ripon-races.co.uk Book Now For Saturday July 20th Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incen')

Ripon

18:20

Date 2024-07-08

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,711

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (15)	Bright Lily Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	128	—	3	-	79	42	28d	—	—	-9	7.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Iffraaj filly; creditable third at Carlisle on debut; should improve; worth considering
1 (7)	Violet Love Grey J:David Egan T:George Boughey	J:David Egan T:George Boughey	142	—	22112	85	79	59	15d	—	—	+16	33.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has won twice over 5f and last time was a good second over 6f; double penalty; chance
10 (4)	Easy Peeler Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Sister to 5f Group 3 Cornwallis winner Good Vibes; well entered; watch the market on debut
6 (9)	Little Lies Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Spencer	J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Spencer	128	—	3	-	81	49	10d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Creditable 2l third in similar race at Yarmouth on debut (6f, good to firm); a possible.
12 (5)	Harvesting Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	126	—	5	-	70	40	9d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Promising debut run over 7f last month; better expected and drop to 6f likely to suit
8 (14)	Party Bear Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	128	—	73	-	74	65	19d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Improved on low-key debut run when third over 5f here last time; step up to 6f should suit
14 (2)	Montana Girl Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Washington DC half-sister to eight winners; worth a market check on her debut
15 (11)	We've Got This Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Craig Lidster	J:Joe Fanning T:Craig Lidster	126	—	29	-	75	41	28d	—	—	0	4.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Good second on debut in a race that hasn't worked out; well beaten last time; more needed
2 (13)	Alfa Kalori Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Craig Lidster	J:Harrison Shaw T:Craig Lidster	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
£30,000 breeze-up buy; related to 4 winners at up to 1m; dam 1m winner; check the market
11 (3)	Flaine Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	126	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
12,000euros yearling by top Australian sprinter; had wind surgery; tongue-tie on debut
7 (12)	Mile By Mile Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Filly by Territories; half-sister to 2 winners at up to 1m2f; likely to improve for a run
5 (8)	Dark Rainbow Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
31,000euros yearling by Dark Angel; dam 1m winner; looks lesser fancied Fahey runner
4 (1)	Charm Runner Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	128	—	96	-	56	42	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well beaten at long odds on her two starts so far; first run at 6f; improvement needed
13 (10)	Magical Florence Chestnut J:Duran Fentiman T:Steph Hollinshead	J:Duran Fentiman T:Steph Hollinshead	126	—	05	-	-	-	28d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Tailed off when a 200-1 chance on her two starts so far; others look stronger
NR (6)	River Blackwater Grey J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	128	—	84	-	61	47	11d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Bettered her debut run when 6.5l fourth last time; needs to improve again now up to 6f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bright Lily	9/2	4/1	4/1	5/1	4/1
Violet Love	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1
Easy Peeler	5/1	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Little Lies	7/1	13/2	13/2	15/2	13/2
Harvesting	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Party Bear	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	17/2
Montana Girl	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
We've Got This	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Alfa Kalori	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Flaine	20/1	22/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Mile By Mile	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Dark Rainbow	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	33/1
Charm Runner	150/1	200/1	125/1	150/1	150/1
Magical Florence	250/1	250/1	150/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Violet Love

33.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 19.5 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Bright Lily

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.7

5/1

3rd

Little Lies

6.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Party Bear

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

17/2

We've Got This

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Easy Peeler

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Harvesting

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Montana Girl

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Alfa Kalori

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Flaine

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Mile By Mile

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Dark Rainbow

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Charm Runner

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Magical Florence

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

River Blackwater

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Violet Love	85	79	59
Bright Lily	—	79	42
Easy Peeler	—	—	—
Little Lies	—	81	49
Harvesting	—	70	40
Party Bear	—	74	65
Montana Girl	—	—	—
We've Got This	—	75	41
Alfa Kalori	—	—	—
Flaine	—	—	—
Mile By Mile	—	—	—
Dark Rainbow	—	—	—
Charm Runner	—	56	42
Magical Florence	—	—	—
River Blackwater	—	61	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Harvesting	9d ago	Quick return
Little Lies	10d ago	Quick return
Charm Runner	11d ago	Quick return
River Blackwater	11d ago	Quick return
Violet Love	15d ago	Fit
Party Bear	19d ago	Fit
Bright Lily	28d ago	Fit
We've Got This	28d ago	Fit
Magical Florence	28d ago	Fit
Easy Peeler	—	—
Montana Girl	—	—
Alfa Kalori	—	—
Flaine	—	—
Mile By Mile	—	—
Dark Rainbow	—	—