Luxury Breaks At Western House Hotel Handicap

Ayr

5:15

Date 2024-07-08

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5 (5)	Atomise b J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	136	—	70-232	58	73	61	21d	—	—	-11	7.2	7/2 22%
Knocking at the door this term, keeping-on second at Carlisle most recently; in the mix
6 (7)	Pembrokeshire b J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	135	h	033662	57	76	59	5d	—	—	-6	14	7/2 22%
Ran creditably over 7f last week; likely player provided he's in same form back at 6f
8 (6)	Eternal Sunshine b J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	130	—	66-041	52	69	61	14d	—	—	-13	5.9	4/1 20%
Opened her account at Thirsk two weeks ago on first 6f attempt; may build on that win
1 (9)	Thaki b J:Billy Loughnane T:Katie Scott	J:Billy Loughnane T:Katie Scott	140	t	524751	62	77	61	11d	—	—	+3	18.4	5/1 17%
Won at Hamilton last time; defied a 4lb higher mark over C&D last August; respected
3 (4)	Ballyare b J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	136	tp	755469	58	74	53	21d	—	—	-4	4.1	11/1 8%
Now 15lb below last winning mark but doesn't seem poised to take advantage
7 (2)	One Of Our Own b J:Phil Dennis T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Phil Dennis T:Rebecca Menzies	132	p	148-75	54	72	45	11d	—	—	-4	2.9	12/1 8%
May benefit from the return of cheekpieces; sole success came in this headgear
2 (3)	Back Tomorrow b J:Ryan Sexton T:Ewan Whillans	J:Ryan Sexton T:Ewan Whillans	136	—	127889	58	75	42	20d	—	—	0	4.2	18/1 5%
Two 6f AW wins last winter; needs to improve on her 5f turf efforts for new stable
4 (11)	Ski Angel b J:Dougie Costello T:R Mike Smith	J:Dougie Costello T:R Mike Smith	136	—	-18167	58	70	55	16d	—	—	+6	10.2	25/1 4%
All wins at 5f; blew the start last time; something to prove back over 6f
9 (10)	Nazca b J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	125	—	105218	47	76	37	47d	—	—	+7	10.6	22/1 4%
All wins on AW; down the field in C&D event last time; turf form remains poor
11 (1)	Allegro Brillante ch J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	118	—	-07496	46	56	43	16d	—	—	-2	0.6	66/1 1%
3yo maiden who has poor RPRs; yet to be placed
10 (8)	Onthebunny b J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Linda Perratt	124	e/s	0-0007	46	68	36	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Still a maiden and holds very weak claims on her form for current yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Atomise	10/3	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Pembrokeshire	10/3	10/3	3/1	7/2	10/3
Eternal Sunshine	7/2	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2
Thaki	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2
Ballyare	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
One Of Our Own	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1	12/1
Back Tomorrow	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Ski Angel	22/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Nazca	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Allegro Brillante	66/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1
Onthebunny	150/1	100/1	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Thaki

18.4

OR: 3 Form: 11 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Pembrokeshire

OR: 1.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Nazca

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ski Angel

10.2

OR: 2 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Atomise

7.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Eternal Sunshine

5.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Back Tomorrow

4.2

OR: 2 Form: 1 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Ballyare

4.1

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

One Of Our Own

2.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Allegro Brillante

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Onthebunny

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thaki Top Rated	62	77	61
Atomise	58	73	61
Ballyare	58	74	53
Back Tomorrow	58	75	42
Ski Angel	58	70	55
Pembrokeshire	57	76	59
One Of Our Own	54	72	45
Eternal Sunshine	52	69	61
Nazca	47	76	37
Allegro Brillante	46	56	43
Onthebunny	46	68	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pembrokeshire	5d ago	Quick return
Thaki	11d ago	Quick return
One Of Our Own	11d ago	Quick return
Eternal Sunshine	14d ago	Fit
Ski Angel	16d ago	Fit
Allegro Brillante	16d ago	Fit
Onthebunny	16d ago	Fit
Back Tomorrow	20d ago	Fit
Atomise	21d ago	Fit
Ballyare	21d ago	Fit
Nazca	47d ago	Fresh