Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:08

Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap

Date 2024-09-04

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Blazing Son Chestnut J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	140	—	771501	74	85	63	9d	—	—	+3	25.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Carries a 5lb penalty after making all over C&D nine days ago; respected
9 (10)	Stanley Spencer Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	136	—	0-6143	72	81	73	20d	—	—	-8	11.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Has continued to run well since winning at Kempton in July; frame material
3 (8)	Whenthedealinsdone Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Roger Teal	J:Billy Loughnane T:Roger Teal	139	p	732435	73	84	72	70d	—	—	-2	15	1.13/1	9/2 18%
2lb lower than when beaten a neck over C&D in April; claims if bouncing back
8 (2)	Shalaa Asker Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	136	—	600703	70	83	67	9d	—	—	-2	12	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Third behind Blazing Son here nine days ago and 5lb better off; one for the shortlist
7 (5)	Blackjack Bay J:Dale Swift T:Alan Brown	J:Dale Swift T:Alan Brown	136	b	685416	70	81	65	9d	—	—	+6	14.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Three-time C&D winner, the latest early last month; missed the break here last time
1 (1)	Above Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	140	tp	649392	74	83	56	11d	—	—	+8	14.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has only won two of his last 39 starts; may find one or two too good again
11 (4)	Biographer Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	132	tv	108569	68	81	64	21d	—	—	+2	5.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Out of the frame in five handicaps since returning for this yard in May
5 (7)	Dapperling Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	138	—	-36637	74	80	57	18d	—	—	+6	9.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
In and out since finishing second in last year's Super Sprint; needs to bounce back
4 (3)	Dark Kestrel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	139	t	002910	73	82	63	102d	—	—	+12	15	8.25/1	33/1 3%
1lb higher than for Wolverhampton win in May; can go well fresh but others are preferred
10 (11)	He's An Angel Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Tjade Collier	J:Oisin Orr T:Tjade Collier	133	t	157960	67	83	80	16d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+2	5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Completed a four-timer on the AW earlier in year but modest in last four starts on turf
6 (12)	Bellagio Man Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Antony Brittain	J:Ben Robinson T:Antony Brittain	138	p	457778	72	83	45	9d	—	—	+3	6.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
C&D winner, but needs to improve on recent efforts and the outside stall not helpful
12 (9)	Exceed Now Bay J:P J McDonald T:Mark Walford	J:P J McDonald T:Mark Walford	128	—	4-448	64	78	65	46d	—	—	+2	4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Early promise for Roger Varian but has regressed; down 4lb but still makes little appeal

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Blazing Son	11/4	11/4	11/4
Stanley Spencer	3/1	3/1	3/1
Whenthedealinsdone	9/2	9/2	9/2
Shalaa Asker	11/2	11/2	11/2
Blackjack	10/1	17/2	10/1
Above	12/1	12/1	12/1
Biographer	22/1	25/1	22/1
Dapperling	22/1	22/1	22/1
Dark Kestrel	33/1	33/1	33/1
He's An Angel	40/1	40/1	40/1
Bellagio Man	40/1	33/1	33/1
Exceed Now	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blazing Son

25.7

OR: 6 Form: 13 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Whenthedealinsdone

OR: 5.8 Form: 4.2 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Dark Kestrel

OR: 5.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Above

14.4

OR: 6 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Blackjack

14.2

OR: 5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Shalaa Asker

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Stanley Spencer

11.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Dapperling

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 2.7 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Bellagio Man

6.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Biographer

5.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

He's An Angel

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Exceed Now

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blazing Son	74	85	63
Above	74	83	56
Dapperling	74	80	57
Whenthedealinsdone	73	84	72
Dark Kestrel	73	82	63
Stanley Spencer	72	81	73
Bellagio Man	72	83	45
Shalaa Asker	70	83	67
Blackjack	70	81	65
Biographer	68	81	64
He's An Angel	67	83	80
Exceed Now	64	78	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blazing Son	9d ago	Quick return
Shalaa Asker	9d ago	Quick return
Blackjack	9d ago	Quick return
Bellagio Man	9d ago	Quick return
Above	11d ago	Quick return
He's An Angel	16d ago	Fit
Dapperling	18d ago	Fit
Stanley Spencer	20d ago	Fit
Biographer	21d ago	Fit
Exceed Now	46d ago	Fresh
Whenthedealinsdone	70d ago	Fresh
Dark Kestrel	102d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.