Ivan Crawford British EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) (IRE Incentive Race) (Div I)

Newbury

15:00

Date 2024-07-19

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,480

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (8)	Ecology Chestnut J:Kevin Stott T:Ollie Sangster	J:Kevin Stott T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	2	-	93	83	15d	—	—	-23	18.3	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Strong in betting (7-2) when second on recent debut at Haydock and holds leading claims
1 (7)	Brightwalton Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	—	4	-	84	54	15d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Denied clear run when fourth over C&D on debut; trainer won this in 2020 and 2022
8 (2)	Pouting Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Hughes	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Hughes	128	—	220	78	86	77	20d	—	—	+4	16.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Runner-up on first two starts before heavy Listed defeat; respected now back down in grade
5 (4)	Glamour Show Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	—	6	-	80	51	15d	—	—	-15	6.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Fair sixth on debut over C&D; open to improvement and not ruled out
2 (11)	Cressida Wildes Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Fellowes	128	—	4	-	86	62	21d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Belied 40-1 odds when fourth on debut at Newmarket and could build on that run today
4 (1)	Ghost Run Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	—	56	-	82	64	33d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Underwhelming at Thirsk latest but caught the eye on debut at Goodwood and not written off
10 (3)	Taala Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Charles Hills	J:Pat Dobbs T:Charles Hills	128	—	5	-	73	54	44d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
6l fifth at 8-1 at Nottingham on debut; needs a sizeable step forward to win this
6 (6)	On A Vespa Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Half-sister to winners with peak RPRs of 74 and 73; may be best watched on debut
7 (10)	Peggies Revenge Bay J:John Fahy T:Adam West	J:John Fahy T:Adam West	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
First foal; dam useful 5f/6f winner; yard had a 2yo newcomer go close at 18-1 last month;
11 (9)	Whizz By Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Tom Ward	J:Tom Marquand T:Tom Ward	128	—	85	-	56	-	15d	—	—	0	0.2	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Down the field on first two runs at 100-1 then 25-1; others preferred
NR (5)	Shostakova Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	128	—	45	-	82	56	15d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Fair efforts on first two starts, over C&D most recently, but may be vulnerable once more

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Ecology	11/10	5/4	11/10
Brightwalton	5/1	9/2	5/1
Pouting	6/1	11/2	11/2
Glamour Show	11/2	5/1	7/1
Cressida Wildes	9/1	15/2	8/1
Ghost Run	16/1	16/1	16/1
Taala	20/1	18/1	18/1
On A Vespa	80/1	66/1	80/1
Peggies Revenge	150/1	80/1	150/1
Whizz By	400/1	125/1	400/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ecology

18.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 13.3

5/4

2nd

Pouting

16.6

OR: 7 Form: 6 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Glamour Show

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/1

Brightwalton

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Cressida Wildes

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Ghost Run

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Taala

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

On A Vespa

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Peggies Revenge

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Whizz By

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400/1

Shostakova

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pouting	78	86	77
Ecology	—	93	83
Brightwalton	—	84	54
Glamour Show	—	80	51
Cressida Wildes	—	86	62
Ghost Run	—	82	64
Taala	—	73	54
On A Vespa	—	—	—
Peggies Revenge	—	—	—
Whizz By	—	56	—
Shostakova	—	82	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ecology	15d ago	Fit
Brightwalton	15d ago	Fit
Glamour Show	15d ago	Fit
Whizz By	15d ago	Fit
Shostakova	15d ago	Fit
Pouting	20d ago	Fit
Cressida Wildes	21d ago	Fit
Ghost Run	33d ago	Fit
Taala	44d ago	Fit
On A Vespa	—	—
Peggies Revenge	—	—