Ladies Day Winners Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Stratford

Stratford

16:00

Ladies Day Winners Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2024-07-21

Distance 2m70y

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,991

Winning Time 3m 56.10s (slow by 16.10s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Brave Knight (GB) Harry Skelton · Paul Nicholls	8/15F	Won
2nd	United Front (USA) Connor Brace · Fergal O'Brien	18/1	9.5
3rd	Jo's Rainbow (IRE) Liam Harrison · Dan Skelton	66/1	1.25
4th	Calshot Spit (IRE) Marc Goldstein · Sheena West	17/2	.75
5th	Polling Day (IRE) Nick Scholfield · Archie Watson	7/2	3.25
6th	Paddys Island (IRE) Charlie Price · Robbie Llewellyn	6/1	2
7th	Ibiza Rocks (GB) Henry Brooke · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	50/1	9
8th	Stage Show (GB) Gavin Sheehan · Alexandra Dunn	66/1	8.5
9th	Zain Farhh (GB) Jonathan England · Sam England	150/1	3.25
10th	Galileo Glass (IRE) Jack Quinlan · Martin Dunne	150/1	59
11th	Porridge (IRE) Harriet Tucker · Tracey Leeson	200/1	9
12th	Jtadore De Forgan (FR) Kevin Brogan · L J Morgan	150/1	1

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Brave Knight Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Skelton T:Paul Nicholls	156	—	1	-	124	107	25d	—	—	-29	30	0.11/1	4/9 69%
Useful on the Flat for Sir Mark Prescott; easy winner on hurdles debut; the one to beat
6	Polling Day Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Archie Watson	J:Nick Scholfield T:Archie Watson	154	t	F2	-	110	86	19d	—	—	-8	8.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Quite useful on the Flat; caught close home when 2nd over C&D last time; interesting
1	Paddys Island Brown J:Charlie Price(3) T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Charlie Price(3) T:Robbie Llewellyn	160	—	8-41	103	105	96	19d	—	—	+3	17.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won five-finisher event over C&D last time; has a penalty but worth considering
9	Calshot Spit Bay J:Marc Goldstein T:Sheena West	J:Marc Goldstein T:Sheena West	150	—	0-3	-	109	83	19d	—	—	-3	5.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Modest Flat performer; promising third over C&D on hurdles debut; should progress
7	United Front Bay J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal O'Brien	154	—	5	-	94	54	61d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Six-time Flat winner; reportedly too free when fifth on hurdles debut; should improve
4	Ibiza Rocks Grey J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	154	—	5	-	91	63	32d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Ordinary at 7f/1m on the Flat; fair hurdles debut (bad mistake 3 out); improvement likely
12	Jo's Rainbow Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Dan Skelton	J:Liam Harrison T:Dan Skelton	143	—	07	-	91	59	20d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
1m2f Flat winner; 20,000gns buy; well beaten both runs over hurdles
10	Stage Show Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Alexandra Dunn	150	—	7	-	63	45	—	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Maiden on the Flat; badly hampered when well beaten on hurdles debut; should do better
3	Galileo Glass Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Martin Dunne	J:Jack Quinlan T:Martin Dunne	154	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Fair form at 7f/1m; lacks a recent run; not a certain stayer on stable/hurdles debut
5	Jtadore De Forgan Bay J:Kevin Brogan T:L J Morgan	J:Kevin Brogan T:L J Morgan	154	—	P/4U-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Not shown much in three points (first 2 in Ireland); best watched on stable/hurdles debut
8	Zain Farhh Chestnut J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	154	h	97	-	61	-	12d	—	—	0	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Fair on the Flat; pulled hard on both hurdles runs (well beaten); others stronger
13	Porridge Bay J:Harriet Tucker(7) T:Tracey Leeson	J:Harriet Tucker(7) T:Tracey Leeson	143	—	4-56U	-	-	-	7d	—	—	0	0.1	125.00/1	500/1 0%
Signs of promise in bumpers; unseated rider at the first on hurdle debut; best watched
NR	Mutley Crew Chestnut J:TBC T:Robert Walford	J: T:Robert Walford	147	—	9	-	57	-	37d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Well beaten in a mares' maiden on hurdles debut last month (66-1); best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Brave Knight	4/9	2/5	2/5	4/9	4/9
Polling Day	5/1	9/2	5/1	11/2	5/1
Paddys Island	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Calshot Spit	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
United Front	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Ibiza Rocks	40/1	33/1	40/1	50/1	40/1
Jo's Rainbow	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Stage Show	80/1	66/1	80/1	66/1	66/1
Galileo Glass	100/1	80/1	80/1	50/1	100/1
Jtadore De Forgan	150/1	150/1	100/1	125/1	150/1
Zain Farhh	150/1	150/1	125/1	150/1	150/1
Porridge	500/1	200/1	200/1	250/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brave Knight

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 20

4/9

2nd

Paddys Island

17.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Polling Day

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 4.7

11/2

Calshot Spit

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

12/1

United Front

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Ibiza Rocks

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Jo's Rainbow

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Stage Show

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Galileo Glass

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Jtadore De Forgan

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Zain Farhh

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Porridge

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

Mutley Crew

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Paddys Island	103	105	96
Brave Knight	—	124	107
Polling Day	—	110	86
Calshot Spit	—	109	83
United Front	—	94	54
Ibiza Rocks	—	91	63
Jo's Rainbow	—	91	59
Stage Show	—	63	45
Galileo Glass	—	—	—
Jtadore De Forgan	—	—	—
Zain Farhh	—	61	—
Porridge	—	—	—
Mutley Crew	—	57	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Porridge	7d ago	Quick return
Zain Farhh	12d ago	Quick return
Polling Day	19d ago	Fit
Paddys Island	19d ago	Fit
Calshot Spit	19d ago	Fit
Jo's Rainbow	20d ago	Fit
Brave Knight	25d ago	Fit
Ibiza Rocks	32d ago	Fit
Mutley Crew	37d ago	Fit
United Front	61d ago	Fresh
Stage Show	—	—
Galileo Glass	—	—
Jtadore De Forgan	—	—