King George Qatar Stakes (Group 2) – Goodwood

Goodwood

3:35

King George Qatar Stakes (Group 2)

Date 2024-08-02

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £179,771

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9 (7)	Big Evs b J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Appleby	J:Tom Marquand T:Michael Appleby	127	—	011-13	113	127	117	45d	—	—	-5	25.1	7/4 36%
Ran creditably behind Asfoora at Ascot; made all in the Molecomb here last year; respected
3 (10)	Asfoora b/br J:Oisin Murphy T:Henry Dwyer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Henry Dwyer	132	—	-20441	115	129	120	45d	—	—	+14	33	3/1 25%
Australian mare who beat several of these opponents in the 5f Group 1 at Royal Ascot
4 (11)	Believing b J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	130	t	-91441	111	126	115	13d	—	—	+21	30.9	15/2 12%
Justified favouritism in this grade at the Curragh last time; could well rate higher still
12 (12)	Starlust b/br J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	127	—	236181	113	125	108	20d	—	—	+24	34	8/1 11%
Listed win at York took his 5f form figures to 311; ties in with Big Evs on 2yo form
6 (9)	Live In The Dream ch J:Jason Hart T:Adam West	J:Jason Hart T:Adam West	130	—	44-254	110	126	108	27d	—	—	+10	16.7	12/1 8%
Has failed to build on reappearance run; peak performance remains his 2023 Nunthorpe win
2 (13)	Ponntos b J:Sabina Mokrosova T:Miroslav Nieslanik	J:Sabina Mokrosova T:Miroslav Nieslanik	133	t	540111	111	125	104	61d	—	—	+33	39	14/1 7%
Productive on the continent of late; beaten twice in this contest (finished fifth/sixth)
5 (1)	Desperate Hero gr/ro J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	130	p	9-6113	104	123	105	27d	—	—	+9	15.1	18/1 5%
Currently in career-best form; ran creditably behind Makarova at Sandown last time
8 (6)	Rogue Lightning b J:James Doyle T:Tom Clover	J:James Doyle T:Tom Clover	130	h	15-602	108	125	101	20d	—	—	+11	15.9	20/1 5%
Second to Starlust at York; may resume progress with hood reapplied (3-5 in this headgear)
1 (2)	Kerdos b J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	133	—	8-8515	110	125	108	45d	—	—	+12	16.2	25/1 4%
Behind a few of these rivals at Royal Ascot; now incurs 3lb penalty for Temple Stakes win
13 (8)	Sturlasson gr J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Kieran P Cotter	127	—	8-0120	93	110	101	33d	—	—	+10	11.1	125/1 1%
Irish 3yo who faces a stiff task upped in class, being clear bottom on ratings
NR (5)	Moss Tucker b J:W J Lee T:K J Condon	J:W J Lee T:K J Condon	130	t	110-17	114	128	93	69d	—	—	—	16	—
Irish sprinter whose peak figures give him a fighting chance in this first British start
NR (4)	Jasour gr J:NON-RUNNER T:Clive Cox	J:NON-RUNNER T:Clive Cox	127	—	89-136	110	125	-	20d	—	—	—	15	—
Capable of smart form over 6f but shapes as if this return to 5f is well worth exploring
NR (3)	Makarova b J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	127	tp	-72713	105	127	108	13d	—	—	—	25.3	—
Ties in with Believing on Curragh running; fourth in this race last year; fair claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Big Evs	7/4	7/4	13/8	7/4	7/4
Asfoora	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Believing	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Starlust	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Live In The Dream	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Ponntos	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Desperate Hero	18/1	16/1	18/1	12/1	18/1
Rogue Lightning	20/1	20/1	20/1	14/1	20/1
Kerdos	25/1	20/1	20/1	16/1	22/1
Sturlasson	125/1	100/1	80/1	66/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ponntos

OR: 15.3 Form: 22 Odds: 1.7

14/1

2nd

Starlust

OR: 15.8 Form: 15.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

3rd

Asfoora

OR: 16.3 Form: 11 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Believing

30.9

OR: 15.3 Form: 13 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Makarova

25.3

OR: 13.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0

—

Big Evs

25.1

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

7/4

Live In The Dream

16.7

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Kerdos

16.2

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Moss Tucker

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Rogue Lightning

15.9

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Desperate Hero

15.1

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Jasour

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sturlasson

11.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Asfoora Top Rated	115	129	120
Moss Tucker	114	128	93
Big Evs	113	127	117
Starlust	113	125	108
Believing	111	126	115
Ponntos	111	125	104
Live In The Dream	110	126	108
Kerdos	110	125	108
Jasour	110	125	—
Rogue Lightning	108	125	101
Makarova	105	127	108
Desperate Hero	104	123	105
Sturlasson	93	110	101

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Believing	13d ago	Quick return
Makarova	13d ago	Quick return
Starlust	20d ago	Fit
Rogue Lightning	20d ago	Fit
Jasour	20d ago	Fit
Live In The Dream	27d ago	Fit
Desperate Hero	27d ago	Fit
Sturlasson	33d ago	Fit
Big Evs	45d ago	Fit
Asfoora	45d ago	Fit
Kerdos	45d ago	Fit
Ponntos	61d ago	Fresh
Moss Tucker	69d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Live In The Dream	Front Runner
Ponntos	Front Runner

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 13 runners classified.