Airquick (Newark) Ltd Compressed Air Systems Handicap (Div I)

Southwell (AW)

17:23

Date 2024-08-30

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 38.78s (slow by 1.08s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Beyond Words (IRE) Neil Callan · James Tate	14/1	Won
2nd	Fools Rush In (IRE) Jason Hart · Ruth Carr	6/1	2.5
3rd	Cariad (GB) Callum Shepherd · George Scott	10/1	0.2
4th	Ring Of Light (GB) Sean D Bowen · Henry Candy	5/2F	2
5th	Style Of Life (IRE) Kevin Stott · Harriet Bethell	4/1	0.1
6th	Dragons Will Rise (IRE) Aiden Brookes · Micky Hammond	80/1	2.5
7th	Raven's Applause (IRE) Jason Watson · Ed Dunlop	40/1	0.2
8th	My Brother Mike (IRE) Thomas Greatrex · David Loughnane	8/1	1
9th	Armoured (IRE) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	10/1	.5
10th	Light Up Our Stars (IRE) Luke Morris · Scott Dixon	9/1	1.5
11th	Harbour Vision (GB) Mikkel Mortensen · Scott Dixon	66/1	0.2
12th	Panama City (GB) Mark Winn · Ian McInnes	22/1	0.2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (1)	Ring Of Light Grey J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Henry Candy	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Henry Candy	133	p	554934	63	76	59	16d	—	—	-12	12.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Improver in 2022; missed 2023; slow to recapture form but fair 4th latest; well treated
3 (2)	Style Of Life Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Harriet Bethell	J:Kevin Stott T:Harriet Bethell	134	t	191-72	64	76	-	19d	—	—	-9	8.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won final two AW starts for previous yard; creditable turf run latest; may do better
4 (7)	Fools Rush In Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	134	tv	944085	64	86	-	14d	—	—	-10	9.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Solid C&D run last September; slow to find form for new yard but fair turf run latest
1 (8)	Light Up Our Stars Bay J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	135	ht	573516	65	82	60	23d	—	—	+5	14.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won two of his last five C&D starts, the latest with authority in July; still well treated
9 (4)	My Brother Mike Bay J:Thomas Greatrex T:David Loughnane	J:Thomas Greatrex T:David Loughnane	131	—	661373	61	78	66	63d	—	—	+4	12.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Multiple wins, last six for owner J Stimpson, the latest over C&D in March; new trainer
10 (6)	Cariad Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	130	b	5-8754	60	78	51	8d	—	—	-3	4.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two Tapeta wins elsewhere; good AW run latest after break; first course run; involved
8 (10)	Beyond Words Grey J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	132	—	64-5	62	72	33	32d	—	—	-2	4.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Promising 1m debut at Newcastle as 3yo; return to this trip can suit on handicap debut
6 (11)	Panama City Bay J:Mark Winn T:Ian McInnes	J:Mark Winn T:Ian McInnes	133	ht	-41695	63	77	51	15d	—	—	+2	8	5.00/1	20/1 5%
3-6 on the other Tapeta tracks; looked to be running into form on turf last time
11 (5)	Armoured Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	129	t	377550	59	80	55	14d	—	—	-2	4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Best at 1m on Newcastle Tapeta, winning there in January; first course run; weights chance
2 (3)	Raven's Applause Bay J:Jason Watson T:Ed Dunlop	J:Jason Watson T:Ed Dunlop	135	—	60-0P0	65	75	-	13d	—	—	+2	4.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Sole win at 6f on turf in 2023; having a poor year; hard to fancy on first 1m run
7 (9)	Harbour Vision Grey J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	132	tv	189086	62	81	74	22d	—	—	+2	3.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Close up over C&D in March but AW wins have come elsewhere; below best of late
12 (12)	Dragons Will Rise Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	127	—	677060	57	79	36	32d	—	—	0	2.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Well treated on winning form in early 2022; not yet refound form since back from absence

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Ring Of Light	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Style Of Life	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	18/5
Fools Rush In	5/1	5/1	5/1	3/1	5/1
Light Up Our Stars	17/2	8/1	8/1	10/1	8/1
My Brother Mike	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Cariad	11/1	10/1	10/1	12/1	10/1
Beyond Words	11/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Panama City	16/1	20/1	20/1	12/1	20/1
Armoured	12/1	12/1	12/1	22/1	12/1
Raven's Applause	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Harbour Vision	66/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1
Dragons Will Rise	100/1	100/1	100/1	50/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Light Up Our Stars

14.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.7

10/1

2nd

Ring Of Light

12.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

My Brother Mike

12.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Fools Rush In

9.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

5/1

Style Of Life

8.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Panama City

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

20/1

Beyond Words

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Cariad

4.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Raven's Applause

4.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Armoured

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

22/1

Harbour Vision

3.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Dragons Will Rise

2.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Light Up Our Stars	65	82	60
Raven's Applause	65	75	—
Style Of Life	64	76	—
Fools Rush In	64	86	—
Ring Of Light	63	76	59
Panama City	63	77	51
Beyond Words	62	72	33
Harbour Vision	62	81	74
My Brother Mike	61	78	66
Cariad	60	78	51
Armoured	59	80	55
Dragons Will Rise	57	79	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cariad	8d ago	Quick return
Raven's Applause	13d ago	Quick return
Fools Rush In	14d ago	Fit
Armoured	14d ago	Fit
Panama City	15d ago	Fit
Ring Of Light	16d ago	Fit
Style Of Life	19d ago	Fit
Harbour Vision	22d ago	Fit
Light Up Our Stars	23d ago	Fit
Beyond Words	32d ago	Fit
Dragons Will Rise	32d ago	Fit
My Brother Mike	63d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.