Air Charter Services Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

8:40

Air Charter Services Handicap

Date 2024-07-19

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,381

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (12)	American Star b J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	136	p	076461	69	84	62	7d	—	—	+3	19.8	4/1 20%
Easy Chester winner a week ago; is 2lb well-in under the penalty, so has to be considered
4 (11)	King Of War b J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Michael Wigham	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Michael Wigham	135	t	1-2244	68	83	64	14d	—	—	+1	15.9	11/2 15%
Serial hard-puller who often makes the running; this a deal more competitive than latest
3 (7)	Buy The Dip b J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	135	—	642114	68	77	70	8d	—	—	+7	22.4	6/1 14%
On a career-high mark after two wins this summer; drying weather will work in his favour
10 (1)	Where's Freddy ch J:Hollie Doyle T:Stuart Williams	J:Hollie Doyle T:Stuart Williams	133	tp	120-30	66	82	71	53d	—	—	-4	7.3	13/2 13%
C&D winner; combination of a short break and first-time headgear will likely draw some in
7 (4)	Wake Up Harry b J:Kieran Shoemark T:Brian Toomey	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Brian Toomey	133	p	312284	66	77	50	15d	—	—	+4	12.4	11/1 8%
Headgear had a positive effect and he's had little luck in running of late; interesting
9 (5)	Once Adaay b J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	133	tv	018033	66	79	63	35d	—	—	+5	13.3	10/1 9%
Three Chelmsford wins in the winter all came off lower marks; others make greater appeal
13 (13)	United Force b J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Clare Hobson	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Clare Hobson	119	b	042632	52	78	80	21d	—	—	+5	10.5	16/1 6%
Gone well fresh before and did so again at Yarmouth; no certainty to repeat the effort
8 (6)	Revolutionise gr J:Jim Crowley T:Stuart Williams	J:Jim Crowley T:Stuart Williams	133	—	258266	66	73	50	48d	—	—	+2	8.1	14/1 7%
Seven-time AW winner; rated much lower on turf; tongue-tie off for first time since 2020
2 (8)	Raven's Applause b J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Dunlop	J:Oisin Murphy T:Ed Dunlop	135	v	2760-0	68	81	72	53d	—	—	0	6.1	14/1 7%
Well held on his comeback in May (soft ground not ideal); Oisin Murphy a positive booking
6 (10)	Capuchinero b J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	134	tp	543731	67	77	44	10d	—	—	+14	18.3	20/1 5%
Came away with subsequent winner in a small field at Brighton last Tuesday (soft); player
5 (3)	Strategia b J:Jimmy Quinn T:Marco Botti	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Marco Botti	134	p	/44-60	67	77	-	109d	—	—	+1	5.5	22/1 4%
Has only run on the AW/soft ground and hasn't progressed since handicapping; headgear on
11 (9)	No News b J:Harry Davies T:J R Jenkins	J:Harry Davies T:J R Jenkins	126	—	1-1278	59	81	-	58d	—	—	+8	9.8	33/1 3%
Finished well held back on turf when last seen two months ago; outsider
12 (2)	Bedford House b J:Ray Dawson T:Tony Carroll	J:Ray Dawson T:Tony Carroll	121	—	908-	54	69	-	494d	—	—	0	1.4	80/1 1%
Has been off for well over a year since three poor efforts on the AW

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
American Star	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1
King Of War	5/1	9/2	5/1	11/2	9/2
Buy The Dip	9/2	6/1	9/2	4/1	11/2
Where's Freddy	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Wake Up Harry	9/1	17/2	10/1	11/1	9/1
Once Adaay	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
United Force	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Revolutionise	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Raven's Applause	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Capuchinero	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Strategia	20/1	22/1	20/1	16/1	22/1
No News	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Bedford House	80/1	80/1	50/1	50/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Buy The Dip

22.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 4.4

6/1

2nd

American Star

19.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Capuchinero

18.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 13 Odds: 1.1

20/1

King Of War

15.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Once Adaay

13.3

OR: 4 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Wake Up Harry

12.4

OR: 4 Form: 6 Odds: 2.4

11/1

United Force

10.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.4

16/1

No News

9.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Revolutionise

8.1

OR: 4 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Where's Freddy

7.3

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Raven's Applause

6.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Strategia

5.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Bedford House

1.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
American Star Top Rated	69	84	62
King Of War	68	83	64
Buy The Dip	68	77	70
Raven's Applause	68	81	72
Capuchinero	67	77	44
Strategia	67	77	—
Where's Freddy	66	82	71
Wake Up Harry	66	77	50
Once Adaay	66	79	63
Revolutionise	66	73	50
No News	59	81	—
Bedford House	54	69	—
United Force	52	78	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
American Star	7d ago	Quick return
Buy The Dip	8d ago	Quick return
Capuchinero	10d ago	Quick return
King Of War	14d ago	Fit
Wake Up Harry	15d ago	Fit
United Force	21d ago	Fit
Once Adaay	35d ago	Fit
Revolutionise	48d ago	Fresh
Where's Freddy	53d ago	Fresh
Raven's Applause	53d ago	Fresh
No News	58d ago	Fresh
Strategia	109d ago	Long break
Bedford House	494d ago	Long break