Private Suites At Limerick Racecourse Handicap – Limerick

Limerick

17:15

Private Suites At Limerick Racecourse Handicap

Date 2024-07-07

Distance 2m1f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €7,375

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (12)	Killeemore Lad Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	142	t	030-21	78	75	35	25d	—	—	-10	14.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Running well under both codes; hit with a 9lb rise for last win here but beat 15 rivals
3 (5)	Barrier Chestnut J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gordon Elliott	140	p	20-618	76	76	72	9d	—	—	-6	11.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Can be slow to break and that cost her last time at the Curragh; has a big run in her
13 (6)	Firm Belief Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Rodger Sweeney	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Rodger Sweeney	123	—	056555	59	83	59	25d	—	—	-6	5.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Going through the motions of late and others are more likely winners
8 (9)	Curious Bride Bay J:Colin Keane T:Eamonn O'Connell	J:Colin Keane T:Eamonn O'Connell	129	t	20-724	65	80	63	13d	—	—	-5	7.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Was 2nd over C&D before outpaced over shorter at Ballinrobe; this race looks a better fit
11 (11)	Believe In Science Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	127	p	473-45	63	84	72	20d	—	—	-4	6.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Is 0-22 but wasn't far off over 1m6f at Gowran latest and this longer trip is worth a go
9 (2)	Influential Lady Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:James M Barcoe	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:James M Barcoe	129	—	0-5617	65	81	75	13d	—	—	-2	6.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Slow starts have become a habit and she was only seventh at Ballinrobe 13 days ago
5 (14)	The Tide Turns Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:Gordon Elliott	J:Chris Hayes T:Gordon Elliott	136	t	233/90	72	70	21	35d	—	—	+1	7.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Useful hurdler; has offered little in two staying handicaps back on the Flat
6 (8)	Cerberus Chestnut J:Ben Coen T:John G Hayes	J:Ben Coen T:John G Hayes	130	—	0/08-7	66	75	34	25d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-1	5.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Stuck on a losing run and has regressed; never been the strongest of finishers
2 (4)	Caradoc Bay J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:E McNamara	J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:E McNamara	141	tp	85-504	77	79	59	15d	—	—	+3	8.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Stayed on over 1m4f here last time but has yet to convince over staying distances
14 (7)	Honketonk Angel Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	119	p	1-6030	55	78	30	25d	—	—	+6	9.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
A 2m winner on the AW late last year but doesn't look as effective on turf
10 (10)	The Vegas Raider Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:K A Heffernan	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:K A Heffernan	128	tv	900/0-	64	76	-	—	—	—	0	4.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Last of three Flat wins for Michael Bell in 2021; low-grade handicap hurdler these days
7 (1)	Travel On Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Luke Comer	J:Robbie Colgan T:Luke Comer	130	t	0/800-	66	75	-	492d	—	—	+2	4.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Sole win in 2019; was in no form on the AW when last seen well over a year ago
NR (3)	Rocky Blue Chestnut J:N G McCullagh T:Thomas Mullins	J:N G McCullagh T:Thomas Mullins	138	—	/1/21/	74	79	-	—	—	—	—	13	—	—
Useful under both codes but there are questions about his current wellbeing
NR (13)	Sceptred Isle Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:G A Kingston	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:G A Kingston	126	—	0/9-31	62	75	43	39d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Tipperary winner; an 11lb rise seems a bit heavy-handed for beating a 15-race maiden

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Killeemore Lad	5/2	11/4	5/2	9/4	5/2
Barrier	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Firm Belief	7/1	13/2	13/2	11/2	7/1
Curious Bride	15/2	13/2	13/2	11/2	13/2
Believe In Science	8/1	15/2	15/2	13/2	8/1
Influential Lady	11/1	11/1	10/1	8/1	11/1
The Tide Turns	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Cerberus	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	14/1
Caradoc	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Honketonk Angel	25/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	25/1
The Vegas Raider	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	28/1
Travel On	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Killeemore Lad

14.3

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Rocky Blue

OR: 6 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Barrier

11.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Honketonk Angel

9.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1

28/1

Caradoc

8.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Curious Bride

7.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

The Tide Turns

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Believe In Science

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Influential Lady

6.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Cerberus

5.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Firm Belief

5.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

The Vegas Raider

4.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Travel On

4.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Sceptred Isle

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Killeemore Lad	78	75	35
Caradoc	77	79	59
Barrier	76	76	72
Rocky Blue	74	79	—
The Tide Turns	72	70	21
Cerberus	66	75	34
Travel On	66	75	—
Curious Bride	65	80	63
Influential Lady	65	81	75
The Vegas Raider	64	76	—
Believe In Science	63	84	72
Sceptred Isle	62	75	43
Firm Belief	59	83	59
Honketonk Angel	55	78	30

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Barrier	9d ago	Quick return
Curious Bride	13d ago	Quick return
Influential Lady	13d ago	Quick return
Caradoc	15d ago	Fit
Believe In Science	20d ago	Fit
Killeemore Lad	25d ago	Fit
Firm Belief	25d ago	Fit
Cerberus	25d ago	Fit
Honketonk Angel	25d ago	Fit
The Tide Turns	35d ago	Fit
Sceptred Isle	39d ago	Fit
Travel On	492d ago	Long break
The Vegas Raider	—	—
Rocky Blue	—	—