Hawes & Curtis Nursery Handicap – Goodwood

Goodwood

4:45

Hawes & Curtis Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-08-02

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £30,924

Runners (17)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
16 (3)	Rare Change b J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Hughes	J:Oisin Murphy T:Richard Hughes	120	—	0643	75	95	83	27d	—	—	-5	15	4/1 20%
Eyecatching third on handicap debut and that race didn't go entirely to plan
5 (9)	The Dragon King b J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	129	—	2411	84	100	87	18d	—	—	+18	30.6	6/1 14%
4lb rise since Windsor could be troublesome but the longer distance here promises to suit
3 (12)	Sex On Fire b J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Spencer	J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Spencer	133	—	1302	88	96	78	27d	—	—	+12	21.9	8/1 11%
Solid form claims and Jamie Spencer looks a good booking for this hold-up performer
7 (1)	Mission Command b J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	128	—	031	83	96	71	13d	—	—	+13	23.2	8/1 11%
He's one of the darker ones after Ripon win and a Group 2 entry (Mill Reef) bodes well
1 (15)	The Actor b J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	135	b	2103	90	97	95	28d	—	—	+14	21.7	10/1 9%
Returning to 6f casts some doubts and the added blinkers are a further grey area
4 (4)	Ardennes b J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	129	—	612	84	97	88	34d	—	—	+14	22.9	9/1 10%
Progressive and could easily take another step forward on the back of being gelded
2 (2)	Do It Now b J:Connor Beasley T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Connor Beasley T:Adrian Paul Keatley	135	—	2315	90	97	90	13d	—	—	+14	22.2	10/1 9%
Conceding weight all round when 5th in the Super Sprint; can be competitive off this mark
10 (5)	Tanager b J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	125	—	1533	80	95	81	37d	—	—	+11	17.5	12/1 8%
Salisbury third reads well; could be suited by this race with a good pace on the cards
9 (7)	Cayman Tai gr J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	126	—	2221	81	95	87	40d	—	—	+21	27	14/1 7%
Made heavy enough weather of winning a three-runner 5f novice at Ffos Las when 2-5
11 (6)	Berkshire Kameo b J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	123	v	3532	78	98	84	21d	—	—	+11	16.4	18/1 5%
This is a deeper nursery than the one in which he came up shy at Ascot; tries a visor
15 (14)	Artagnan b J:David Egan T:K R Burke	J:David Egan T:K R Burke	121	—	205	76	99	83	27d	—	—	+6	10.1	20/1 5%
Hasn't made the anticipated improvement since failing favourite backers on Ripon debut
13 (17)	Balzarini b J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	122	—	8413	77	99	87	11d	—	—	+14	17.8	20/1 5%
Solid third off this mark in a Windsor nursery but now in a deeper race
14 (13)	Hackney Diamonds b J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Meehan	J:Billy Loughnane T:Brian Meehan	122	—	9531	77	97	86	15d	—	—	+16	20.1	22/1 4%
Showed bright speed when holding on narrowly over 7f on nursery debut; up in class
12 (16)	Yes I'm Mali b/br J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Richard Fahey	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Richard Fahey	122	—	18	77	94	79	27d	—	—	+12	14.5	33/1 3%
Wetherby winner who failed to give his true running at Nottingham; a dark horse
17 (8)	Alondra b J:C Y Ho T:Charles Hills	J:C Y Ho T:Charles Hills	119	—	558	74	91	79	49d	—	—	+4	6.8	33/1 3%
She doesn't look obviously well treated for nursery debut and this is competitive
8 (11)	Shazani b J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	126	—	0417	81	94	79	27d	—	—	+13	15.3	50/1 2%
Maiden winner but dropped out on handicap debut; could be the stable second string
NR (10)	Zabeel Road b J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	129	—	1492	84	95	81	20d	—	—	—	16.5	—
Windsor Castle ninth; the winner got away from him at Chester; ready for 6f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Rare Change	4/1	4/1	10/3	4/1	4/1
The Dragon King	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Sex On Fire	8/1	15/2	15/2	8/1	8/1
Mission Command	15/2	8/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
The Actor	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Ardennes	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Do It Now	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Tanager	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Cayman Tai	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Berkshire Kameo	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Artagnan	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Balzarini	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Hackney Diamonds	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Yes I'm Mali	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1
Alondra	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Shazani	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Dragon King

30.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Cayman Tai

OR: 7.8 Form: 17.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

3rd

Mission Command

23.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Ardennes

22.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 12 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Do It Now

22.2

OR: 10 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Sex On Fire

21.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

The Actor

21.7

OR: 10 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Hackney Diamonds

20.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Balzarini

17.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Tanager

17.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Zabeel Road

16.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 8 Odds: 0

—

Berkshire Kameo

16.4

OR: 7 Form: 8 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Shazani

15.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Rare Change

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Yes I'm Mali

14.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Artagnan

10.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Alondra

6.8

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Actor Top Rated	90	97	95
Do It Now	90	97	90
Sex On Fire	88	96	78
The Dragon King	84	100	87
Ardennes	84	97	88
Zabeel Road	84	95	81
Mission Command	83	96	71
Cayman Tai	81	95	87
Shazani	81	94	79
Tanager	80	95	81
Berkshire Kameo	78	98	84
Balzarini	77	99	87
Hackney Diamonds	77	97	86
Yes I'm Mali	77	94	79
Artagnan	76	99	83
Rare Change	75	95	83
Alondra	74	91	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Balzarini	11d ago	Quick return
Mission Command	13d ago	Quick return
Do It Now	13d ago	Quick return
Hackney Diamonds	15d ago	Fit
The Dragon King	18d ago	Fit
Zabeel Road	20d ago	Fit
Berkshire Kameo	21d ago	Fit
Rare Change	27d ago	Fit
Sex On Fire	27d ago	Fit
Artagnan	27d ago	Fit
Yes I'm Mali	27d ago	Fit
Shazani	27d ago	Fit
The Actor	28d ago	Fit
Ardennes	34d ago	Fit
Tanager	37d ago	Fit
Cayman Tai	40d ago	Fit
Alondra	49d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Rare Change	Hold Up
Sex On Fire	Hold Up
Shazani	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 17 runners classified.