Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:00

Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap

Date 2024-08-22

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (7)	Bernadine Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:James Fanshawe	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:James Fanshawe	136	—	347856	63	81	56	28d	—	—	-9	8.5	7/2 22%
4lb below last winning mark; ran with credit over C&D last month but not so good last time
3 (8)	Roscioli Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Brett Johnson	J:Ray Dawson T:Brett Johnson	137	t	180321	64	73	56	7d	—	—	+5	24.2	10/3 23%
Twice placed over C&D in June and won at Salisbury a week ago; contender despite penalty
9 (10)	We'renotreallyhere Bay J:George Rooke T:Daniel Steele	J:George Rooke T:Daniel Steele	130	p	642421	57	78	67	17d	—	—	+3	22.5	7/2 22%
3lb higher than when winning over C&D last time; still well treated on previous form
7 (1)	Kracking Grey J:Luke Catton(3) T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton(3) T:Stuart Williams	135	ht	997212	62	81	25	3d	—	—	+8	21.5	5/1 17%
5lb lower than when second of seven at Yarmouth on Monday; shortlisted back on the AW
8 (9)	Hitched Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Simcock	J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Simcock	134	h	41-459	61	73	44	24d	—	—	-2	4.7	11/1 8%
1lb above last winning mark, but needs to leave this season's three runs behind him
5 (2)	Awtaad Prince Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	136	ht	-81339	63	73	55	131d	—	—	+6	11.5	14/1 7%
Has improved for the hood but returns from 131 days off and may need further than this now
2 (11)	Outrace Chestnut J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	137	—	29-656	64	77	60	27d	—	—	-1	5.1	18/1 5%
2-26; 5lb lower than when runner-up on AW last December, but below that form since
10 (3)	Candy Warhol Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	130	t	322970	57	75	72	24d	—	—	+1	5.5	22/1 4%
Has gone well here but is now 0-20; others are more compelling
12 (4)	Damoiseau Bay J:Jack Dace(7) T:Ian Williams	J:Jack Dace(7) T:Ian Williams	119	p	274747	46	72	39	24d	—	—	-2	0.9	33/1 3%
Not at his best of late and now 0-22; needs the drop in trip to make a difference
11 (6)	Sir Patchy b/br J:J F Egan T:Pat Phelan	J:J F Egan T:Pat Phelan	121	—	008-9	48	68	51	30d	—	—	-2	0.6	40/1 2%
Hasn't threatened in four starts; makes little appeal
6 (12)	Dubai Harbour Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley T:Pat Phelan	135	—	7-78	62	66	31	31d	—	—	+2	3.3	80/1 1%
Well held in first three starts and needs to take a big step forward now handicapping
NR (5)	Tea Sea Bay J:TBC T:Tony Carroll	J: T:Tony Carroll	137	b	125-87	64	74	57	2d	—	—	—	3.5	—
Emphatic winner at Southwell last December, but may prefer a slower surface than this

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bernadine	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Roscioli	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3
We'renotreallyhere	3/1	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Kracking	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Hitched	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Awtaad Prince	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Outrace	18/1	16/1	16/1	12/1	16/1
Candy Warhol	20/1	22/1	22/1	16/1	20/1
Damoiseau	33/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	28/1
Sir Patchy	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Dubai Harbour	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Roscioli

24.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 15 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

We'renotreallyhere

22.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 15 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Kracking

21.5

OR: 3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 4

5/1

Awtaad Prince

11.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Bernadine

8.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Candy Warhol

5.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Outrace

5.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Hitched

4.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Tea Sea

3.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Dubai Harbour

3.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Damoiseau

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Sir Patchy

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Roscioli	64	73	56
Outrace	64	77	60
Tea Sea	64	74	57
Bernadine	63	81	56
Awtaad Prince	63	73	55
Kracking	62	81	25
Dubai Harbour	62	66	31
Hitched	61	73	44
We'renotreallyhere	57	78	67
Candy Warhol	57	75	72
Sir Patchy	48	68	51
Damoiseau	46	72	39

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tea Sea	2d ago	Quick return
Kracking	3d ago	Quick return
Roscioli	7d ago	Quick return
We'renotreallyhere	17d ago	Fit
Hitched	24d ago	Fit
Candy Warhol	24d ago	Fit
Damoiseau	24d ago	Fit
Outrace	27d ago	Fit
Bernadine	28d ago	Fit
Sir Patchy	30d ago	Fit
Dubai Harbour	31d ago	Fit
Awtaad Prince	131d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.