JPS Ceilings And Partitions Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:05

JPS Ceilings And Partitions Handicap

Date 2024-08-02

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 0.39s (slow by 2.89s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Dc Flyer (GB) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	11/2	Won
2nd	Exponential (GB) Andrew Breslin · Bryan Smart	14/1	.75
3rd	Lady Of The Garr (IRE) Andrew Elliott · Tracy Waggott	20/1	0.3
4th	Northern Prince (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	4/1	.75
5th	Musical Diva (IRE) Mark Winn · David O'Meara	7/2F	1.25
6th	Showboated (GB) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	5/1	1.5
7th	Grid Iron Maiden (GB) Shay Farmer · Brian Ellison	22/1	0.2
8th	Miss Rainbow (IRE) Archie Young · Tracy Waggott	28/1	.5
9th	Stoneacre Girl (GB) Ben Sanderson · Jessica Macey	22/1	.5
10th	Pinpoint (GB) P J McDonald · Ewan Whillans	12/1	1
11th	Yiengaa (GB) Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler	14/1	2
12th	Diligent Henry (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	10/1	0.2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (10)	Musical Diva Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	134	v	646722	58	72	54	6d	—	—	-3	16.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
More exposed than her rivals but tough, in form and on a handy mark; good claims
9 (11)	Northern Prince Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	126	p	-50428	50	71	-	13d	—	—	-9	8.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Had an excuse at Ripon last time; contender on previous Thirsk second; AW debut
10 (12)	Showboated Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	123	t	923532	47	75	23	10d	—	—	-1	13	1.50/1	6/1 14%
He's been threatening and is due to be 2lb higher from the weekend; shortlisted
4 (2)	Dc Flyer Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	131	p	-87303	55	72	-	14d	—	—	-1	8.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
He's run well in two of his last three starts; no easy task dominating on AW debut
7 (5)	Diligent Henry Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	127	p	856938	51	64	42	27d	—	—	-5	5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Modest form in six starts; still relatively early days but improvement is required
1 (3)	Pinpoint Bay J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	135	—	132085	59	72	-	11d	—	—	-2	6.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two 5f wins to his name; will be 2lb lower from the weekend but still feasibly weighted
5 (1)	Yiengaa Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	129	—	442178	53	70	-	25d	—	—	+3	8.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Easy win at Brighton in June (6f, good to firm) but well held twice since; others safer
3 (8)	Exponential Brown J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	133	—	325802	57	70	61	14d	—	—	+3	9.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
0-8 but has shown promise, including over &D; more appealing than many
11 (6)	Lady Of The Garr Bay J:Andrew Elliott T:Tracy Waggott	J:Andrew Elliott T:Tracy Waggott	123	—	672683	47	74	31	11d	—	—	+1	5.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Inconsistent but placed in two of her last four starts; handles AW; not discounted
6 (4)	Stoneacre Girl Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	129	p	9666-6	53	69	32	60d	—	—	-2	2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Unplaced all six starts but has shown ability; returning cheekpieces not enough to tempt
12 (9)	Grid Iron Maiden Bay J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Brian Ellison	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Brian Ellison	122	—	936940	46	71	-	17d	—	—	-2	1.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
11-race maiden; conditions fine but she looks vulnerable to anything progressive
8 (7)	Miss Rainbow Bay J:Archie Young(5) T:Tracy Waggott	J:Archie Young(5) T:Tracy Waggott	126	—	539609	50	66	35	12d	—	—	-2	1.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
12-race maiden who has gone off the boil of late; one of two runners for the yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Musical Diva	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2	10/3
Northern Prince	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Showboated	6/1	11/2	6/1	9/2	11/2
Dc Flyer	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Diligent Henry	9/1	17/2	9/1	8/1	8/1
Pinpoint	8/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Yiengaa	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Exponential	14/1	14/1	12/1	11/1	14/1
Lady Of The Garr	14/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Stoneacre Girl	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Grid Iron Maiden	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Miss Rainbow	33/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Musical Diva

16.2

OR: 2 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Showboated

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Exponential

9.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Yiengaa

8.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Northern Prince

8.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Dc Flyer

8.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Pinpoint

6.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Lady Of The Garr

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Diligent Henry

OR: 0.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Stoneacre Girl

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Grid Iron Maiden

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1

25/1

Miss Rainbow

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pinpoint	59	72	—
Musical Diva	58	72	54
Exponential	57	70	61
Dc Flyer	55	72	—
Yiengaa	53	70	—
Stoneacre Girl	53	69	32
Diligent Henry	51	64	42
Northern Prince	50	71	—
Miss Rainbow	50	66	35
Showboated	47	75	23
Lady Of The Garr	47	74	31
Grid Iron Maiden	46	71	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Musical Diva	6d ago	Quick return
Showboated	10d ago	Quick return
Pinpoint	11d ago	Quick return
Lady Of The Garr	11d ago	Quick return
Miss Rainbow	12d ago	Quick return
Northern Prince	13d ago	Quick return
Dc Flyer	14d ago	Fit
Exponential	14d ago	Fit
Grid Iron Maiden	17d ago	Fit
Yiengaa	25d ago	Fit
Diligent Henry	27d ago	Fit
Stoneacre Girl	60d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.