Peter Dawson Forget-Me-Not Novices' Hurdle (Arc Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB)

Worcester

18:10

Date 2024-08-28

Distance 2m4f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,193

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8	Letterston Lily Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter & Michael Bowen	150	—	0-3112	113	129	96	39d	—	—	-10	27.9	5/4 44%
Chased home a subsequent Listed winner at Market Rasen; high on the list.
1	Al Gasparo Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Gavin Cromwell	161	t	242-15	-	137	108	29d	—	—	-23	10.6	7/4 36%
Made all at Killarney in May; well held in Listed company latest but this is easier.
3	Full Monty Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	161	—	47-821	110	109	101	31d	—	—	+5	19	6/1 14%
Progressing well and broke the course record when opening his account latest, respected.
2	Ebony Warrior Brown J:Kielan Woods T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:Kielan Woods T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	161	t	85-31	110	114	69	34d	—	—	+8	17.7	17/2 11%
Has to defy a penalty for his recent course win but could improve for this longer trip.
6	Matchadam Bay J:Cameron Iles(7) T:Tom Lacey	J:Cameron Iles(7) T:Tom Lacey	154	t	1/4-68	-	84	51	41d	—	—	+3	5.6	40/1 2%
Point winner who's been beaten wide margins on both starts over hurdles; others preferred.
10	Absence Of Malice Chestnut J:Ben Jones T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Ben Jones T:Peter & Michael Bowen	143	—	08	-	-	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.3	150/1 1%
Well beaten in two bumpers and best watched now hurdling.
9	Hurley Girly Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	147	—	3-097	-	81	69	9d	—	—	+1	2.3	200/1 0%
Makes little appeal having been beaten a long way on both starts over hurdles.
4	Connolly Bay J:James Best T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:James Best T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	154	—	/97-0P	-	66	18	7d	—	—	-2	0.9	250/1 0%
Well beaten at huge odds on both completed hurdling starts (2m3f/2m).
NR	Leave Her To Me Bay J:NON-RUNNER(3) T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:NON-RUNNER(3) T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	154	—	910/81	-	107	83	42d	—	—	—	0	—
Won on second start back from a lengthy absence at Uttoxeter last month; this is tougher.
NR	Noble Cave Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	154	—	P-94	-	84	60	7d	—	—	—	0	—
Finished a well-beaten fourth over C&D latest; likely to come up short again.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Letterston Lily	6/5	5/4	6/5	5/4	6/5
Al Gasparo	6/4	7/4	6/4	6/4	13/8
Full Monty	6/1	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2
Ebony Warrior	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Matchadam	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Absence Of Malice	150/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	100/1
Hurley Girly	200/1	125/1	100/1	100/1	125/1
Connolly	250/1	50/1	100/1	80/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Letterston Lily

27.9

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 12.1

5/4

2nd

Full Monty

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Ebony Warrior

17.7

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Al Gasparo

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

7/4

Matchadam

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Hurley Girly

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Connolly

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

250/1

Absence Of Malice

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Leave Her To Me

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Noble Cave

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Letterston Lily	113	129	96
Full Monty	110	109	101
Ebony Warrior	110	114	69
Al Gasparo	—	137	108
Matchadam	—	84	51
Absence Of Malice	—	—	—
Hurley Girly	—	81	69
Connolly	—	66	18
Leave Her To Me	—	107	83
Noble Cave	—	84	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Connolly	7d ago	Quick return
Noble Cave	7d ago	Quick return
Hurley Girly	9d ago	Quick return
Absence Of Malice	11d ago	Quick return
Al Gasparo	29d ago	Fit
Full Monty	31d ago	Fit
Ebony Warrior	34d ago	Fit
Letterston Lily	39d ago	Fit
Matchadam	41d ago	Fit
Leave Her To Me	42d ago	Fit