Unibet Support Safe Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Date 2024-08-28

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,780

Winning Time 1m 27.66s (slow by 3.06s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Upscale (GB) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	1/2F	Won
2nd	Saigon Dream (GB) Edward Greatrex · Jack Channon	66/1	.5
3rd	Boss Dog (GB) George Wood · Harry Eustace	9/1	0.1
4th	Makes Sense (IRE) George Downing · Eve Johnson Houghton	7/2	3
5th	Patch's Bond (GB) Paddy Bradley · Pat Phelan	125/1	.75
6th	Dooley (IRE) William Cox · Charles Hills	28/1	.5
7th	Believe It (GB) Billy Loughnane · Daniel & Claire Kubler	17/2	3
8th	Jaamir (GB) Darragh Keenan · James Owen	150/1	2
9th	Foreseen (GB) Jim Crowley · Adam West	33/1	0.05
10th	Ultimate Sapphire (FR) Taylor Fisher · Joe Tickle	150/1	.5

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (2)	Upscale Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	125	h	2-0232	80	97	-	13d	—	—	-25	30.4	0.15/1	8/13 62%
Hasn't progressed in the expected manner but brings the best form to this AW debut
5 (5)	Makes Sense Bay J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	130	—	22	-	83	-	32d	—	—	-7	15.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Clear promise in novice events at Salisbury, finishing second both times; major player
2 (8)	Boss Dog Bay J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	130	—	5	-	74	56	26d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Showed ability with his fifth of 14 in Southwell maiden; open to improvement
9 (9)	Believe It Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Billy Loughnane T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Sister to a triple 6f winner for her connections; interesting newcomer
3 (6)	Dooley Bay J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
£80,000 yearling; Magna Grecia half-brother to a 2m AW winner; check the betting
1 (10)	Foreseen Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Adam West	J:Jim Crowley T:Adam West	137	t	18	-	84	-	121d	—	—	+4	8.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Raced twice in France, winning on debut; sold for 5,000gns since last run
7 (7)	Saigon Dream Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Jack Channon	J:Edward Greatrex T:Jack Channon	130	—	4	-	53	-	8d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Brighton effort wasn't devoid of promise but he needs to improve a good deal
6 (4)	Patch's Bond Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley T:Pat Phelan	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
From a family that has served his trainer well; promising effort may be on the way
8 (3)	Ultimate Sapphire Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	130	—	7	-	63	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Finished 10l behind Upscale in Salisbury event and needs a big step forward
4 (1)	Jaamir Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	J:Darragh Keenan T:James Owen	130	—	—	-	46	34	10d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Southwell effort doesn't suggest he's an imminent winner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Upscale	8/15	4/7	8/15	8/13	4/7
Makes Sense	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Boss Dog	15/2	8/1	7/1	13/2	8/1
Believe It	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Dooley	33/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Foreseen	40/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Saigon Dream	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Patch's Bond	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1	100/1
Ultimate Sapphire	100/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Jaamir	200/1	200/1	300/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Upscale

30.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 19.4

8/13

2nd

Makes Sense

15.2

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Foreseen

8.2

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

40/1

Boss Dog

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Believe It

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Dooley

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Saigon Dream

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Patch's Bond

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ultimate Sapphire

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Jaamir

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Upscale	80	97	—
Makes Sense	—	83	—
Boss Dog	—	74	56
Believe It	—	—	—
Dooley	—	—	—
Foreseen	—	84	—
Saigon Dream	—	53	—
Patch's Bond	—	—	—
Ultimate Sapphire	—	63	—
Jaamir	—	46	34

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Saigon Dream	8d ago	Quick return
Jaamir	10d ago	Quick return
Upscale	13d ago	Quick return
Ultimate Sapphire	13d ago	Quick return
Boss Dog	26d ago	Fit
Makes Sense	32d ago	Fit
Foreseen	121d ago	Long break
Believe It	—	—
Dooley	—	—
Patch's Bond	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.