121, but still 6lb above his last winning mark; cheekpieces on
14 (9)	Moonstone Boy Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	114	b	122463	82	110	94	27d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+10	14.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Southwell Tapeta winner who has run with credit since handicapping; still needs a bit more
6 (14)	Navello Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	127	tp	0-1251	89	110	77	18d	—	—	+5	11.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Three-time Wolverhampton winner and scored narrowly on turf last time; shortlisted up 2lb
8 (10)	Project Dante Chestnut J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Geoff Oldroyd	126	—	0/800/	88	103	-	656d	—	—	+5	11.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Plenty to prove making his stable/AW debut after 656 days off; watch market
9 (13)	Burning Cash Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	122	p	807155	84	110	74	12d	—	—	+9	15.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has twice run with credit off this mark since winning at Thirsk, but he needs a bit more
5 (2)	Makanah Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	127	v	40-400	89	112	-	26d	—	—	+4	12.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Hasn't won a handicap in four years and is 0-7 on the AW; not very consistent these days
10 (4)	Copper Knight Bay J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	121	t	-72031	83	110	-	13d	—	—	+18	23.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Raised 6lb for latest Chester win, but 10lb lower than when winning this in 2018
13 (1)	Mattice Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	116	p	1-2140	78	110	-	12d	—	—	+11	15.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Beaten a short head in only previous AW start over C&D as 3yo, but modest effort last time
1 (5)	Brazen Bolt Bay J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John & Sean Quinn	138	—	2-1250	100	107	20	105d	—	—	+15	16.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Better over further and not seen since a poor effort over C&D in March
NR (7)	Vintage Clarets Bay J:TBC T:Richard Fahey	J: T:Richard Fahey	134	—	-77370	96	110	-	12d	—	—	—	13	—	—
7lb higher than when winning this race last year; could bounce back now returned here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Prince Of Zenda	3/1	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Bergerac	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Thunder Moor	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Monsieur Kodi	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Ziggy's Missile	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Moonstone Boy	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Navello	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Project Dante	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Burning Cash	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Makanah	14/1	12/1	9/1	8/1	12/1
Copper Knight	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Mattice	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Brazen Bolt	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Prince Of Zenda

24.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Copper Knight

23.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 13.6 Odds: 1.4

16/1

3rd

Thunder Moor

21.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 8 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Ziggy's Missile

20.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Brazen Bolt

16.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Burning Cash

15.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Mattice

15.1

OR: 7 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Moonstone Boy

14.9

OR: 8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Bergerac

13.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Vintage Clarets

OR: 11.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Makanah

12.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

14/1

Navello

11.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Project Dante

11.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Monsieur Kodi

9.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brazen Bolt	100	107	20
Vintage Clarets	96	110	—
Prince Of Zenda	91	111	97
Thunder Moor	91	110	—
Navello	89	110	77
Makanah	89	112	—
Bergerac	88	109	91
Ziggy's Missile	88	109	79
Project Dante	88	103	—
Burning Cash	84	110	74
Copper Knight	83	110	—
Moonstone Boy	82	110	94
Monsieur Kodi	80	113	87
Mattice	78	110	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bergerac	12d ago	Quick return
Burning Cash	12d ago	Quick return
Mattice	12d ago	Quick return
Vintage Clarets	12d ago	Quick return
Monsieur Kodi	13d ago	Quick return
Copper Knight	13d ago	Quick return
Thunder Moor	18d ago	Fit
Navello	18d ago	Fit
Makanah	26d ago	Fit
Ziggy's Missile	27d ago	Fit
Moonstone Boy	27d ago	Fit
Prince Of Zenda	34d ago	Fit
Brazen Bolt	105d ago	Long break
Project Dante	656d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.