National Racehorse Week 7th -15th September Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Stratford

17:55

Date 2024-08-27

Distance 2m70y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,776

Winning Time 3m 46.56s (slow by 6.56s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Mary (IRE) Sean Bowen · Ian Williams	7/2	Won
2nd	Call Blue (GB) Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel Twiston-Davies	22/1	2.25
3rd	Ocean Heights (GB) Jack Tudor · David Pipe	11/4F	1
4th	Jo's Rainbow (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton	8/1	1.25
5th	Razzo Italiano (IRE) Robert Dunne · Gary Hanmer	22/1	5
6th	Night Fever (GER) Gavin Sheehan · Jamie Snowden	20/1	2.25
7th	Miss Applejack (GB) Elizabeth Gale · Charlie Longsdon	7/1	.5
8th	Right Now (IRE) Nathan Moscrop · Rebecca Menzies	16/1	0.05
9th	Rhyme Scheme (IRE) Philip Armson · Peter Winks	40/1	2.25
10th	Baltic Voyage (GB) Rex Dingle · Anthony Honeyball	11/1	3.5
11th	Habibi (IRE) Tabitha Worsley · Jake Thomas Coulson	125/1	7.5
12th	Cawthorne Cracker (IRE) Henry Brooke · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	11/1	3.25
13th	Harry Gulliver (GB) Kielan Woods · Alex Hales	11/1	3
14th	Strip Light (IRE) Emma Smith-Chaston · Paula Smith	125/1	1.5
15th	Phoenix Aquilus (IRE) James Bowen · Seamus Mullins	12/1	21

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Mary Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Ian Williams	J:Sean Bowen T:Ian Williams	166	t	67-9P4	95	100	74	40d	—	—	-3	17.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
0-11; first run in a tongue-tie when giving it a good go from the front at Worcester
4	Ocean Heights Chestnut J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	162	tp	6/0P/3	91	97	91	—	—	—	-1	19	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Well treated given level of Flat form and likely to come good sooner or later
5	Jo's Rainbow Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	161	—	073	93	88	48	37d	—	—	+4	17.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Brings momentum into handicaps after running better to be third here last time
12	Miss Applejack Chestnut J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Charlie Longsdon	147	—	U78-76	76	95	34	77d	—	—	-3	10.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Not much of a threat in either handicap and one to watch after wind surgery
11	Harry Gulliver Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	148	—	5/60-F	77	97	-	112d	—	—	+1	9.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Lightly raced and in contention on handicap debut in May when taking a late fall
8	Cawthorne Cracker Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	153	t	1P-150	82	95	95	40d	—	—	+3	10.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Course winner tough to predict; couldn't back with confidence but nor rule him out
3	Phoenix Aquilus Bay J:James Bowen T:Seamus Mullins	J:James Bowen T:Seamus Mullins	165	—	0323-9	94	98	80	32d	—	—	+6	12.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Still a maiden over jumps and ended up long way behind when back from a break at Uttoxeter
6	Baltic Voyage Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Rex Dingle T:Anthony Honeyball	157	t	P7-56	89	94	66	37d	—	—	+6	11.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Flat winner; hasn't got a lot going in four runs over hurdles for current yard
7	Call Blue Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	153	—	/0323/	82	-	-	671d	—	—	+12	17.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
In competitive form when last seen in October 2022 and her mark has dropped
1	Right Now Bay J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	168	p	68-137	100	96	81	33d	—	—	+9	13.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Might be in the handicapper's grip since his winning debut for this yard at Market Rasen
9	Night Fever Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	152	—	65449/	81	94	-	489d	—	—	+4	9.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Positive signs in six defeats over hurdles but hasn't raced since April 2023
10	Razzo Italiano Brown J:Robert Dunne T:Gary Hanmer	J:Robert Dunne T:Gary Hanmer	149	p	P/9635	78	92	92	—	—	—	+4	8.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
1-18 under NH rules and the ground was soft when gaining his sole success in 2022
13	Rhyme Scheme Bay J:Philip Armson(3) T:Peter Winks	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Peter Winks	145	t	57-P47	74	97	63	60d	—	—	+4	6.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Good fourth of ten in 2m Hexham handicap and was 10lb out of the weights at Cartmel
14	Strip Light Chestnut J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Paula Smith	J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Paula Smith	143	—	P/0-59	72	94	68	81d	—	—	+5	5.8	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Placed on the Flat but a longstanding maiden and very opposable on hurdle form
15	Habibi Bay J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Jake Thomas Coulson	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Jake Thomas Coulson	142	h	8-PU59	74	80	29	32d	—	—	+5	6.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Goes handicapping from 1lb out of the weights and with lots to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mary	3/1	10/3	3/1	11/4	3/1
Ocean Heights	10/3	7/2	3/1	3/1	10/3
Jo's Rainbow	6/1	6/1	6/1	9/2	6/1
Miss Applejack	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Harry Gulliver	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Cawthorne Cracker	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Phoenix Aquilus	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Baltic Voyage	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Call Blue	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
Right Now	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Night Fever	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Razzo Italiano	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Rhyme Scheme	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	40/1
Strip Light	150/1	125/1	150/1	100/1	150/1
Habibi	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ocean Heights

OR: 10.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Jo's Rainbow

17.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Mary

17.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Call Blue

17.4

OR: 8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Right Now

13.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Phoenix Aquilus

12.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Baltic Voyage

11.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Miss Applejack

10.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Cawthorne Cracker

10.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Harry Gulliver

9.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Night Fever

9.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Razzo Italiano

8.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Rhyme Scheme

6.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Habibi

6.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Strip Light

5.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Right Now	100	96	81
Mary	95	100	74
Phoenix Aquilus	94	98	80
Jo's Rainbow	93	88	48
Ocean Heights	91	97	91
Baltic Voyage	89	94	66
Cawthorne Cracker	82	95	95
Call Blue	82	—	—
Night Fever	81	94	—
Razzo Italiano	78	92	92
Harry Gulliver	77	97	—
Miss Applejack	76	95	34
Rhyme Scheme	74	97	63
Habibi	74	80	29
Strip Light	72	94	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Phoenix Aquilus	32d ago	Fit
Habibi	32d ago	Fit
Right Now	33d ago	Fit
Jo's Rainbow	37d ago	Fit
Baltic Voyage	37d ago	Fit
Mary	40d ago	Fit
Cawthorne Cracker	40d ago	Fit
Rhyme Scheme	60d ago	Fresh
Miss Applejack	77d ago	Fresh
Strip Light	81d ago	Fresh
Harry Gulliver	112d ago	Long break
Night Fever	489d ago	Long break
Call Blue	671d ago	Long break
Ocean Heights	—	—
Razzo Italiano	—	—