Indaver Ireland Handicap – Bellewstown

Bellewstown

6:35

Indaver Ireland Handicap

Date 2024-07-04

Distance 5f3y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €10,620

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (2)	Air Force One ch J:W J Lee T:P Twomey	J:W J Lee T:P Twomey	133	tv	74-18	84	87	78	29d	—	—	-7	15.2	3/1 25%
Maiden win reads well and unlikely that he gave his true running at the Curragh
3 (4)	Never Shout Never b J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Jack W Davison	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Jack W Davison	132	—	060633	78	100	75	26d	—	—	-1	17.3	9/2 18%
Capable sprinter without being overly consistent; well handicapped on peak form
5 (8)	Rathbranchurch ch J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Michael Mulvany	128	—	783255	74	93	81	13d	—	—	-4	15.1	7/2 22%
Poor strike-rate of 1-27; close up over 5f last time but he may appreciate further now
7 (5)	Distillate ch J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	122	t	001693	68	98	86	13d	—	—	+1	14.5	5/1 17%
Could have finished closer when third at Down Royal; that was over 7f but fine at 5f
8 (6)	Sunday Sovereign b J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:G A Kingston	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:G A Kingston	119	—	8-0904	65	101	77	8d	—	—	-4	6.6	17/2 11%
Possibilities if following one good run with another, which hasn't always been the case
6 (3)	Charming Lady b J:Robert Whearty(5) T:T G McCourt	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:T G McCourt	126	v	780-08	72	96	58	32d	—	—	0	7.7	10/1 9%
Has lost her way but she won over C&D in August (good to yielding) and is now 4lb lower
4 (7)	Only Spoofing b J:Gary Carroll T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Gary Carroll T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	130	—	14-008	76	99	43	37d	—	—	+2	8.4	14/1 7%
Out of form this season but well handicapped on his high points of 2023
1 (1)	Jered Maddox b J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	140	—	089118	86	93	36	20d	—	—	+19	21.8	33/1 3%
Eight-time AW winner but only 1-21 on the grass and finished last at Cork three weeks ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Air Force One	5/2	5/2	5/2	3/1	5/2
Never Shout Never	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
Rathbranchurch	7/2	7/2	7/2	3/1	7/2
Distillate	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Sunday Sovereign	17/2	17/2	17/2	13/2	17/2
Charming Lady	10/1	10/1	10/1	17/2	10/1
Only Spoofing	14/1	14/1	14/1	10/1	14/1
Jered Maddox	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jered Maddox

21.8

OR: 9 Form: 12 Odds: 0.8

33/1

2nd

Never Shout Never

17.3

OR: 7 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Air Force One

15.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Rathbranchurch

15.1

OR: 6 Form: 3.4 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Distillate

14.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 6 Odds: 4

5/1

Only Spoofing

8.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Charming Lady

7.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Sunday Sovereign

6.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jered Maddox Top Rated	86	93	36
Air Force One	84	87	78
Never Shout Never	78	100	75
Only Spoofing	76	99	43
Rathbranchurch	74	93	81
Charming Lady	72	96	58
Distillate	68	98	86
Sunday Sovereign	65	101	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sunday Sovereign	8d ago	Quick return
Rathbranchurch	13d ago	Quick return
Distillate	13d ago	Quick return
Jered Maddox	20d ago	Fit
Never Shout Never	26d ago	Fit
Air Force One	29d ago	Fit
Charming Lady	32d ago	Fit
Only Spoofing	37d ago	Fit