Book For The Ayr Gold Cup Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

15:30

Book For The Ayr Gold Cup Handicap

Date 2024-07-08

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Winning Time 2m 8.25s (slow by 3.25s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	We Still Believe (IRE) Andrew Mullen · Daragh Bourke	4/1J	Won
2nd	Rich Harry (USA) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	25/1	1.25
3rd	Tilsitt (FR) Rhys Elliott · R Mike Smith	13/2	1
4th	Berry Edge (IRE) Phil Dennis · David Thompson	15/2	0.2
5th	Highwaygrey (GB) Amie Waugh · Tim Easterby	4/1J	.5
6th	Glasses Up (USA) Connor Beasley · R Mike Smith	9/2	1.5
7th	Volcanology (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	7/1	.75
8th	Ayr Poet (GB) Lauren Young · Jim Goldie	9/1	2.75
9th	Racing Vicar (IRE) Oisin Orr · Lucinda Russell	14/1	2
10th	Hondo (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Lucinda Russell	40/1	10
11th	Bellslea (IRE) Dougie Costello · R Mike Smith	125/1	6

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Highwaygrey Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Tim Easterby	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Tim Easterby	143	p	-54526	66	74	40	12d	—	—	-5	12.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Best effort this term when close second to Berry Edge at Carlisle on penultimate start
5 (3)	Glasses Up Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:R Mike Smith	J:Connor Beasley T:R Mike Smith	139	p	78-365	62	72	51	21d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Seven-time course winner; far from consistent since last success
7 (8)	We Still Believe b/br J:Andrew Mullen T:Daragh Bourke	J:Andrew Mullen T:Daragh Bourke	135	—	372233	58	70	61	17d	—	—	0	15.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Consistent this year; ties in with Berry Edge and Highwaygrey on Carlisle effort
4 (2)	Tilsitt Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:R Mike Smith	140	t	4698-4	63	76	72	19d	—	—	-5	6.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
On a long losing run but is attractively treated; won off 16lb higher here in 2022
8 (1)	Volcanology Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	134	—	518-5	67	67	50	19d	—	—	-4	7.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Failed to get home on reappearance but may improve with that outing under his belt
2 (10)	Ayr Poet Bay J:Lauren Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	J:Lauren Young(7) T:Jim Goldie	142	—	5-3270	65	72	43	12d	—	—	-2	6.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Five course wins; should benefit from return to Class 6; record of 8-24 in this grade
3 (9)	Berry Edge Bay J:Phil Dennis T:David Thompson	J:Phil Dennis T:David Thompson	141	p	80-401	64	73	15	28d	—	—	-4	6.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Got up close home to beat Highwaygrey at Carlisle and should remain competitive
9 (7)	Racing Vicar Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	131	—	025	64	63	25	25d	—	—	+2	8.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Best effort in maidens when second here in April; may progress now handicapping
10 (11)	Rich Harry Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	128	—	-36677	61	67	35	22d	—	—	+1	4.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
3yo maiden whose form has dipped since being gelded (consistent previously)
6 (5)	Hondo Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Lucinda Russell	J:Ryan Sexton T:Lucinda Russell	137	—	4265-7	60	71	55	19d	—	—	+1	3.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
4yo maiden; trailed home last of seven at Hamilton on stable/seasonal debut
12 (12)	Bellslea Bay J:Dougie Costello T:R Mike Smith	J:Dougie Costello T:R Mike Smith	126	—	665/0	49	67	-	26d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Has very weak claims on form
NR (6)	Braes Of Doune Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	128	—	31-223	51	73	51	1d	—	—	—	0.3	—	—
Won over C&D a year ago; placed here in last two outings, latest yesterday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Highwaygrey	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Glasses Up	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
We Still Believe	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	9/2
Tilsitt	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
Volcanology	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Ayr Poet	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Berry Edge	7/1	7/1	13/2	15/2	13/2
Racing Vicar	14/1	14/1	12/1	11/1	14/1
Rich Harry	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Hondo	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1
Bellslea	125/1	125/1	100/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

We Still Believe

15.5

OR: 2 Form: 9.1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Highwaygrey

12.5

OR: 4 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Racing Vicar

8.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Glasses Up

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Volcanology

7.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Tilsitt

6.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Berry Edge

6.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Ayr Poet

6.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Rich Harry

4.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1

25/1

Hondo

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Braes Of Doune

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Bellslea

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Volcanology	67	67	50
Highwaygrey	66	74	40
Ayr Poet	65	72	43
Berry Edge	64	73	15
Racing Vicar	64	63	25
Tilsitt	63	76	72
Glasses Up	62	72	51
Rich Harry	61	67	35
Hondo	60	71	55
We Still Believe	58	70	61
Braes Of Doune	51	73	51
Bellslea	49	67	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Braes Of Doune	1d ago	Quick return
Highwaygrey	12d ago	Quick return
Ayr Poet	12d ago	Quick return
We Still Believe	17d ago	Fit
Tilsitt	19d ago	Fit
Volcanology	19d ago	Fit
Hondo	19d ago	Fit
Glasses Up	21d ago	Fit
Rich Harry	22d ago	Fit
Racing Vicar	25d ago	Fit
Bellslea	26d ago	Fit
Berry Edge	28d ago	Fit