betting.bet Free Racing Tips Handicap – Chepstow

Chepstow

17:05

betting.bet Free Racing Tips Handicap

Date 2024-08-15

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 10.35s (slow by 2.35s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Outer Edge (GB) Gina Mangan · Christopher Mason	5/2F	Won
2nd	Lochaber (GB) Jason Watson · Scott Dixon	11/1	.5
3rd	Rogue Rosie (GB) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Alice Haynes	14/1	0.2
4th	Frankie Valliance (GB) Hollie Doyle · David Loughnane	7/2	1.25
5th	Moe's Legacy (GB) Joey Haynes · Ronald Harris	3/1	0.05
6th	Johnny Johnson (GB) Oliver Searle · Rod Millman	5/1	1.75
7th	Toosha (IRE) Joshua Bryan · John Butler	14/1	1.5

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (5)	Outer Edge Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	128	p	-72482	53	72	55	16d	—	—	-11	15.3	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Second at Ffos Las (6f, good to firm); in the mix if able to repeat that.
3 (8)	Moe's Legacy Grey J:Joey Haynes T:Ronald Harris	J:Joey Haynes T:Ronald Harris	134	—	613463	59	73	66	12d	—	—	-5	13.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
6f winner; not far off that level twice since and is an each-way player.
6 (3)	Frankie Valliance Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Loughnane	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Loughnane	132	—	89-30	57	74	37	30d	—	—	-9	6.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Well beaten on handicap debut latest; drops 3lb; still to prove best form was no fluke.
4 (6)	Johnny Johnson Bay J:Oliver Searle(5) T:Rod Millman	J:Oliver Searle(5) T:Rod Millman	134	b	374443	59	72	45	9d	—	—	-6	10	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-13; blinkers fitted and claimer enlisted; not a huge surprise if he ran into a place.
1 (4)	Lochaber Bay J:Jason Watson T:Scott Dixon	J:Jason Watson T:Scott Dixon	136	p	621605	61	70	68	23d	—	—	+2	8.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
5f seller winner in May; well beaten in three subsequent handicaps; much more needed.
5 (1)	Rogue Rosie Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Alice Haynes	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Alice Haynes	134	p	43-650	59	71	63	42d	—	—	-2	4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Placed in 3-4 turf starts; handy mark; more recent AW efforts below par; bit to prove.
7 (2)	Toosha Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:John Butler	J:Joshua Bryan T:John Butler	130	—	097-56	55	64	43	108d	—	—	-2	2.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Second in a novice event last year but has struggled to make a serious impact since.
NR (7)	Marching Mac Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Phil McEntee	J:NON-RUNNER T:Phil McEntee	135	ht	672535	60	75	-	12d	—	0W/0P 1 run	—	6.1	—	—
Below par since a Brighton handicap second in May; blinkers swapped for hood; more needed.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Outer Edge	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4	9/4
Moe's Legacy	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Frankie Valliance	9/2	5/1	4/1	5/1	5/1
Johnny Johnson	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Lochaber	11/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Rogue Rosie	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1	12/1
Toosha	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Outer Edge

15.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Moe's Legacy

13.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Johnny Johnson

OR: 2.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Lochaber

8.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 4 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Frankie Valliance

6.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Marching Mac

6.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0

—

Rogue Rosie

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Toosha

2.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lochaber	61	70	68
Marching Mac	60	75	—
Moe's Legacy	59	73	66
Johnny Johnson	59	72	45
Rogue Rosie	59	71	63
Frankie Valliance	57	74	37
Toosha	55	64	43
Outer Edge	53	72	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Johnny Johnson	9d ago	Quick return
Moe's Legacy	12d ago	Quick return
Marching Mac	12d ago	Quick return
Outer Edge	16d ago	Fit
Lochaber	23d ago	Fit
Frankie Valliance	30d ago	Fit
Rogue Rosie	42d ago	Fit
Toosha	108d ago	Long break