Take A Lucky Dip At BetVictor Fillies' Handicap

Newbury

16:40

Date 2024-09-05

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,328

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Circe Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	138	—	-54145	87	97	67	23d	—	—	-1	20.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
1m fast-ground win here in June; two respectable runs since; back down in trip
4 (4)	Rosa Applause Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	136	t	-14243	85	96	49	27d	—	—	+3	22	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Closely matched with Lexington Belle on latest 6f form; 7f should suit her; respected
5 (2)	Mercury Day Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Conrad Allen	J:Jim Crowley T:Conrad Allen	133	—	2-1193	82	94	85	23d	—	—	-1	16.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won first two starts for Conrad Allen; creditable third in Lingfield handicap latest
2 (5)	Queen's Reign Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Walker	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Walker	136	—	17-413	85	94	82	68d	—	—	-4	14	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Behind Mercury Day at Newmarket in June but form of Goodwood win before that reads well
8 (8)	So Logical Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	129	b	211655	78	96	78	13d	—	—	+5	14.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Two 7f wins in spring but progress stalled since; blinkers replace cheekpieces
3 (3)	Lexington Belle Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	136	p	-05832	85	96	82	27d	—	—	+10	18	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Placed in handicaps the last twice; closely matched with Rosa Applause on latest 6f run
7 (6)	Eminny Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	132	—	20-276	81	94	89	33d	—	—	+5	8.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Well beaten back from a break latest so can only really watch this time
NR (7)	D Flawless Bay J:TBC T:John & Thady Gosden	J: T:John & Thady Gosden	133	—	2-130	82	93	63	76d	—	—	—	11.5	—	—
Well held in Sandringham on Royal Ascot handicap debut but retains potential after break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Circe	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Rosa Applause	4/1	7/2	7/2	10/3	4/1
Mercury Day	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Queen's Reign	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
So Logical	8/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Lexington Belle	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Eminny	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rosa Applause

OR: 8.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

2nd

Circe

20.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Lexington Belle

OR: 8.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Mercury Day

16.5

OR: 8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

9/2

So Logical

14.9

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Queen's Reign

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

D Flawless

11.5

OR: 8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Eminny

8.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Circe	87	97	67
Rosa Applause	85	96	49
Queen's Reign	85	94	82
Lexington Belle	85	96	82
Mercury Day	82	94	85
D Flawless	82	93	63
Eminny	81	94	89
So Logical	78	96	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
So Logical	13d ago	Quick return
Circe	23d ago	Fit
Mercury Day	23d ago	Fit
Rosa Applause	27d ago	Fit
Lexington Belle	27d ago	Fit
Eminny	33d ago	Fit
Queen's Reign	68d ago	Fresh
D Flawless	76d ago	Fresh