Champion Lettings Handicap – Bellewstown

Bellewstown

4:55

Champion Lettings Handicap

Date 2024-07-04

Distance 7f211y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €6,195

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (1)	Saffredi b J:W J Lee T:Gavin Cromwell	J:W J Lee T:Gavin Cromwell	136	h	-08942	61	64	50	2d	—	—	-9	15	11/4 27%
Has shown enough of late to be of strong interest, including when second on Tuesday
2 (8)	Moutarde b J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	139	—	-01552	64	66	50	31d	—	—	-1	16.7	7/2 22%
Naas winner in April over this far and perhaps even better when second of 17 at Gowran
7 (11)	Nakasero b J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	135	—	000-53	60	72	68	28d	—	—	-8	6.5	5/1 17%
His first run on good ground when third of 18 over 1m at Leopardstown; respected
1 (7)	Bizarre Dreams b J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	140	p	4-854	65	67	48	31d	—	—	-5	7.4	7/1 13%
Only for 5-1 handicap debut at Gowran and wasn't far away despite a troubled run
9 (4)	Dolce Far Niente b J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	129	—	33-382	54	73	57	10d	—	—	-8	4.6	13/2 13%
She was clear at one point before getting collared at Ballinrobe (1m1f, good)
3 (9)	Thrifty Of Digby ch J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	139	—	5-473	64	66	24	12d	—	—	-2	5.4	12/1 8%
3rd of ten on handicap debut at Limerick (7f, good) where she produced her best work late
4 (12)	Copie Conforme b J:Gary Halpin T:Kevin Prendergast	J:Gary Halpin T:Kevin Prendergast	137	—	0-4537	62	69	30	22d	—	—	-1	4.4	16/1 6%
Not far away in any of her last four runs, the handicaps at 1m2f and 1m3f
10 (5)	Are You In Or Out b J:Colin Keane T:Paul Stafford	J:Colin Keane T:Paul Stafford	127	—	84-894	52	71	40	35d	—	—	-2	1.6	25/1 4%
0-9; best form has been at 6f but worth a go over this longer trip; Keane is booked
11 (10)	Maxwell Smart b J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	J:James Ryan(5) T:T G McCourt	126	v	00-099	51	72	18	57d	—	—	-1	0.7	66/1 1%
Five-race maiden who has been down the field in both his handicaps (7f/1m)
8 (3)	Finito Bonito b J:Conor Maxwell T:T G McCourt	J:Conor Maxwell T:T G McCourt	130	v	0-8780	55	69	52	21d	—	—	0	1.7	100/1 1%
Beaten more than 20l in his two handicaps and the visor did nothing for him last time
5 (2)	Never Thought b J:Gavin Ryan T:Jarlath P Fahey	J:Gavin Ryan T:Jarlath P Fahey	136	—	809	61	72	19	12d	—	—	+1	3.2	100/1 1%
Unfancied for her three maidens (6.5f/7f) and ran accordingly; handicap debut
12 (6)	Flippity Flop br J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	122	—	-79050	47	66	41	28d	—	—	-1	0.4	66/1 1%
Beaten 9l in a heavy ground Gowran handicap two runs back so has some ability

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Saffredi	11/4	11/4	9/4	11/4	11/4
Moutarde	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Nakasero	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Bizarre Dreams	7/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	11/2
Dolce Far Niente	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Thrifty Of Digby	10/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Copie Conforme	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Are You In Or Out	20/1	20/1	25/1	20/1	20/1
Maxwell Smart	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Finito Bonito	100/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Never Thought	100/1	50/1	66/1	40/1	50/1
Flippity Flop	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Moutarde

16.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 8 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Saffredi

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Bizarre Dreams

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Nakasero

6.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Thrifty Of Digby

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Dolce Far Niente

4.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Copie Conforme

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Never Thought

3.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Finito Bonito

1.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Are You In Or Out

1.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Maxwell Smart

0.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Flippity Flop

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bizarre Dreams Top Rated	65	67	48
Moutarde	64	66	50
Thrifty Of Digby	64	66	24
Copie Conforme	62	69	30
Saffredi	61	64	50
Never Thought	61	72	19
Nakasero	60	72	68
Finito Bonito	55	69	52
Dolce Far Niente	54	73	57
Are You In Or Out	52	71	40
Maxwell Smart	51	72	18
Flippity Flop	47	66	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Saffredi	2d ago	Quick return
Dolce Far Niente	10d ago	Quick return
Thrifty Of Digby	12d ago	Quick return
Never Thought	12d ago	Quick return
Finito Bonito	21d ago	Fit
Copie Conforme	22d ago	Fit
Nakasero	28d ago	Fit
Flippity Flop	28d ago	Fit
Moutarde	31d ago	Fit
Bizarre Dreams	31d ago	Fit
Are You In Or Out	35d ago	Fit
Maxwell Smart	57d ago	Fresh