Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored By bet365) (Group 2) (Fillies)

Newmarket (July)

14:25

Date 2024-07-12

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £56,710

Winning Time 1m 11.11s (slow by 0.91s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Arabian Dusk (GB) Harry Davies · Simon & Ed Crisford	12/1	Won
2nd	Mountain Breeze (IRE) William Buick · Charlie Appleby	7/2	.75
3rd	Heavens Gate (IRE) Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien	15/8F	.75
4th	Bountiful (GB) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	22/1	0.1
5th	Maw Lam (IRE) James Doyle · Adrian Nicholls	11/1	1.25
6th	Tales Of The Heart (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	7/1	.5
7th	Mighty Eriu (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Gavin Cromwell	7/1	0.3
8th	Liberalised (GB) Daniel Tudhope · K R Burke	28/1	0.2
9th	Fiery Lucy (GB) Gary Carroll · Gavin Cromwell	12/1	3.5
10th	Teej A (IRE) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	33/1	6.5
11th	Enchanting Empress (GB) David Egan · Raphael E Freire	80/1	0.05

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Heavens Gate Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	128	—	213	-	108	102	21d	—	—	-10	22.5	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Improving; did well to finish third in the Albany, having helped to force strong pace
9 (5)	Mountain Breeze Chestnut J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	114	95	105	97	21d	—	—	+12	28	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Almost 3l behind Heavens Gate in the Albany but she's bred to rate higher still
8 (4)	Mighty Eriu Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Oisin Murphy T:Gavin Cromwell	128	—	22	-	107	91	23d	—	—	-1	12.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Solid second in both outings, latest in the Queen Mary; looks a winner waiting to happen
10 (8)	Tales Of The Heart Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	12	92	106	96	13d	—	—	+17	24.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran well in C&D Listed race last time; sister to a 2yo Group 2 winner; not ruled out
7 (10)	Maw Lam Bay J:James Doyle T:Adrian Nicholls	J:James Doyle T:Adrian Nicholls	128	—	123	100	107	90	23d	—	—	+19	26.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Progressive form; strong-finishing third in the Queen Mary most recently; possibilities
1 (1)	Arabian Dusk Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	23	-	105	95	13d	—	—	+2	8.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
525,000gns breeze-up buy; clear promise in both starts, third in C&D Listed event latest
4 (6)	Fiery Lucy Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	128	—	21	-	97	65	28d	—	—	+9	15.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won comfortably at Fairyhouse last time; may improve further; yard also runs Mighty Eriu
2 (11)	Bountiful Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	128	—	511	89	99	71	16d	—	—	+24	28	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Made all at Thirsk and Carlisle; now goes into deeper waters but she's improving
6 (2)	Liberalised Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	128	—	1	-	89	63	36d	—	—	+7	11	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won debut at Hamilton; withdrawn from the Albany (upset in stalls; 25-1) later in June
11 (7)	Teej A Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	128	—	2119	86	97	85	13d	—	—	+21	23.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Progress came to an abrupt half over C&D two weeks ago; looks out of her depth
3 (9)	Enchanting Empress Bay J:David Egan T:Raphael E Freire	J:David Egan T:Raphael E Freire	128	—	1110	90	98	85	23d	—	—	+24	25.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Came up well short in the Queen Mary, losing her unbeaten record; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Heavens Gate	13/8	15/8	6/4	13/8	15/8
Mountain Breeze	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mighty Eriu	13/2	11/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Tales Of The Heart	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Maw Lam	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Arabian Dusk	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Fiery Lucy	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Bountiful	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Liberalised	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Teej A	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	33/1
Enchanting Empress	80/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mountain Breeze

OR: 11.3 Form: 12 Odds: 4.7

9/2

2nd

Bountiful

OR: 9.8 Form: 17 Odds: 1.2

25/1

3rd

Maw Lam

26.1

OR: 12.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Enchanting Empress

25.3

OR: 10 Form: 15 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Tales Of The Heart

24.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 12 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Teej A

23.1

OR: 9 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Heavens Gate

22.5

OR: 0 Form: 12.5 Odds: 10

15/8

Fiery Lucy

15.2

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Mighty Eriu

12.1

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Liberalised

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1

25/1

Arabian Dusk

8.2

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Maw Lam	100	107	90
Mountain Breeze	95	105	97
Tales Of The Heart	92	106	96
Enchanting Empress	90	98	85
Bountiful	89	99	71
Teej A	86	97	85
Heavens Gate	—	108	102
Mighty Eriu	—	107	91
Arabian Dusk	—	105	95
Fiery Lucy	—	97	65
Liberalised	—	89	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tales Of The Heart	13d ago	Quick return
Arabian Dusk	13d ago	Quick return
Teej A	13d ago	Quick return
Bountiful	16d ago	Fit
Heavens Gate	21d ago	Fit
Mountain Breeze	21d ago	Fit
Mighty Eriu	23d ago	Fit
Maw Lam	23d ago	Fit
Enchanting Empress	23d ago	Fit
Fiery Lucy	28d ago	Fit
Liberalised	36d ago	Fit