Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:20

Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap

Date 2024-07-24

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 36.99s (slow by 2.09s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Gracious Leader (GB) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	8/13F	Won
2nd	Etretat (GB) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Johnston	8/1	1.75
3rd	Baroque Buoy (IRE) Callum Shepherd · George Scott	9/2	2.75
4th	Profitman (GB) Jack Gilligan · B F Brookhouse	16/1	7
5th	Miss Dandylion (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne	17/2	.5
6th	Mohave Dancer (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Charlie Fellowes	40/1	3
7th	Ottoman Force (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Darryll Holland	80/1	5.5
8th	Blue Akoya (GB) Tom Marquand · Tom Ward	22/1	6

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Gracious Leader Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	134	—	6-04	64	79	-	83d	—	—	-29	20.6	0.21/1	5/6 55%
250,000gns yearling; fair form on first and third outings; gelded; handicap/AW debut
1 (1)	Baroque Buoy Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	137	—	772216	67	76	68	30d	—	—	+3	20.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Progressed in AW handicaps before a lesser show on turf debut at Bath (1m2f, firm) latest
3 (7)	Miss Dandylion Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	134	—	433	64	72	-	16d	—	—	+2	11.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
After three starts she is less exposed than most and she made the frame in all three
7 (4)	Etretat Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	132	—	064532	62	75	48	13d	—	—	+2	13.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
13-race maiden who has some AW form and was beaten a neck at Carlisle on latest outing
9 (5)	Profitman Bay J:Jack Gilligan T:B F Brookhouse	J:Jack Gilligan T:B F Brookhouse	129	t	331130	59	76	67	98d	—	—	+9	14.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Off since April flop; below form sole attempt over this far but considered if back on song
6 (8)	Blue Akoya Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Tom Ward	J:Tom Marquand T:Tom Ward	132	h	6-0469	62	72	63	20d	—	—	0	4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Six-race maiden; tailed off (headstrong, set up a clear lead) on latest outing
2 (3)	Mohave Dancer Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	135	p	82-888	65	75	59	34d	—	—	+2	4.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Promise on AW here as a 2yo but showed poor form this season; drops back to 1m
5 (9)	Ottoman Force Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Darryll Holland	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Darryll Holland	133	—	9-4578	63	73	-	26d	—	—	+2	3.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Has failed to make much impact this season; recent headgear is off and he is upped in trip
NR (2)	Guns And Flowers Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Laura Mongan	J:NON-RUNNER T:Laura Mongan	130	—	0-5667	60	72	46	77d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
Her two goes at 1m, including in May on sole run for this yard, did not prove her stamina

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Gracious Leader	8/11	8/11	5/6	5/6	8/11
Baroque Buoy	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Miss Dandylion	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	8/1
Etretat	15/2	13/2	6/1	6/1	7/1
Profitman	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Blue Akoya	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Mohave Dancer	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Ottoman Force	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gracious Leader

20.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 17.1

5/6

2nd

Baroque Buoy

20.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 11 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Profitman

14.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 10.7 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Etretat

13.2

OR: 3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Miss Dandylion

11.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Mohave Dancer

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Blue Akoya

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Ottoman Force

3.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Guns And Flowers

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Baroque Buoy	67	76	68
Mohave Dancer	65	75	59
Gracious Leader	64	79	—
Miss Dandylion	64	72	—
Ottoman Force	63	73	—
Etretat	62	75	48
Blue Akoya	62	72	63
Guns And Flowers	60	72	46
Profitman	59	76	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Etretat	13d ago	Quick return
Miss Dandylion	16d ago	Fit
Blue Akoya	20d ago	Fit
Ottoman Force	26d ago	Fit
Baroque Buoy	30d ago	Fit
Mohave Dancer	34d ago	Fit
Guns And Flowers	77d ago	Fresh
Gracious Leader	83d ago	Fresh
Profitman	98d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.