Glasgow Fair Family Raceday 15 July Handicap

Ayr

17:20

Date 2024-07-07

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Winning Time 2m 10.33s (slow by 5.33s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Dingwall (GB) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	15/2	Won
2nd	Carvalhal (IRE) Tom Eaves · Michael Dods	14/1	2.25
3rd	Braes Of Doune (GB) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	6/4F	1.5
4th	Reveal (GB) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	8/1	0.3
5th	Visitant (GB) Andrew Breslin · David Thompson	17/2	0.3
6th	Propagation (IRE) Archie Young · Dianne Sayer	6/1	.75
7th	Royal Countess (GB) Rhys Elliott · R Mike Smith	14/1	0.3
8th	Strike Rate (IRE) Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	16/1	0.2
9th	Mr Boson (GB) Rowan Scott · Gary Harrison	11/1	5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (10)	Braes Of Doune Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	134	p	531-22	51	67	45	46d	—	—	-23	10.9	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Won this last year; just two starts since but has gone close each time; lots to like
6 (2)	Propagation Bay J:Archie Young(7) T:Dianne Sayer	J:Archie Young(7) T:Dianne Sayer	129	—	43-868	46	65	44	18d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Well treated on last season's form but below par this year and now 0-28
5 (3)	Dingwall Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	129	h	455-75	56	53	-	25d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-8	5.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Lightly raced 3yo but he's failed to threaten in his first two handicaps (7f/1m)
1 (4)	Mr Boson Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Gary Harrison	J:Rowan Scott T:Gary Harrison	140	ht	277754	57	60	34	20d	—	—	-4	4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-13 but fair fourth on stable debut at Chepstow three weeks ago and might not be far away
3 (6)	Reveal Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	130	—	370578	57	55	44	26d	—	—	-5	4.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Some fair efforts on AW early this year but down the field in handicaps on last five runs
9 (9)	Carvalhal Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Dods	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Dods	126	v	67-605	53	61	47	12d	—	—	-5	2.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
3yo who didn't run badly when fifth at Beverley recently and might have an each-way squeak
4 (5)	Visitant Chestnut J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:David Thompson	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:David Thompson	129	p	8-4362	46	63	31	15d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Runner-up over 1m6f a fortnight ago; this trip probably isn't ideal but he's not ruled out
7 (8)	Royal Countess Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:R Mike Smith	129	p	860-55	46	59	28	34d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Three-time C&D winner, including this in 2021, but merely fifth over C&D on both 2024 runs
8 (11)	Strike Rate Bay J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	127	—	8-3690	54	59	19	10d	—	—	-3	2.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
3yo who hinted at ability here in April but has struggled since
NR (1)	Ready Or Nott Bay J:TBC T:Charlie Johnston	J: T:Charlie Johnston	122	—	434849	49	64	51	1d	—	—	—	0.6	—	—
Form went wrong way last month but may get back on track at some stage; poor run yesterday
NR (7)	Millbuie Bay J:TBC T:Ewan Whillans	J: T:Ewan Whillans	119	b	-06555	46	58	31	19d	—	—	—	0	—	—
0-7 and yet to finish better than fifth, but perhaps the first-time blinkers will help

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Braes Of Doune	6/4	13/8	11/8	6/4	6/4
Propagation	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Dingwall	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Mr Boson	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Reveal	9/1	17/2	11/1	10/1	9/1
Carvalhal	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Visitant	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Royal Countess	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Strike Rate	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Braes Of Doune

10.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Dingwall

5.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Reveal

4.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Mr Boson

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Propagation

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Carvalhal

2.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Strike Rate

2.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Visitant

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Royal Countess

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ready Or Nott

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Millbuie

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mr Boson	57	60	34
Reveal	57	55	44
Dingwall	56	53	—
Strike Rate	54	59	19
Carvalhal	53	61	47
Braes Of Doune	51	67	45
Ready Or Nott	49	64	51
Propagation	46	65	44
Visitant	46	63	31
Royal Countess	46	59	28
Millbuie	46	58	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ready Or Nott	1d ago	Quick return
Strike Rate	10d ago	Quick return
Carvalhal	12d ago	Quick return
Visitant	15d ago	Fit
Propagation	18d ago	Fit
Millbuie	19d ago	Fit
Mr Boson	20d ago	Fit
Dingwall	25d ago	Fit
Reveal	26d ago	Fit
Royal Countess	34d ago	Fit
Braes Of Doune	46d ago	Fresh