Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Fillies' Handicap

Southwell (AW)

14:53

Date 2024-09-04

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 40.78s (slow by 3.08s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Raheena (IRE) Harry Davies · Simon & Ed Crisford	6/4F	Won
2nd	Valkyrian (IRE) William Carver · Jamie Osborne	5/1	.75
3rd	Eleftheria (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Paul & Oliver Cole	4/1	2.25
4th	Placeholder (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	5/1	2.25
5th	Enola Grey (IRE) Ethan Jones · Gemma Tutty	8/1	1
6th	Bet Me (IRE) Pat Cosgrave · George Boughey	14/1	1.75
7th	Beautiful Dawn (IRE) Cam Hardie · Derek Shaw	50/1	4.75

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Raheena Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	136	—	5-541	86	91	71	21d	—	—	-13	19	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Decisive winner of a 7f AW novice latest; should be capable of better now handicapping
5 (6)	Eleftheria Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Rossa Ryan T:Paul & Oliver Cole	133	t	-14316	83	89	71	14d	—	—	+7	23.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two Polytrack wins this season; perhaps needed latest outing; not ruled out
6 (1)	Placeholder Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	127	—	14-13	77	91	65	20d	—	—	-4	11.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Unexposed two-time AW winner; shaped well on handicap/turf debut latest; more in the tank
1 (3)	Valkyrian Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	141	—	211221	86	91	66	9d	—	—	+19	34.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Thriving this year; penalty for recent Chepstow win asks stiffer question but can't ignore
4 (5)	Enola Grey Grey J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Gemma Tutty	135	—	198300	80	93	64	6d	—	—	+2	11.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Four AW wins since December, the latest over C&D; recent efforts underwhelming though
2 (4)	Bet Me Grey J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	140	h	2-6387	85	89	62	33d	—	—	+7	14.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Her two wins have come on slow turf; handles Polytrack but untried on Tapeta; yard run two
7 (2)	Beautiful Dawn Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	126	—	5-11	76	92	68	203d	—	—	+5	7.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
2-3 for Joseph O'Brien but sold for just 7,000gns in July; best watched on stable debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Raheena	13/8	6/4	13/8
Eleftheria	9/2	9/2	9/2
Placeholder	11/2	9/2	5/1
Valkyrian	9/2	4/1	5/1
Enola Grey	8/1	11/1	17/2
Bet Me	12/1	14/1	12/1
Beautiful Dawn	66/1	28/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Valkyrian

34.4

OR: 9 Form: 21 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Eleftheria

23.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Raheena

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 10

13/8

Bet Me

14.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Enola Grey

11.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Placeholder

11.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Beautiful Dawn

7.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Raheena	86	91	71
Valkyrian	86	91	66
Bet Me	85	89	62
Eleftheria	83	89	71
Enola Grey	80	93	64
Placeholder	77	91	65
Beautiful Dawn	76	92	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Enola Grey	6d ago	Quick return
Valkyrian	9d ago	Quick return
Eleftheria	14d ago	Fit
Placeholder	20d ago	Fit
Raheena	21d ago	Fit
Bet Me	33d ago	Fit
Beautiful Dawn	203d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.